ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions
Sixth seed Alex de Minaur gets his Paris Masters campaign underway on Wednesday. In round two of this indoor hard court tournament, he faces unseeded Gabriel Diallo. Will we see a seeding upset? Read our match prediction below.
Alex de Minaur needs a good run in this tournament to boost his Tour Finals qualification hopes. The Australian is seventh in both the live rankings and ATP Race but it's tight in the race to Turin so a deep run in Paris is definitely going to be useful.
De Minaur has a good record in this tournament and has reached the quarter-finals for the past two years. In 2025, he's won 51 matches and has made it to at least the last eight in nine hard court tournaments this year including his last four.
Gabriel Diallo is playing in the Paris Masters for the first time. He beat Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-4 in the first round. That's taken the Canadian to 41st in the live rankings. It was his 18th hard court win of 2025, 20 fewer than his opponent.
Diallo has played de Minaur once and lost to him in straight sets two years ago on a hard court. He'd lost three of his last four matches before beating Griekspoor. We tip de Minaur to win this in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gabriel Diallo v Alex De Minaur Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 1.25 |
|
|
3.75 | 1.29 |
|
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3.6 | 1.28 |
|
|
3.92 | 1.26 |
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Who will win the Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur match is: De Minaur wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur game on 29/10/2025 of the current Rolex Paris Masters season:
- Gabriel Diallo has a 29.22% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.
- Alex De Minaur has a 70.78% probability of winning facing Gabriel Diallo ⭐ with odds of 1.29 at Betway.
Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Gabriel Diallo has a 29.22 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Diallo | 29.22 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 70.78 % |
Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Form
Gabriel Diallo and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
22 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
15 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
13 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
7 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
10 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- De Minaur is 34 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- Only six players have earned more ranking points than de Minaur this year.
- De Minaur won the only previous meeting between the pair in straight sets.
- De Minaur has reached the quarter-finals in Paris for the past two years.
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Our Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex de Minaur has had an amazingly consistent year. Only one title has been won but he has continually made it to at least the last eight of tournaments, especially on hard courts. His record in Paris is strong and he won his only previous match against Diallo without dropping a set.
His opponent is making his Paris Masters debut. He's not been in great form and only won two consecutive matches in a tournament once since June. Our Gabriel Diallo v Alex de Minaur prediction is De Minaur wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
