Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Lig
Turkey - Super Lig
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Super Lig Predictions
Galatasaray continues its title defence in Round 26 of the Turkish Super League when they host Istanbul Basaksehir. With Fenerbahce just four points behind, Cimbom cannot afford a slip-up here. But a Baykuş (The Owls) side hunting for a Conference League qualification spot threatens the league leaders on Saturday. See our best bet in this match prediction.
Galatasaray are elated after just beating Liverpool (for the second time this season) in their first leg of their RO16 UCL tie. That victory now makes it four straight wins in a row for Cimbom and six straight wins at home in all competitions. Galatasaray now look to extend that run when they host a Basaksehir side they've swept past in four straight meetings.
But the results might look awfully different this time around, as Basaksehir enters with undeniable form. The Owls just beat Goztepe in the league (2-1), which now makes it three straight league wins and eight victories in their last ten.
In fact, Basaksehir has now only lost one of its last 12 games, and even more scary for Gala, The Owls have now won five straight away games in the league. The home side is still the heavy favourites, but this is a very different Istanbul Basaksehir side travelling to Rams Park Stadyumu on Saturday.
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Galatasaray v Istanbul Basaksehir Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4.3 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.46 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.46 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.3 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Galatasaray and Istanbul Basaksehir?
Our prediction for the Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir match is: Galatasaray wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Galatasaray and Istanbul Basaksehir in Super Lig :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.33% for a win of Galatasaray against Istanbul Basaksehir with odds of 1.65 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir is 6.33% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray with odds of 5 at LSbet.
Galatasaray - Istanbul Basaksehir Prediction and Best Odds:
| Galatasaray Istanbul Basaksehir Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray wins | 60.33% | 1.65 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.29% | 1.22 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Galatasaray/Galatasaray | 31.26% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir Form
Galatasaray and Istanbul Basaksehir's standings in the Super Lig
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
77 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | +47 |
|
5
|
57 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +23 |
Galatasaray and Istanbul Basaksehir Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
28 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
4 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
1 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
8 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
27 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
21 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
15 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
8 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
27 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
15 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
31 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
17 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
8 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
4 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
24 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
18 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
14 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
18 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
30 May 2025 - Super Lig
12 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
8 Jan 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
10 Feb 2024 - Super Lig
Galatasaray against Istanbul Basaksehir Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Guvenc
DefenderS. Boey
I. Jakobs
MidfielderI. Gundogan
R. Nhaga
M. Lemina
K. Ayhan
A. Kutucu
M. Icardi
Y. Asprilla
D. Alemdar
DefenderO. Ba
A. Harit
O. Ergun
B. Ozdemir
M. Crespo
J. Kaluzinski
N. Da Costa
O. Bulut
B. Yildirim
Missing players
P. Frankowski
Most goals and assists
Galatasaray
Istanbul Basaksehir
V. Osimhen
(15 Goals)
E. Shomurodov
(22 Goals)
B. Yilmaz
(11 Assists)
Y. Sari
(6 Assists)
Galatasaray - Istanbul Basaksehir Key Points
- Galatasaray has won seven straight league games against Istanbul Basaksehir, and nine of their last 11.
- Galatasaray has the best home record this season, winning 10 games (the most) and scoring 35 (the most).
- Galatasaray has scored 59 goals this season (the most), averaging 2.36 goals per game.
- Galatasaray has conceded just 18 goals this season (the fewest), allowing just 0.62.
- Galatasaray has created the most big chances this season (89), averaging 3.06 per game.
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Our Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir Prediction
We're backing Cimbom for yet another home win this season despite The Owls’ recent surge in the league. With Fenerbahce hot on Gala’s tail, expect to still feature their first team despite travelling to Anfield to face Liverpool just four days later.
Our pick is based on Galatasaray’s sheer dominance in every relevant metric over Istanbul Basaksehir, as detailed in our key points. They've already met twice this season, and the results were the same. Hence, our Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction is that Galatasaray wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Galatasaray Istanbul Basaksehir
| Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray wins | 1.65 | 1.65 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.46 | 4.5 | +0.9% |
| Istanbul Basaksehir wins | 4.52 | 5 | +10.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Galatasaray is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 60.6% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
