Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
It’s perhaps the starter before the main course, as the Madrid derby between Getafe and Real Madrid serves the fans on this Sunday, a week before El Clasico fever takes over Spain. This is matchday nine of the 2025-26 La Liga campaign to be played at the Coliseum Stadium between the 11th-placed Azulones and the league-leading Los Blancos. Our match prediction is for both teams to score goals.
Getafe have been one of the lowest-scoring teams of the division with only nine goals to their name. The hosts have been in good form at home, remaining unbeaten in three league matches of this season. While another point against leaders will be a good result, can the hosts rise up to the occasion?
Madrid have the onus to keep winning, especially with Barcelona running them close. A win here will give them the advantage for next week’s El Clasico, while anything less than that will tip the scales. Can Real continue their winning streak and maintain their lead? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Getafe v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 4.5 | 1.45 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
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|
6.5 | 4.4 | 1.44 |
|
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6.5 | 4.33 | 1.48 |
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7.5 | 4.4 | 1.41 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Getafe and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Getafe vs Real Madrid match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2025 between Getafe and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.3% for a win of Getafe against Real Madrid with odds of 7.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Getafe vs Real Madrid is 24.19% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 63.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Getafe with odds of 1.48 at Betway.
Getafe - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Getafe Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 63.51% | 1.48 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.21% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.5% | 2.12 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 35.24% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Getafe vs Real Madrid Form
Getafe and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
|
10
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 |
Getafe and Real Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Getafe vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
2 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
13 May 2023 - LaLiga
8 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
Getafe - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
Getafe have 11 points from the season (W3, D2, L3) and are only two points outside the top five teams. Their scoring record hasn’t been great, with only eight goals to their name, although their defensive record of 11 goals conceded is among the best.
The hosts lost 2-1 away at Osasuna in their last matchday, keeping them winless in four (D2, L2). It’s their home form that gives them an advantage, as Getafe are unbeaten in three home league games this season (W1, D2).
Getafe lost their recent seven matches against Real Madrid.
Madrid’s 21 points (W7, L1) give them a two-point lead over Barcelona ahead of this round. They went into the international break on the back of a 3-1 home win over Villarreal, which helped assuage the hurt of a 5-2 derby loss to Atletico Madrid.
Another derby defeat could be calamitous for the league leaders, who face Barcelona next week. Their away form has otherwise been impeccable because Real have won three of their four away league matches this season.
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Getafe against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Getafe & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
Jiri Letacek could be out of contention for Getafe, who are also sweating on the availability of Djene Dakonam. The team gets a boost in the return of Adrian Liso, who was representing Spain at the U20 World Cup.
Getafe have usually fielded a 5-3-2 formation in their matches, and that could once again be the case here. Liso and Borja Mayoral could be playing together in the forward line.
Liso is Getafe’s best striker with three goals in the league campaign.
Madrid have a raft of injuries, and the latest to join that list is defender Dean Huijsen, joining the likes of Trent Alexander-Arnold and Dani Carvajal. Kylian Mbappe got a minor injury on international duty but could be fit to play here.
Mbappe has nine goals and two assists in eight La Liga games this season, with the French forward likely to lead the line in their 4-2-3-1 formation. Vinicius Junior could be another goal outlet for Madrid, considering he has five goals and four assists to his name in eight league games.
Most goals and assists
Getafe
Real Madrid
B. Mayoral
(3 Goals)
,
A. Liso
(3 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(16 Goals)
L. Milla
(5 Assists)
A. Guler
(5 Assists)
Getafe - Real Madrid Key Points
- Getafe’s last three league games produced goals from both teams.
- That included 1-1 draws in their last two home league fixtures.
- Six of Madrid’s last eight competitive matches have seen both teams score goals.
- In five of their last six league games including three in a row, Madrid saw both teams score goals.
- Madrid’s last three away league fixtures have all seen both teams score goals.
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Our Getafe vs Real Madrid Prediction
Real Madrid grabbed the league lead before the international break, thanks largely to their impressive winning rate. That said, their matches have rarely been one-sided, and they have kept their opponents in the game. Getafe average just more than one goal a game but have managed to keep their opponents to a respectable score. Considering Real Madrid’s defensive concerns this season, Getafe will hope to run them closer.
This game could end up being an entertainer, with both teams likely to go for goals, and our Getafe vs Real Madrid prediction is both teams to score.
Getafe vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Real Madrid to win and BTTS
Six of Madrid’s last seven league matches against Getafe saw the giants win with a clean sheet in tow. Keeping a clean sheet could be a huge boost to Madrid, as they managed only one away from home this season. With next week’s El Clasico on the horizon, a win will boost their morale. Back Real Madrid to win with both teams scoring goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Getafe Real Madrid
| Getafe vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe wins | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.5 | +12.5% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.55 | 1.45 | -6.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 69.0% (4.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Getafe vs. Real Madrid game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Getafe and Real Madrid when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on LaLiga!
Getafe vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The Getafe vs Real Madrid Spanish La Liga match will be shown live in the UK on Premier Sports 1. You can subscribe through Sky, Virgin Media, or online via Premier Sports.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Spanish La Liga Livescore page!
This is not a fixture that Getafe will be looking forward to, based on their recent record. They have lost their seven recent matches against Real Madrid in the league, scoring just once in those games.
That said, none of those seven wins have come by more than a two-goal margin, underlining Getafe’s strength in holding their own even in defeats. Three defeats ended 1-0, and three more defeats ended in a 2-0 score.
In fact, Getafe have lost 30 times in La Liga against Real Madrid, their highest tally of defeats against a single opponent in the history of the competition. Twelve of those losses have come at home, which is the joint-most they have suffered in the top flight.
Real Madrid lost their latest Madrid derby, a 5-2 loss to Atletico earlier in the season. They haven’t lost two in a row in this competition since October 1999 against any of their Madrid neighbours.
Real have scored 2+ goals in seven consecutive La Liga games for the first time since September 2018, when they had a run of eight matches.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
