Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP US Open Predictions
Not since 2003 has an American player won the US Open men's singles title. We're guaranteed an American finalist this year as eighth seed Ben Shelton takes on 11th-seeded Frances Tiafoe in the semi-finals. Shelton leads Tiafoe 3-1 in previous meetings and our prediction is he will win set one and the match.
The quarter-finals saw Shelton beat the defending champion and second seed Carlos Alcaraz in a marathon five-setter. That match saw two tie-breaks played and a side bet on this match seeing one played could well be successful. Three of their four previous meetings have seen one played.
Shelton has won the opening set in three of his last four matches in this tournament.
Frances Tiafoe trails Shelton 3-1 in previous meetings, but it's 1-1 in the US Open. Their most recent match saw Shelton win last year on this surface.
Tiafoe also had to go to five sets in his quarter-final. He trailed Alex Michelsen 2-0 but recovered to win the next three sets (the final one on a tie-break) and reach his third US Open semi-final (one more than his opponent). He has beaten two seeds so far to reach the last four.
All four of their previous matches saw Shelton win the opening set.
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Frances Tiafoe v Ben Shelton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 1.3 |
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3.45 | 1.33 |
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|
3.4 | 1.32 |
|
|
3.48 | 1.3 |
|
|
3.4 | 1.33 |
|
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Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton match is: Ben Shelton wins set one and match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton game on 11/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 37.03% chance to win against Ben Shelton according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 3.5.
- Ben Shelton has a 62.97% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 1.34 at Shangrila.
Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 37.03 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 37.03 % |
| Ben Shelton | 62.97 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Form
Frances Tiafoe and Ben Shelton Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
8 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
6 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
23 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
8 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
6 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
30 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open
7 Apr 2024 - ATP Houston
5 Sept 2023 - ATP US Open
Frances Tiafoe - Ben Shelton Key Points
- Shelton leads Tiafoe 3-1 in previous meetings.
- Shelton beat the defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the last round.
- Shelton won the opening set in all four of his previous matches against Tiafoe.
- Tiafoe had to come from 2-0 down to beat unseeded Alex Michelsen in the last round.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Prediction
We could well see another marathon match here. Bets on five sets and tie-breaks could well be successful here. Ben Shelton is in top form and beat Carlos Alcaraz in the quarter-finals to reach his second US Open semi-final. He has only lost one of his four previous matches against his opponent.
Frances Tiafoe looked on his way out when he lost the first two sets of his quarter-final against Alex Michelsen. This is going to be tough for him and therefore our Frances Tiafoe v Ben Shelton prediction is Ben Shelton wins set one and match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
