Freiburg vs SC Braga Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
Freiburg bid to reach their first ever European final. They trail Braga 2-1 after the away first leg of this Europa League sem-final but have an excellent home record in Europe this season. All of their home games in this season's Europa League have been won and one more could take them into the final against either Nottingham Forest or Aston Villa. Will it be a successful night against Braga for the Breisgou Brazliians?
The home side nearly came home from Braga with a draw last weekend. It took a 92nd minute goal by the Archbishops to see them take a slender lead into this second leg. Freiburg will be hopeful they can claw back that one-goal deficit.
Braga were the losing finalists in the Europa League 15 years ago. They will be relieved to have gained that narrow lead to take to Freiburg for this second leg but haven't been at their best on the road in the UEL this season. Can they hold on and get to the final?
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Freiburg v SC Braga Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.75 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.62 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.74 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.6 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and SC Braga?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs SC Braga match is: Freiburg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/05/2026 between Freiburg and SC Braga in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.8% for a win of Freiburg against SC Braga with odds of 1.85 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs SC Braga is 13.58% with odds of 3.88 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.62% chance ⭐ for a win of SC Braga vs Freiburg with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
Freiburg - SC Braga Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg SC Braga Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| SC Braga wins | 50.62% | 5.4 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.82% | 2.3 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: SC Braga | 19.5% | 10 at LSbet |
Freiburg vs SC Braga Form
Freiburg and SC Braga Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
Freiburg vs SC Braga Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
Freiburg - SC Braga: Form Analysis
Freiburg have won their last nine home European fixtures. The German Bundesliga side were last beaten at home in Europe by West Ham United in the 2023-24 season. If they can get past Braga, then they will qualify for their first ever European final.
Can Freiburg continue their 100 percent home European record?
All four of their home games in the league phase were won with three clean sheets being kept. In the knockout stages, the Breisgou Brazilians have beaten Genk 5-1 and Celta eVigo 3-0. Freiburg are seventh in the Bundesliga and that would take them into next season's Conference League.
Their most recent game saw them held to a 1-1 home draw by Wolfsburg making it four without a win but three were away fixtures. They are unbeaten in their last three home fixtures. Only one of the last five has been lost and that was to champions Bayern Munich.
Braga needed a 92nd minute goal to win the home first leg 2-1. They are also looking set to be in the Conference League next season unless they can win this competition. The Arsenalists have won three of their six away games in this season's Europa League.
There has been a loss at Ferencvaros and draws at Rangers and Go Ahead Eagles. In the quarter-finals they won 4-2 at Real Betis but that's their only win in their last three European games.
They were also held to a 1-1 home draw in their last match with Estoril avoiding defeat at Braga. The Archbishops had won three away games in a row before recently being beaten 2-1 at Santa Clara.
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Freiburg against SC Braga Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Muller
J. Huth
DefenderA. Jung
C. Gunter
B. Ogbus
K. Steinmann
J. Makengo
R. Tarnutzer
ForwardL. Holer
D. Scherhant
M. Philipp
C. Irie
A. Bellaarouch
T. Sa
DefenderR. Silva
L. Lelo
J. Noro
MidfielderY. da Rocha
F. Navarro
G. Moscardo
L. Pinto
ForwardG. Martinez
A. El Ouazzani
R. Horta
Missing players
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderP. Osterhage
Y. Suzuki
Freiburg & SC Braga Squad Analysis
Freiburg played Wolfsburg at home on Sunday and suffered a major injury blow. Yuito Suzuki fractured his collarbone in that German Bundesliga match and it is unlikely that he will play again this season. He's scored nine goals and made seven assists this term.
The home side have one goal to make up in this second leg. They would love an early goal to level the tie but if that doesn't come along, patience is going to be needed as they try to qualify for their first ever European final.
More goals from Grifo?
Vicenzo Grifo was on target in the first leg. He's scored in two of their last three games in this competition with five goals and three assists in total.
Braga will be without Ricardo Horta who was injured in the first leg of this tie. The Arsenalists have only won one of their last three away Europa League games but will hope Mario Dorgeles will carry on where he finished off last week with the late winner in the first leg.
Three away games have been won by Braga in this season's Europa League. A repeat of the performance that saw them win 4-2 at Real Betis in the quarter-finals would be more than good enough, though that was the second successive away fixture in which they've conceded twice.
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
SC Braga
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
R. Horta
(4 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
R. Horta
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Gomez
(4 Assists)
Freiburg - SC Braga Key Points
- Freibug have won their last nine home European games.
- Freiburg have sccored eight goals in their last two European home fixtures.
- Freiburg are unbeaten in their last three home matches.
- Braga have only won one of their last three away European games.
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Our Freiburg vs SC Braga Prediction
Braga gained a one-goal advantage to take to Germany for the second leg of this Europa League semi-final. They have only won one of their last three away games in Europe, failing to score in two of them.
Freiburg are attempting to make it ten successive home wins in European competition. They have won six at home this season with four clean sheets being kept and only conceding two goals in total. Our main Freiburg v Braga prediction is SC Freiburg wins.
Freiburg vs SC Braga Alternative Predictions
Vicenzo Grifo scores
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg SC Braga
| Freiburg vs SC Braga | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 1.85 | 1.85 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.88 | +14.1% |
| SC Braga wins | 4.33 | 5.4 | +24.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- SC Braga is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 24.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.1% and is now 18.5% (-4.6%)
Freiburg vs SC Braga - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
