Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Italy - Serie A

Genoa
09/11/2025 09:00
Fiorentina

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

It may sound out of place, but Genoa hosting Fiorentina is one of the big games to follow in Serie A this weekend. The two sides are based in the bottom three after 10 rounds of matches, and whoever wins will likely leave the red zone. Here’s our prediction of the match.

Genoa went winless in the opening nine rounds of the season, causing Patrick Vieira to step down. Roberto Murgita held brief as interim manager and delivered a first win, beating Sassuolo 2-1.

Now Daniele De Rossi has been named the permanent replacement and will be targeting back-to-back topflight wins for the team. Genoa haven't achieved that simple feat since January 2024.

The big challenge ahead is that Genoa are winless at home in Serie A since April and haven't scored there this season.

Fiorentina also have a new man at the helm after Stefano Pioli’s disastrous reign. Danielle Galloppa was put in temporary charge and led them in yet another loss, this time in the Conference League.

Now Paolo Vanoli comes in as the manager and will be looking to improve on Fiorentina’s worst start to a Serie A season. La Viola have collected just four points from a possible 33.

They are one of three sides yet to win a league game. Thanks to the teams around them faltering, Fiorentina remain just two points below the safety line.

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Genoa v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.7 3 2.95
Melbet
3.03 2.72 2.82
Betwinner
3.1 2.7 2.79
Bet365
3.1 2.7 2.8
BC Game
2.95 2.8 2.8
Check all Genoa vs Fiorentina odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Genoa vs Fiorentina match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Genoa and Fiorentina in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.89% for a win of Genoa against Fiorentina with odds of 3.16 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Fiorentina is 30.23% with odds of 3 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Genoa with odds of 2.95 at Stake.

Genoa - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Genoa Fiorentina Prediction Probability Odds
Fiorentina wins 37.88% 2.95 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 51.89% 3 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 63.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina 19.55% 6.5 at LSbet

Genoa vs Fiorentina Form

Genoa and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9
16 Genoa
41 38 10 11 17 -10

Genoa and Fiorentina Last Matches

Genoa
Genoa Last matches
L L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Cremonese

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
Genoa

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Genoa

29 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
Lazio
D L W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Cremonese

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

29 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
Lazio

25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
3 :  1
Empoli

31 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Juventus

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Lecce
D D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
Genoa

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Genoa

20 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  1
Genoa

15 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  1
Genoa

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  2
Genoa
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Fiorentina

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Fiorentina

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Bologna

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Rapid Wien
0 :  3
Fiorentina

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina
L L W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Bologna

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Roma

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Sigma Olomouc

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Como 1907

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli
D D L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Fiorentina

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Fiorentina

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Rapid Wien
0 :  3
Fiorentina

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

31 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

Genoa vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa

0 %

Draw

17 %

Fiorentina

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

2 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Genoa

31 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Fiorentina

15 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Genoa

19 Aug 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  4
Fiorentina

17 Jan 2022 - Serie A

Fiorentina
6 :  0
Genoa

18 Sept 2021 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Genoa against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Genoa

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
N. Leali
27
A. Marcandalli
5
L. Ostigard
22
J. Vasquez
15
B. Norton-Cuffy
32
M. Frendrup
2
M. Thorsby
3
A. Martin
77
M. Ellertsson
9
V. Carvalho
29
L. Colombo
10
A. Gudmundsson
91
R. Piccoli
29
N. Fortini
23
S. Sohm
41
H. Caviglia
8
R. Mandragora
2
Dodo
6
L. Ranieri
30
P. Mari
5
M. Pongracic
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Fiorentina

Substitutes

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

D. Sommariva

B. Siegrist

Defender

A. Celik Kumer

S. Sabelli

Midfielder

A. Gronbaek

P. Masini

A. Martin 76'

V. Carboni

V. Carvalho 76'

H. Cuenca

M. Cornet

N. Stanciu

Forward

L. Venturino

J. Messias

S. Fini

J. Ekhator

L. Colombo 67'

C. Ekuban

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

T. Martinelli

L. Lezzerini

Defender

P. Comuzzo

F. Parisi

N. Fortini 66'

E. Kospo

E. Kouadio

M. Viti

L. Ranieri 66'

Midfielder

J. Fazzini

R. Piccoli 84'

C. Ndour

S. Sohm 75'

A. Richardson

N. Fagioli

Forward

E. Dzeko

A. Gudmundsson 75'

Missing players

Genoa
Genoa
Defender

S. Otoa

Midfielder

R. Malinovskyi

Fiorentina
Fiorentina

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Genoa
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
Italy L. Colombo (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (4 Assists)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)

Genoa - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Genoa haven't scored a goal at home this season.
  2. Fiorentina have scored twice in five away league games.
  3. Two of Genoa’s last four matches had under 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Twice in the last three meetings, this fixture had under three goals.
  5. An average of 2.0 goals were scored in Genoa’s 10 league matches this season.
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Our Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction

With both Genoa and Fiorentina struggling, there will be a lot for their new managers to address. The two have each netted under 1.0 goals per game and conceded at least 1.4 goals per match in Serie A. Maybe there will be more attention on the defence and player confidence, but from our perspective, this might be a low-scoring affair.

Fiorentina have only managed seven goals, while Genoa have six. In Serie A the hosts haven't scored at home this season, while Fiorentina scored twice away, and belief could be at a low. Our prediction for Genoa v Fiorentina is for less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Fiorentina

Genoa vs Fiorentina Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Genoa wins 3.16 3.16 0%
Draw 3.37 3 -11.0%
Fiorentina wins 2.49 2.95 +18.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fiorentina is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 18.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 40.2% and is now 33.9% (-6.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction