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Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Action resumes in the German Bundesliga with matchday 16 at the Europa-Park Stadion on Saturday featuring hosts Freiburg against relegation-threatened Holstein. This match between the ninth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the 17th-placed Die Störche comes with our prediction of a home win and over 2.5 goals.
Freiburg starts this round in 9th place with 24 points and one behind the top five, while Holstein is 17th with eight points and still six behind automatic safety. The home team was thrashed 5-1 by Bayer Leverkusen in their last match before the winter break. It was still just their second defeat across the last seven league matches, winning two and drawing three.
Despite that indifferent overall form, Freiburg has been dominant at this venue. They have five wins out of seven league matches here, drawing and losing once each.
Holstein gave themselves a lift-up with a 5-1 home win over Augsburg getting into the winter break. That result halted a five-game losing streak, each of which saw them concede at least two goals. That has largely contributed to their poor defence that saw them concede a league-high 38 goals after 15 matches.
Results eluded them on the road, as Holstein has lost their last five away games in all competitions. To go with that, they have conceded 23 goals in nine away matches this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v Holstein Kiel Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.46 | 5.06 | 6.82 |
|
|
1.46 | 5.06 | 6.82 |
|
|
1.46 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.76 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.76 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.9 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.86 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.46 | 5.2 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.9 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.8 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.47 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Holstein Kiel?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel match is: Freiburg wins and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2025 between Freiburg and Holstein Kiel in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.61% for a win of Freiburg against Holstein Kiel with odds of 1.49 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel is 11.81% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg with odds of 7 at Betfred.
Freiburg - Holstein Kiel Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Holstein Kiel Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 68.61% | 1.49 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84.39% | 1.58 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 73.81% | 1.83 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Freiburg/Freiburg | 42.15% | 2.2 at Betsson |
Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel Form
Freiburg and Holstein Kiel's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
27 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -9 |
|
18
|
11 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -20 |
Freiburg and Holstein Kiel Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Nov 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against Holstein Kiel Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
M. Gulde
B. Ogbus
MidfielderD. Kyereh
C. Kleine-Bekel
MidfielderP. Erras
M. Schulz
ForwardS. Skrzybski
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Holstein Kiel
V. Grifo
(7 Goals)
S. Machino
(8 Goals)
V. Grifo
(8 Assists)
F. Porath
(3 Assists)
Freiburg - Holstein Kiel Key Points
- Freiburg won four of their last five home matches in all competitions.
- In the Bundesliga, Freiburg won six of their last eight matches, with all six seeing more than two goals scored.
- Holstein lost five of their last six league matches.
- In five of their last six league matches, Holstein has seen over 2.5 goals produced.
- Holstein has lost each of their last five away matches in all competitions, each witnessing at least three goals.
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Our Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction
Freiburg hasn't been as consistent as they would have wished, although they are still within touching distance of the top five. That’s largely due to their home form, which is nearly impeccable with only five points dropped across seven matches this season. That could continue here against a Holstein side that is languishing deep in the relegation zone. They have been consistently losing on the road as well. Goals could also flow, and that’s why our prediction for Freiburg vs Holstein is Freiburg wins and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Holstein Kiel
| Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 1.36 | 1.45 | +6.6% |
| Draw | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| Holstein Kiel wins | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 69.0% (-4.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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