Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells

WTA - WTA Indian Wells

WTA 98 Great Britain
Francesca Jones
05/03/2026 16:05
WTA 136 USA
Kayla Day

Prediction :

 

Francesca Jones wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

For the first time since 2016, qualifier Kayla Day faces unseeded Francesca Jones. Who will make it through to round two of the outdoor hard court BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells? Read our match prediction below.

It was in the Wimbledon Juniors tournament that they last met. Day won that match in three sets and a decade later.

26-year-old Day reached round two of this Sunshine Swing event two years ago. This year saw her need to qualify and the American won both her matches in straight sets. 14 of her 17 matches have been won this year but in W35 and W50 tournaments.

This is only her second ATP Tour main draw match this year after a recent loss in Austin.

Francesca Jones is 90th in the live rankings, 80 places above her opponent. The 25-year-old is making her debut at Indian Wells. Jones has only played five matches this year (all on this surface), winning two of them.

Those wins came in Auckland, where the British player beat Emma Navarro on her way to the semi-finals. Jones retired in the last four and also round one of the Australian Open. Her one match since then was a loss to Peyton Stearns in Austin.

We tip Jones to win.

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Francesca Jones v Kayla Day Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.23 1.66
Betwinner
2.23 1.66
Bet365
2 1.8
Roobet
2.22 1.6
BC Game
2.26 1.58
Check all Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day odds

Who will win the Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day match is: Francesca Jones wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day game on 05/03/2026 of the current WTA Indian Wells season:

  • Francesca Jones has a 45.43% chance to win against Kayla Day according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.35.
  • Kayla Day has a 54.57% probability of winning facing Francesca Jones ⭐ with odds of 1.86 at Tonybet.

Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Francesca Jones has a 45.43 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Francesca Jones45.43 %
Kayla Day54.57 %

Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day Form

Francesca Jones and Kayla Day Last Matches

Francesca Jones Last matches
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

24 Feb 2026 - ATX Open

Francesca Jones
1 :  2
Peyton Stearns

6 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Sinja Kraus
1 :  2
Francesca Jones

5 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Francesca Jones
2 :  1
Emma Navarro

20 Oct 2025 - WTA Guangzhou

Francesca Jones
0 :  2
Xiyu Wang

13 Sept 2025 - WTA Sao Paulo

Janice Tjen
2 :  0
Francesca Jones

12 Sept 2025 - WTA Sao Paulo

Francesca Jones
2 :  0
Solana Sierra
Kayla Day Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

3 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Darja Semenistaja
0 :  2
Kayla Day

1 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Kayla Day
2 :  0
Aliaksandra Sasnovich

21 Feb 2026 - ATX Open

Madison Brengle
2 :  0
Kayla Day

18 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Kayla Day
0 :  2
Ena Shibahara

24 Jun 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Ella Seidel
2 :  1
Kayla Day

29 May 2023 - WTA French Open

Kayla Day
2 :  0
Kristina Mladenovic

Francesca Jones - Kayla Day Key Points

  1. Jones is 80 places above Day in the live rankings.
  2. Jones has reached one WTA Tour semi-final this year.
  3. Day has been successful this year but on the ITF circuit.
  4. Day is yet to win a main draw match on the WTA Tour in 2026.
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Our Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day Prediction

Francesca Jones has had injury problems in the past six months, having to retire from a match three times. When fit, the British player has been making her way up the rankings and was a semi-finalist in Auckland this year.

Kayla Day has won two ITF titles this year but lost her only main draw match on the main WTA Tour. A side bet on this going to three sets (as was the case ten years ago) could win. Our main Francesca Jones v Kayla Day prediction is Francesca Jones wins.

Prediction :

 

Francesca Jones wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Francesca Jones vs Kayla Day Prediction