Genoa vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
As Napoli returned to winning ways last time out, Genoa saw their unbeaten run halted ahead of the teams' next meeting in Serie A. Third-placed Napoli looks to close in on leaders Inter Milan as Genoa, 14th-placed, seeks to move closer to the top half. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Genoa thought they had salvaged a point against Lazio but conceded in the 10th minute of added time, suffering a 3-2 defeat. That was their 10th league defeat of the season, a tally twice the number of their wins.
Before that they had gone five matches without defeat, and here they come winless in seven matches against Napoli.
At Napoli, a three-match winless run came to a stop after their 2-1 win against Fiorentina. Two defeats in three matches point to a shaky run from the champions, and some stability will be welcome here.
In the reverse meeting, Napoli claimed a 2-1 win at home, the fifth time in six matches that they scored 2+ in this fixture. Their away days have not been as bright, with Napoli claiming just four wins in the last 14.
They suffered eight defeats in that period but only lost once in 10 away matches against Genoa. Sitting nine points shy of the league leaders, the Partenopei will be desperate to claim a win here to help in their push.
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Genoa v Napoli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.3 | 3.05 | 2.13 |
|
|
4.32 | 3.01 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.02 | 2.02 |
|
|
4.1 | 3 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.05 | 1.96 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Genoa vs Napoli match is: Napoli to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Genoa and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.92% for a win of Genoa against Napoli with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Napoli is 30.39% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Genoa with odds of 2.13 at Stake.
Genoa - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genoa Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 38.7% | 2.13 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.57% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli | 16.26% | 4.9 at LSbet |
Genoa vs Napoli Form
Genoa and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
76 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 |
|
16
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 |
Genoa and Napoli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
Genoa vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
17 Feb 2024 - Serie A
16 Sept 2023 - Serie A
15 May 2022 - Serie A
Genoa against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
D. Sommariva
N. Leali
DefenderS. Otoa
N. Zatterstrom
S. Sabelli
MidfielderJ. Onana
P. Masini
Amorim
M. Cornet
J. Messias
J. Ekhator
C. Ekuban
V. Milinkovic-Savic
N. Contini
DefenderM. Olivera
S. Beukema
V. Prisco
A. Santos
E. De Chiara
ForwardGiovane
R. Lukaku
Missing players
B. Siegrist
G. Di Lorenzo
P. Mazzocchi
MidfielderF. Anguissa
Most goals and assists
Genoa
Napoli
L. Colombo
(7 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(12 Goals)
A. Martin
(4 Assists)
Giovane
(6 Assists)
Genoa - Napoli Key Points
- Genoa’s last five outings produced a total of 15 goals.
- On average, 2.8 goals were scored in Napoli’s last five matches.
- Napoli are unbeaten in seven meetings with Genoa, winning four.
- Genoa are winless in seven of their last 10 home games, losing four.
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Our Genoa vs Napoli Prediction
Napoli’s chase for Serie A honors will push them to go for three points here. That should not look like a herculean task, given their recent performances against Genoa. The champions returned to winning ways last time out, while Genoa were beaten. Going by their recent head-to-head numbers, we expect this run to continue.
An additional angle to it is the goal return in both teams’ matches. They are both coming off high-scoring fixtures, and this could be one too. Our prediction for Genoa v Napoli is for Napoli to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Napoli
| Genoa vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 5 | 4.6 | -8.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0% |
| Napoli wins | 1.75 | 2.13 | +21.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 46.9% (-10.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
