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Genoa vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Genoa
23/08/2025 12:30
Lecce

Prediction :

 

Genoa wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Genoa and Lecce will be switching gears to the Serie A after opening the season with Coppa Italia wins. At home to Vicenza, Genoa won 3-0 while Lecce were 2-0 winners against Juve Stabia. We have a prediction for their league match below. 

For a side that finished last season with just two wins in nine matches, Genoa needed a good start, and they have it. They now need to build on it as they get to face tougher opposition. 

Patrick Vieira is set for his first full season, and the Frenchman will also want to deliver them from another slow start. That was partly the reason they finished 13th last season.

Lecce also have a new manager in Eusebio di Francesco. The manager’s brief is to deliver the team away from another relegation scrap. In the past season, the visitors finished just three points above the drop.      

However, the omens are good here after their fine start in the Coppa. There are a lot of questions about the choice of manager, Di Francesco having been relegated with clubs at least twice.

It will not help that Lecce have a poor record for season-opening matches. In their Serie A history, the Giallorossi only won once in 19 matchday one fixtures.

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The Best Betting Odds for Genoa v Lecce Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2 3.3 4.1
Betfred
2 3.25 4
William Hill
2 3.1 3.8
Betway
2 3.2 4
Unibet
1.97 3.25 3.9
Check all Genoa vs Lecce odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Lecce?

Our prediction for the Genoa vs Lecce match is: Genoa wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Genoa and Lecce in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.48% for a win of Genoa against Lecce with odds of 2.1 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Lecce is 24.52% with odds of 3.35 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Genoa with odds of 4.23 at 22bet.

Genoa vs Lecce Form

Genoa and Lecce Last Matches

Genoa
Genoa Last matches
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
3 :  0
L.R. Vicenza

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  2
Genoa

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
1 :  3
Genoa

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Genoa
3 :  2
Mantova FC

24 May 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  3
Genoa

17 May 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  3
Atalanta
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
3 :  0
L.R. Vicenza

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Genoa
3 :  2
Mantova FC

17 May 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  3
Atalanta

5 May 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
AC Milan

23 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Lazio

4 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  0
Udinese
D L D W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  2
Genoa

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
1 :  3
Genoa

24 May 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  3
Genoa

11 May 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Genoa

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  0
Genoa

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  0
Genoa
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
2 :  0
Juve Stabia

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SS Monopoli
2 :  2
Lecce

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  0
Carrarese Calcio

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  3
United Arab Emirates

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
2 :  1
Spezia

25 May 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Lecce
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
2 :  0
Juve Stabia

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  0
Carrarese Calcio

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  3
United Arab Emirates

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
2 :  1
Spezia

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Torino FC

3 May 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli
L L D D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SS Monopoli
2 :  2
Lecce

25 May 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Lecce

11 May 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  1
Lecce

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lecce

12 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Lecce

14 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce

Genoa vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa

50 %

Draw

33 %

Lecce

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

14 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce

5 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Genoa

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce

22 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Genoa

19 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce

8 Dec 2019 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
Genoa
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Genoa - Lecce Key Points

  1. Lecce lost eight of their last 15 league matches.
  2. Genoa won three of their last 10 league matches.
  3. Lecce managed just one win in their last seven away matches.
  4. At home, Genoa have five wins in their last nine matches.
  5. Genoa are unbeaten in three matches against Lecce.
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Our Genoa vs Lecce Prediction

Genoa have the edge here; playing at home is one of the biggest advantages they take into this match. It just works in their favor also that they have the head-to-head advantage against Lecce, who do not have a great history in season-opening league matches.

Also, while Genoa are enjoying some stability under Patrick Vieira, Lecce have to start adapting to a new manager. These are factors that could affect their match day 1 performance. Our prediction for Genoa v Lecce is that Genoa wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Genoa wins the match

 
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Genoa vs Lecce Prediction
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