ATP - ATP Japan Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Taylor Fritz is back in Tokyo, playing as the second seed and will begin his campaign against the unseeded Gabriel Diallo. This will mark the third time this season that the two are facing off. Read on for our preview and prediction for the match.
Gabriel Diallo will be keen not to suffer a third consecutive defeat to Fritz. The Canadian lost to the American in Toronto and at Wimbledon earlier in the year. He was unfortunate not to produce one of the big upsets at SW19 after a five-set thriller.
Diallo has compiled a 33-24 record with 14 of his wins coming on hard courts. The world number 35, who has lost six times this season against top 10 players, won the Libema Open back in June.
Taylor Fritz is coming off an excellent run out at the Laver Cup. The American won both of his Singles events to help Team World be crowned champions.
He defeated Carlos Alcaraz in his opener and then Alexander Zverev, with both wins being by straight sets. Fritz has had a strong year and is on course for another 50-plus win season.
With 45 wins, the world number five has won two titles and made the semis in three other tournaments.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gabriel Diallo v Taylor Fritz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 1.22 |
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4.2 | 1.22 |
|
|
4.25 | 1.22 |
|
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3.9 | 1.22 |
|
|
4.25 | 1.23 |
|
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Who will win the Gabriel Diallo vs Taylor Fritz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Gabriel Diallo vs Taylor Fritz match is: Fritz to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Gabriel Diallo vs Taylor Fritz game on 24/09/2025 of the current ATP Japan Open season:
- Gabriel Diallo has a 22.05% chance to win against Taylor Fritz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.33.
- Taylor Fritz has a 77.95% probability of winning facing Gabriel Diallo ⭐ with odds of 1.25 at Betwinner.
Gabriel Diallo vs Taylor Fritz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Gabriel Diallo has a 22.05 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Diallo | 22.05 % |
| Taylor Fritz | 77.95 % |
Gabriel Diallo vs Taylor Fritz Form
Gabriel Diallo and Taylor Fritz Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
20 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
20 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
12 Sep 2025 - Davis Cup
2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Gabriel Diallo vs Taylor Fritz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Fritz Key Points
- Fritz has defeated Diallo twice this season.
- Half of Diallo’s last 10 outings have ended in defeat.
- Fritz has won seven times in his last 10 fixtures.
- Diallo has lost six times against top 10 players this year.
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Our Gabriel Diallo vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Our prediction for Gabriel Diallo v Taylor Fritz is for Fritz to win in three sets. Fritz has won twice this season against Diallo. Coupling this head-to-head record with his strong form this season, Fritz should be able to move into the next round.
The American has been one of the top performers this season and is coming off a strong display at the Laver Cup. However, we do not have Fritz having a smooth sail against Diallo. This is because he has had little time to prepare, with just three days between this and his last match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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