Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Freiburg will pin their hopes on an impressive home record to stay closer to the top six as the relegation-threatened Union Berlin visit on matchday 26. This match on Sunday between the eighth-placed ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ and the 11th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
Ahead of this round, Freiburg’s 34 points (W9, D7, L9) put them ten points behind the top six and one point behind seventh. Union’s 28 points (W7, D7, L11) see them start four points above the relegation zone.
Freiburg lost 1-0 away at Genk in the Europa League last-16 first leg, keeping them winless in three competitive matches (D1, L2). That included a 3-3 draw at home against Leverkusen last weekend in the league.
The hosts have won only three of their last seven Bundesliga matches, but their record at home is much better. Freiburg won six of their last eight home Bundesliga fixtures and remain a big threat.
Union lost 4-1 at home against Werder Bremen last weekend, making it their fifth loss in their last seven Bundesliga games (W1, D1). This run has put them closer to the drop zone, with relegation a running threat.
Away form remains a concern for Union, who have lost three Bundesliga trips on the bounce. That kept them winless in five away league games (D2, L3).
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Freiburg v Union Berlin Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.19 | 3.3 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.32 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.32 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.2 | 3.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Union Berlin match is: Freiburg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Freiburg and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.25% for a win of Freiburg against Union Berlin with odds of 2.22 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Union Berlin is 28.56% with odds of 3.45 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs Freiburg with odds of 3.68 at 888Starz.
Freiburg - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 50.25% | 2.22 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 52.43% | 2.2 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 27.05% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Freiburg vs Union Berlin Form
Freiburg and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
Freiburg and Union Berlin Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
13 May 2023 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderP. Lienhart
A. Jung
C. Gunter
L. Kubler
MidfielderP. Osterhage
J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
V. Grifo
C. Klaus
DefenderJ. Juranovic
T. Rothe
A. Markgraf
MidfielderJ. Woo-yeong
A. Kral
A. Kemlein
O. Burke
D. Preu
Missing players
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
L. Querfeld
MidfielderA. Schafer
ForwardR. Skov
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Union Berlin
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
Freiburg - Union Berlin Key Points
- Freiburg won six of their last eight home matches in the Bundesliga, drawing the other two.
- In the Bundesliga, Freiburg won and lost three games each in their last six fixtures.
- Union Berlin lost five of their last seven Bundesliga matches.
- Union Berlin were beaten in their last three away league matches.
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Our Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction
Freiburg are ten points behind the top six before this round, which may force them to look at the current Europa League campaign. They have an upcoming second leg fixture in the last-16 against Genk to look forward to, which adds an extra dimension. What works for Freiburg is their home record, which is nearly impeccable! Freiburg have ten wins from their last 12 home games in all competitions, and that’s a worry for travel-weary Union.
Union have lost their last three away league games, and our Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction is Freiburg wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Union Berlin
| Freiburg vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 2.12 | 2.22 | +4.7% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.45 | +3.0% |
| Union Berlin wins | 3.6 | 3.68 | +2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.2% and is now 45.0% (-2.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
