Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
In-form Atalanta travel to Genoa this weekend in the Italian Serie A. Five points separate the two after 15 rounds, with Atalanta in 12th having the advantage over their 16th-placed hosts. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Genoa are looking to get back on track in their push to stay clear of the relegation zone after suffering a setback last time out. The Red and Blues were defeated 2-1 at home by league leaders Inter.
That was their seventh loss of the season but the first in the league since Daniele De Rossi took over as manager last month.
II Grifone were languishing among the bottom three teams when the former Italian international took over. They have since picked up eight points and are two above the drop zone with 14.
Atalanta have been in superb form and are coming into this match as the favorites. La Dea, who’ve had a shaky season, have won five of their last six games.
Two of these wins came in the league, allowing them to remain within sight of the European places. When Rafaelle Palladino took over, around the same time Genoa appointed De Rossi, Atalanta had gone eight games with only one win.
Now they are six points from the top six and have boosted their Champions League last 16 chances. Atalanta defeated Cagliari 2-1 at home last time out.
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Genoa v Atalanta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 | 3.3 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.96 | 3.3 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.84 | 3.19 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.3 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.2 | 2.06 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Genoa vs Atalanta match is: Atalanta wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/12/2025 between Genoa and Atalanta in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.54% for a win of Genoa against Atalanta with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Atalanta is 22.49% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Genoa with odds of 2.18 at 888Starz.
Genoa - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genoa Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 50.98% | 2.18 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.76% | 2.23 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 21.77% | 5 at Bet365 |
Genoa vs Atalanta Form
Genoa and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
|
16
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 |
Genoa and Atalanta Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
Genoa vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
17 May 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
11 Feb 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2023 - Serie A
13 Mar 2022 - Serie A
Genoa against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
D. Sommariva
E. Lysionok
DefenderL. Ostigard
S. Sabelli
MidfielderP. Masini
V. Carboni
M. Thorsby
N. Stanciu
ForwardL. Colombo
L. Venturino
J. Ekhator
S. Fini
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderG. Scalvini
H. Ahanor
MidfielderL. Samardzic
N. Zalewski
M. Brescianini
K. Sulemana
N. Krstovic
Missing players
B. Siegrist
R. Bellanova
M. Bakker
Most goals and assists
Genoa
Atalanta
L. Colombo
(7 Goals)
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
A. Martin
(4 Assists)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
Genoa - Atalanta Key Points
- Atalanta have won five of their last six games.
- Genoa have lost twice in their last three outings.
- Four of Genoa’s seven league losses have come at home.
- The last five meetings between Atalanta and Genoa were won by the former.
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Our Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction
Our prediction for Genoa v Atalanta is that Atalanta wins. The visitors are in fine form at the moment. They have won five of their last six games and also have a dominant record in this fixture.
Atalanta are on a five-game winning streak against Genoa and haven’t lost to their hosts since 2018. With Genoa one of the Serie A’s underperformers, Atalanta have a strong chance of extending this streak and coming away with all three points.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Atalanta
| Genoa vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.35 | 0% |
| Atalanta wins | 1.92 | 2.18 | +13.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 45.9% (-6.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
