Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Bundesliga Predictions
St Pauli could see themselves in the 2025-26 Bundesliga relegation zone if they don’t change things starting with the matchday 10 fixture against Freiburg. This match on Sunday at Europa-Park-Stadion between the 11th-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the 15th-placed Kiezkicker comes with our prediction of a home win.
With ten points (W2, D4, L3), Freiburg are only four points above the relegation zone. St Pauli have only seven points (W2, D1, L6) and find themselves just a point above the bottom three ahead of this round.
Freiburg won 3-1 away at Nice in the Europa League, making it three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five competitive matches. One of those wins was in the DFB Pokal, and the hosts would be keen to translate that success to the league.
The hosts drew 0-0 away at Union Berlin last matchday, making it four draws and a loss from their five recent league games. At home, they have one win and two draws.
A 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Borussia Monchengladbach last matchday extended St Pauli’s unwanted record. They have now lost six matches in a row in the league, and worryingly, five of those were without scoring.
That’s a malaise on the road too, as St Pauli lost their recent three league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v St. Pauli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.45 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs St. Pauli match is: Freiburg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Freiburg and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.37% for a win of Freiburg against St. Pauli with odds of 1.83 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs St. Pauli is 28.46% with odds of 3.64 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.17% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Freiburg with odds of 4.6 at LSbet.
Freiburg vs St. Pauli Form
Freiburg and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 |
|
16
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 |
Freiburg and St. Pauli Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
Freiburg vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs St. Pauli last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
D. Kyereh
ForwardC. Irie
D. Nemeth
A. Dzwigala
MidfielderR. Jade-Jones
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
St. Pauli
V. Grifo
(6 Goals)
J. Manzambi
(2 Assists)
,
V. Grifo
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Gunter
(2 Assists)
E. Smith
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Fujita
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Pereira Lage
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Sinani
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Saliakas
(1 Assists)
Freiburg and St. Pauli Stats in Bundesliga
Freiburg - St. Pauli Key Points
- Freiburg saw their four home league matches this season produce BTTS.
- Freiburg won three of their last five competitive matches.
- St. Pauli lost five of their recent six home league matches without scoring.
- St. Pauli lost all three of their recent away league games.
- Freiburg won 1-0 when these sides last met in February.
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Our Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction
After losing six in a row in the Bundesliga, St Pauli are in grave danger of getting dragged into the relegation zone. With only a point separating them from the bottom three, another adverse result here will pull them down the table. Freiburg haven’t quite excelled in this competition but have been successful in recent weeks in the DFB Pokal and the Europa League competitions.
Freiburg are likely to translate continental success to the league to address their mounting concerns, and that’s why our Freiburg vs St. Pauli prediction is Freiburg wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
