Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
26/07/2026 17:30
SAO Paulo

Prediction :

 

Flamengo wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

Flamengo will hope to close in on league leaders Palmeiras when they host Sao Paulo in their next Serie A game. Reigning champions Flamengo are second in the standings, while Sao Paulo sit just outside the continental football slots. Sao Paulo’s five straight defeats on the road don’t cover them in glory, and this prediction doesn’t go their way either.

Flamengo are locked in the title race, targeting a fourth league gong in eight seasons. Ahead of this encounter, they trail the league leaders by seven points but with a game in hand.

In their last two matches, Flamengo dished out heavy defeats, scoring seven times as they overcame Coritiba (3-0) and Chapecoense (4-0).

In these teams’ reverse meeting, Sao Paulo posted a 2-1 win. However, on their last visit here, they lost 2-0, extending their winless run in Serie A away to Flamengo to five.

They are looking to halt that, but two straight defeats don’t leave the best impression. The visitors are coming off losses against promoted sides Athletico-PR (2-1) and Remo (1-0).

That means they are now without a league win in six straight outings, having last posted a league victory in April when they beat Mirassol 1-0. Sampa have only managed seven wins in their 19 league encounters so far, losing eight times.

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Flamengo v SAO Paulo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.47 4.3 6.6
1xbet
1.48 4.38 7.2
Melbet
1.47 4.32 7
Betwinner
1.47 4.32 7
Bet365
1.45 4.2 7
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What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and SAO Paulo?

Our prediction for the Flamengo vs SAO Paulo match is: Flamengo wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/07/2026 between Flamengo and SAO Paulo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.62% for a win of Flamengo against SAO Paulo with odds of 1.52 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs SAO Paulo is 25.07% with odds of 4.38 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.31% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Flamengo with odds of 7.2 at 1xbet.

Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Form

Flamengo and SAO Paulo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Flamengo
37 18 11 4 3 +19
12 SAO Paulo
25 19 7 4 8 +2

Flamengo and SAO Paulo Last Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo Last matches
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  4
Flamengo

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Flamengo
4 :  2
Club Olimpia

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lausanne-Sport
0 :  2
Flamengo

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  2
Flamengo

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Coritiba
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Flamengo
4 :  2
Club Olimpia

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Coritiba

26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
3 :  0
Cusco FC

23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
0 :  3
Palmeiras

20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
1 :  0
Estudiantes de La Plata

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  2
Vasco Da Gama
L D D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  4
Flamengo

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lausanne-Sport
0 :  2
Flamengo

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  2
Flamengo

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  1
Flamengo

14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
2 :  0
Flamengo
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
L D D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  2
Atletico Paranense

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
CA Boston River

23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Botafogo

19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Millonarios FC

16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
SAO Paulo
W D D D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  2
Atletico Paranense

26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
CA Boston River

23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Botafogo

19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Millonarios FC

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Bahia

25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Mirassol
D D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Juventude
3 :  1
SAO Paulo

10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
3 :  2
SAO Paulo

7 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

O'Higgins
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Millonarios FC
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Flamengo

33 %

Draw

33 %

SAO Paulo

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Flamengo

5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Flamengo

12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

19 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SAO Paulo
0 :  0
Flamengo

3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Flamengo

17 Apr 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  1
SAO Paulo
Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Prediction

Flamengo vs SAO Paulo last Lineups

Flamengo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Rossi
22
Emerson
44
Vitao
4
L. Pereira
6
A. Lucas
5
E. Pulgar
21
Jorginho
19
G. Plata
16
S. Lino
27
B. Pinto
9
Pedro
10
Luciano
9
J. Calleri
37
Artur
16
D. Bobadilla
29
P. Maia
8
Marcos Antonio
18
Wendell
2
R. Toloi
5
R. Arboleda
19
L. Ramon
23
Rafael

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

SAO Paulo

Substitutes

Flamengo
Flamengo
Goalkeeper

D. Alves

Andrew

Defender

G. Varela

Danilo

Alex Sandro

V. Joao

Midfielder

G. de Arrascaeta

S. Niguez

W. Yan

Evertton

Forward

Everton

Lorran

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Goalkeeper

C. Coronel

Defender

Isac

N. Bosshardt

L. Osorio

Midfielder

D. Ferreira

Cauly

D. Abelha

Forward

Ferreira

G. Santana

P. dos Santos

A. Silva

Joao Victor

Missing players

Flamengo
Flamengo
Midfielder

E. Pulgar

L. Paqueta

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Defender

R. Toloi

L. Ramon

A. Franco

Midfielder

Marcos Antonio

P. Maia

Forward

Lucas Moura

R. Francisco

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Flamengo
CD Huachipato SAO Paulo
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Pedro (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Luciano (6 Goals) Argentina J. Calleri (6 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil S. Lino (7 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Wendell (3 Assists)

Flamengo and SAO Paulo Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
Flamengo
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
61%
Wins
37%
17%
Losses
42%
22%
Draws
21%
2.83
Average goals per match
2.42
1.94
Goals scored per match
1.26
0.89
Goals conceded per match
1.16
33%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
44%
No goals conceded
21%
44%
BTTS
58%

Flamengo - SAO Paulo Key Points

  1. Sao Paulo are winless in five away league games at Flamengo.
  2. Sao Paulo haven't won any of their last six Serie A matches.
  3. Flamengo have won three of their last five home league games.
  4. Sao Paulo have lost five straight league games on the road.
  5. Flamengo are coming off back-to-back league wins.
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Our Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Prediction

Flamengo have posted back-to-back league wins ahead of this encounter. In their scoring form, they are likely to make it three, as they are also targeting revenge for their loss to Sao Paulo last time out. This should work perfectly for the hosts, as Sao Paulo have a history of struggling on the road in this fixture.

The visitors haven’t won at Flamengo in their last five visits, four ending in defeat. Our prediction for Flamengo v Sao Paulo is that Flamengo wins.

Prediction :

 

Flamengo wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.