Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
09/08/2026 18:30
Vitoria

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Flamengo take on Vitoria on matchday 22 of the Brasileirao Serie A at Maracana in what promises to be an exciting encounter. The previous meetings between these two sides have rarely lacked excitement, especially in the final third, with their last five league meetings producing a combined 13 goals. Therefore, our prediction backs over 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Flamengo enter this clash sitting in second place in the league standings with 39 points accumulated.

It has been a convincing display from the Rio de Janeiro outfit, who have gone four games without defeat, recording two wins and two draws.

The Scarlet and Black had trouble outplaying Internacional in their recent league outing and had to settle for a 1-1 draw on the road. That outcome marked the second successive match to end with the same scoreline.

Vitoria are in 13th place in the league standings with 26 points accumulated and are four points ahead of the drop zone.

The Blue Eagles have struggled for consistency in the Brasileirao Serie A, navigating three games without a win. In their latest match, they were silenced in a 4-0 home defeat by Palmeiras. 

However, the Espirito Santo outfit will draw confidence from their recent success in the Copa do Brasil last 16 to secure a positive outcome this time around. They beat Athletico-PR 4-0 at home to progress to the next round with a 4-2 aggregate triumph.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Flamengo v Vitoria Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.26 6.2 12
1xbet
1.28 5.86 12.6
Melbet
1.26 5.7 12
Betwinner
1.26 5.7 12
Bet365
1.22 5.75 13
Check all Flamengo vs Vitoria odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and Vitoria?

Our prediction for the Flamengo vs Vitoria match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/08/2026 between Flamengo and Vitoria in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.49% for a win of Flamengo against Vitoria with odds of 1.28 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs Vitoria is 14.7% with odds of 6.2 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria vs Flamengo with odds of 13 at Bet365.

Flamengo - Vitoria Prediction and Best Odds:

Flamengo Vitoria Prediction Probability Odds
Flamengo wins 63.49% 1.28 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 61.59% 1.8 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 57.08%
Half-time / Full-time : Flamengo/Flamengo 31.04% 1.85 at Betsson

Flamengo vs Vitoria Form

Flamengo and Vitoria's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Flamengo
60 28 18 6 4 +32
13 Vitoria
33 28 9 6 13 -14

Flamengo and Vitoria Last Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo Last matches
W W W W D D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
1 :  1
Flamengo

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  1
SAO Paulo

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  4
Flamengo

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Flamengo
4 :  2
Club Olimpia

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lausanne-Sport
0 :  2
Flamengo
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  1
SAO Paulo

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Flamengo
4 :  2
Club Olimpia

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Coritiba

26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
3 :  0
Cusco FC

23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
0 :  3
Palmeiras

20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
1 :  0
Estudiantes de La Plata
D D W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
1 :  1
Flamengo

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  4
Flamengo

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lausanne-Sport
0 :  2
Flamengo

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  2
Flamengo

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  1
Flamengo
Vitoria
Vitoria Last matches
W D L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
4 :  0
Atletico Paranense

3 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico Paranense
2 :  0
Vitoria

29 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
0 :  4
Palmeiras

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
2 :  0
Vitoria

23 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Vitoria

16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  0
Vasco Da Gama
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
4 :  0
Atletico Paranense

29 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
0 :  4
Palmeiras

16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

6 Jun 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste

Vitoria
2 :  1
Fortaleza

23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
2 :  0
Internacional

20 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste

Vitoria
6 :  2
ABC FC RN
W L W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico Paranense
2 :  0
Vitoria

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
2 :  0
Vitoria

23 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Vitoria

2 Jun 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste

Fortaleza
1 :  2
Vitoria

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
3 :  1
Vitoria

27 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste

ABC FC RN
3 :  4
Vitoria

Flamengo vs Vitoria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Flamengo

67 %

Draw

17 %

Vitoria

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
2 :  0
Flamengo

22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Flamengo
2 :  1
Vitoria

10 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  2
Flamengo

25 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
8 :  0
Vitoria

6 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  2
Flamengo

8 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  2
Vitoria
Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction

Flamengo against Vitoria Lineups: Starting 11

Flamengo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Rossi
2
G. Varela
3
L. Ortiz
4
L. Pereira
6
A. Lucas
5
E. Pulgar
21
Jorginho
15
J. Carrascal
10
G. de Arrascaeta
16
S. Lino
9
Pedro
10
Matheuzinho
91
C. de Sousa Ferreira
33
Erick
6
E. Martinez
15
Walace
88
J. Silva Neves
83
Jamerson
95
Caique
2
E. Britez
70
Fabiano
1
L. Willians

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Vitoria

Substitutes

Flamengo
Flamengo
Goalkeeper

Andrew

D. Alves

Defender

J. Goes

Emerson

Danilo

Midfielder

L. Paqueta

G. de Arrascaeta 64'

Evertton

Jorginho 74'

W. Yan

S. Niguez

Forward

G. Plata

S. Lino 74'

Lorran

J. Carrascal 86'

B. Pinto

Pedro 74'

Vitoria
Vitoria
Goalkeeper

Y. Sena

Fintelman

Defender

Ramon

M. Duarte

Midfielder

E. Nascimento Filho

J. Silva Neves 90'

D. Tarzia

Erick 46'

T. Pochettino

Walace 69'

Forward

F. Dos Santos

C. de Sousa Ferreira 80'

W. dos Santos Sacramento

O. Lourenco Filho

R. Kayzer

Marinho

Matheuzinho 46'

Missing players

Flamengo
Flamengo
Vitoria
Vitoria
Defender

C. de Menezes Junior

Riccieli

Camutanga

Edu

Claudinho

Midfielder

Dudu

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Flamengo
CD Huachipato Vitoria
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Pedro (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil C. de Sousa Ferreira (9 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil S. Lino (7 Assists)
Colombia J. Carrascal (7 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Erick (4 Assists)

Flamengo - Vitoria Key Points

  1. Flamengo have seen three of their last five league games end with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Vitoria have conceded six goals in their last two league games.
  3. Flamengo have scored ten goals in their last two home league meetings against Vitoria.
  4. Vitoria are conceding 2.18 goals per game when playing away.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction

Flamengo are heavy favourites to claim all three points in front of their home crowd. This season, they've won five of their last nine home league games and with 17 goals scored across those outings, they find themselves averaging 1.89 goals per game.

Little can be expected from Vitoria, who boast the league's joint second-worst away record. They've lost seven of their last 11 games and have conceded an alarming 24 goals, highlighting their porous defence. We see the hosts exploiting that weak backline and securing a commanding victory. Our Flamengo vs Vitoria prediction: over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Flamengo Vitoria

Flamengo vs Vitoria Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Flamengo wins 1.3 1.28 -1.5%
Draw 5.4 6.2 +14.8%
Vitoria wins 11.7 13 +11.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Flamengo is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 78.1% (1.2%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Flamengo vs. Vitoria game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Flamengo and Vitoria? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.