Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
With a new manager in the dugout, Werder Bremen face the difficult task of stopping the home record of Freiburg in a matchday 21 fixture. This match in Freiburg between the seventh-placed Breisgau Brazilians and the 15th-placed ‘River Islanders’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
The hosts have 27 points (W7, D6, L7) and start this round eight points behind the top six teams. The visitors have 19 points (W4, D7, L9) and are a point above the relegation zone.
Freiburg lost 1-0 away at Stuttgart last weekend to make it consecutive defeats with the same score in all competitions. In the Bundesliga, Freiburg have three wins from their last eight games (D2, L3).
It’s their home form that makes Freiburg a tough team to face, as they won eight of their last nine competitive games here (D1). That included winning four of their last five Bundesliga home matches.
Werder drew 1-1 at home against Borussia Monchengladbach last weekend to extend their winless run to ten matches (D4, L6). With six of those matches seeing them fail to score, it’s evident that they are struggling to find the net.
That has been the case on the road too, as Werder lost four of their last five league trips (D1), failing to score in four matches in that sequence.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Freiburg v Werder Bremen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.14 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.62 | 3.64 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Werder Bremen?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Werder Bremen match is: Freiburg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Freiburg and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.47% for a win of Freiburg against Werder Bremen with odds of 2.14 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Werder Bremen is 25.42% with odds of 3.75 at BC Game.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Werder Bremen vs Freiburg with odds of 4.2 at BC Game.
Freiburg - Werder Bremen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Werder Bremen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 64.47% | 2.14 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 60.25% | 2.17 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 33.82% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Form
Freiburg and Werder Bremen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
|
15
|
32 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 |
Freiburg and Werder Bremen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against Werder Bremen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderJ. Makengo
K. Steinmann
A. Jung
N. Hofler
Y. Suzuki
D. Scherhant
C. Irie
L. Holer
K. Hein
DefenderF. Agu
C. Puertas
I. Schmidt
P. Covic
L. Bittencourt
ForwardS. Mbangula Tshifunda
J. Milosevic
M. Grull
Missing players
L. Kubler
P. Lienhart
MidfielderD. Kyereh
M. Weiser
N. Stark
A. Pieper
MidfielderW. Adeh
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
J. Stage
(10 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
R. Schmid
(7 Assists)
Freiburg - Werder Bremen Key Points
- Freiburg won three of their last six Bundesliga matches.
- At home, Freiburg won four of their last five Bundesliga games, drawing the other.
- In all competitions, Freiburg have won eight of their last nine matches, drawing the other.
- Werder lost five of their last eight Bundesliga games, drawing the other three.
- On the road, Werder lost four of their last five away league games.
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Our Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction
Freiburg may be indifferent in their recent overall form, but their record at home is almost impeccable. They have eight wins from their last nine home matches in all competitions and haven’t lost any of their last 13 games at this venue. That could prove difficult for Werder to halt, as the visitors lost four of their five recent Bundesliga trips. Even their recent form is a concern for the new incoming manager.
The hosts could continue their inspiring form, and our Freiburg vs Werder Bremen prediction is Freiburg wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Werder Bremen
| Freiburg vs Werder Bremen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 1.78 | 2.14 | +20.2% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.75 | -3.8% |
| Werder Bremen wins | 4.6 | 4.2 | -8.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.2% and is now 46.7% (-9.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
