Europe - Europa League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Ita Emmanuel | in Europa League Predictions
Genk host Lech Poznan in this second leg of the Europa League playoff on Thursday. The Smurfs will look to build on their comprehensive first-leg win against the Polish side to qualify for the League Phase of the competition. Check out our prediction for the match below.
Midfielder Patrik Hrosovsky’s first-half brace fired Genk to a dominant 5-1 win over Lech Poznan in the first leg in Poland. This result saw the Belgian side close in on their seventh appearance in the Europa League’s main phase.
They have won their last two matches, both of which ended with over 2.5 goals, and each of their three most recent fixtures have produced at least three goals. Thorsten Fink’s side have also scored and conceded in each of their last seven competitive matches, six of which ended with over 2.5 goals.
Lech Poznan’s hope of qualifying for the League Phase of the Europa League is on the verge of collapse after their 5-1 first-leg rout. Heading into this match, the Polish champions have their pride on the line and will look to secure a more respectable result.
Meanwhile, they have scored and conceded goals in each of their last five matches, three of which ended with over 2.5 goals. They have also failed to win any of their four most recent fixtures.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Genk v KKS Lech Poznan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.75 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.41 | 5.1 | 5.75 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
What is the prediction for the football match between Genk and KKS Lech Poznan?
Our prediction for the Genk vs KKS Lech Poznan match is: Genk win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2025 between Genk and KKS Lech Poznan in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.06% for a win of Genk against KKS Lech Poznan with odds of 1.54 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genk vs KKS Lech Poznan is 30.44% with odds of 5.1 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.5% chance ⭐ for a win of KKS Lech Poznan vs Genk with odds of 6.65 at Betwinner.
Genk - KKS Lech Poznan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genk KKS Lech Poznan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genk wins | 35.06% | 1.54 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.83% | 1.41 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Genk | 12.39% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Genk vs KKS Lech Poznan Form
Genk and KKS Lech Poznan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
15 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
10 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
3 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
27 Jul 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
11 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
27 Apr 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
20 Apr 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
15 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
10 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
27 Jul 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
16 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
16 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
18 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
18 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
11 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
27 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
Genk vs KKS Lech Poznan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
Genk against KKS Lech Poznan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Genk
KKS Lech Poznan
Z. El-Ouadi
(4 Goals)
M. Ishak
(7 Goals)
J. Steuckers
(5 Assists)
J. Vieira Pereira
(3 Assists)
, 
F. Jagiello
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Palma
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Ismaheel
(3 Assists)
Genk - KKS Lech Poznan Key Points
- Genk have won their last two matches, both of which ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Genk have scored and conceded in each of their last seven competitive matches, six of which ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Lech Poznan are winless in their last four matches.
- Seven of Lech Poznan’s last 10 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Lech Poznan have scored and conceded in each of their last five matches, three of which ended with over 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Genk vs KKS Lech Poznan Prediction
It will take a miracle for Niels Frederiksen’s Lech Poznan to overturn their four-goal first-leg deficit against Genk. They are winless in their last four matches, scoring and conceding in each of them. Also, most of their recent matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
After a commanding first-leg win in Poznan, Thorsten Fink’s Genk should easily stroll to victory in this match playing in front of their home fans. We also expect a rain of goals given both teams’ recent records. Our Genk vs Lech Poznan prediction is Genk win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genk KKS Lech Poznan
| Genk vs KKS Lech Poznan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk wins | 1.42 | 1.5 | +5.6% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | 0% |
| KKS Lech Poznan wins | 6.5 | 5.5 | -15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genk is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 66.7% (-3.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
