Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Acapulco Open
ATP - ATP Acapulco Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Frances Tiafoe is attempting to reach his first Abierto Mexicano Telcel semi-final. The eighth seed faces unseeded Mattia Bellucci who caused a big shock in the last round of this outdoor hard court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
A semi-final against either sixth seed Valentin Vacherot or unseeded Brandon Nakashima awaits the winner.
Tiafoe's previous best performance in Acapulco was three years ago when also making it to the last eight. The American is in his second straight ATP Tour quarter-final after also reaching this stage in Delray Beach last week.
He's had wins over Nuno Borges and Aleksandar Kovacevic this week, needing three sets to win the latter. Three of his last four matches have seen the 28-year-old lose a set and is 28th in the live rankings.
He won his one previous match against Bellucci. That was a five-setter on clay at Roland Garros.
Mattia Bellucci beat the fourth seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the last 16. The Italian did so for the loss of only six games. It's a return to form for Bellucci after three successive losses before this week. His best run in 2026 has been a Challenger Tour semi-final and is up to 94th in the live rankings.
We tip Bellucci to win a set.
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Frances Tiafoe v Mattia Bellucci Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 3.05 |
|
|
1.42 | 2.87 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.38 | 2.86 |
|
|
1.38 | 2.86 |
|
Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci match is: Mattia Bellucci wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci game on 26/02/2026 of the current ATP Acapulco Open season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 68.51% chance to win against Mattia Bellucci according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
- Mattia Bellucci has a 31.49% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 3.05 at Melbet.
Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 68.51 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 68.51 % |
| Mattia Bellucci | 31.49 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci Form
Frances Tiafoe and Mattia Bellucci Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
20 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
19 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
11 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
9 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
10 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
27 May 2024 - ATP French Open
Frances Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci Key Points
- Bellucci beat the fourth seed in the last round.
- Bellucci won two sets in his only previous match against Tiafoe.
- Tiafoe has lost at least one set in three of his last four matches.
- Bellucci has won at least one set in six of his last eight matches.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction
After his only previous appearance in the Mexican Open ended in a first round loss last year, it's gone much better for Mattia Bellucci this week. He has returned to form on the ATP Tour with two straight sets wins. That includes beating fourth-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
His one previous match against Tiafoe went the distance in the French Open. He will hope for another good performance in this quarter-final. Tiafoe is in good form but needed three sets to beat Kovacevic. Our Frances Tiafoe v Mattia Bellucci prediction is Mattia Bellucci wins a set.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
