Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Genoa will be banking on home comforts to lift them when they host Lazio in their fifth match of the Italian Serie A. These two sides have been slow starters in the league and currently reside in the lower half of the standings. We have a prediction below.
Genoa are still in search of their first win of the season, while a poor scoring run has been a big impediment. Patrick Vieira’s side was on course for a first win of the season against Bologna in the last game but capitulated late on.
For the first time this season Genoa led, but that slipped before they conceded a second late on for a 2-1 away defeat.
Lazio are a point better than Genoa, having posted a win on matchday two. The side from the capital couldn’t, however, build on their 4-0 victory against Verona.
They are coming off a 1-0 loss to archrivals Roma in the Rome derby. There’s no time to dwell on that slim but heavy loss. For a team on three defeats in four league games, Lazio will seek to bounce back immediately.
They have to do it without Reda Belahyane and Matteo Guendouzi, who were sent off in the last game. The teams’ recent head-to-head records favor Lazio, who have four wins in the last four meetings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Genoa v Lazio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.88 | 3 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.8 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.65 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Lazio?
Our prediction for the Genoa vs Lazio match is: Lazio to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2025 between Genoa and Lazio in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.69% for a win of Genoa against Lazio with odds of 2.9 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Lazio is 24.73% with odds of 3 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Genoa with odds of 2.8 at Bet365.
Genoa - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genoa Lazio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 39.69% | 2.9 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 53.99% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Genoa | 19.79% | 6.5 at Betfair |
Genoa vs Lazio Form
Genoa and Lazio's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
|
18
|
7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 |
Genoa and Lazio Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Serie A
10 May 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
Genoa vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
19 Apr 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2023 - Coppa Italia
27 Aug 2023 - Serie A
10 Apr 2022 - Serie A
Genoa against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Lysionok
MidfielderJ. Onana
ForwardJ. Messias
S. Gigot
MidfielderM. Lazzari
M. Guendouzi
M. Vecino
R. Belahyane
N. Rovella
F. Dele-Bashiru
Most goals and assists
Genoa
Lazio
L. Ostigard
(2 Goals)
M. Cancellieri
(3 Goals)
,
M. Zaccagni
(3 Goals)
A. Martin
(2 Assists)
T. Castellanos
(3 Assists)
Genoa - Lazio Key Points
- Lazio have four straight wins against Genoa.
- Lazio’s last four wins in Serie A came with clean sheets.
- Genoa failed to score in two of their last four league matches.
- Lazio kept clean sheets in their last three league meetings with Genoa.
- Genoa are winless, with four defeats, in their last five home league games.
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Our Genoa vs Lazio Prediction
Neither of these sides has had a good start to the season; for Genoa, though, it has been worse. The hosts failed to hold on to a slim lead to close in on a first win last weekend. They face another tough side, and they’ve struggled a bit at home as well.
Lazio are in a slightly stronger position coming into the game, but we don’t expect a huge victory, given both teams’ struggles in attack. Our prediction for Genoa v Lazio is for Lazio to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Lazio
| Genoa vs Lazio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 2.75 | 2.8 | +1.8% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 2.9 | -12.1% |
| Lazio wins | 2.5 | 2.8 | +12.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genoa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 35.7% (-0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
