Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Flamengo will hope to close in on league leaders Palmeiras when they host Sao Paulo in their next Serie A game. Reigning champions Flamengo are second in the standings, while Sao Paulo sit just outside the continental football slots. Sao Paulo’s five straight defeats on the road don’t cover them in glory, and this prediction doesn’t go their way either.
Flamengo are locked in the title race, targeting a fourth league gong in eight seasons. Ahead of this encounter, they trail the league leaders by seven points but with a game in hand.
In their last two matches, Flamengo dished out heavy defeats, scoring seven times as they overcame Coritiba (3-0) and Chapecoense (4-0).
In these teams’ reverse meeting, Sao Paulo posted a 2-1 win. However, on their last visit here, they lost 2-0, extending their winless run in Serie A away to Flamengo to five.
They are looking to halt that, but two straight defeats don’t leave the best impression. The visitors are coming off losses against promoted sides Athletico-PR (2-1) and Remo (1-0).
That means they are now without a league win in six straight outings, having last posted a league victory in April when they beat Mirassol 1-0. Sampa have only managed seven wins in their 19 league encounters so far, losing eight times.
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Flamengo v SAO Paulo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.47 | 4.3 | 6.6 |
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1.48 | 4.38 | 7.2 |
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1.47 | 4.32 | 7 |
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1.47 | 4.32 | 7 |
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1.45 | 4.2 | 7 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and SAO Paulo?
Our prediction for the Flamengo vs SAO Paulo match is: Flamengo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/07/2026 between Flamengo and SAO Paulo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.62% for a win of Flamengo against SAO Paulo with odds of 1.52 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs SAO Paulo is 25.07% with odds of 4.38 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.31% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Flamengo with odds of 7.2 at 1xbet.
Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Form
Flamengo and SAO Paulo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
37 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +19 |
|
12
|
25 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | +2 |
Flamengo and SAO Paulo Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Apr 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo vs SAO Paulo last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Alves
Andrew
DefenderG. Varela
Danilo
Alex Sandro
V. Joao
MidfielderG. de Arrascaeta
S. Niguez
W. Yan
Evertton
ForwardEverton
Lorran
C. Coronel
DefenderIsac
N. Bosshardt
L. Osorio
MidfielderD. Ferreira
Cauly
D. Abelha
ForwardFerreira
G. Santana
P. dos Santos
A. Silva
Joao Victor
Missing players
E. Pulgar
L. Paqueta
R. Toloi
L. Ramon
A. Franco
MidfielderMarcos Antonio
P. Maia
ForwardLucas Moura
R. Francisco
Most goals and assists
Flamengo and SAO Paulo Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo - SAO Paulo Key Points
- Sao Paulo are winless in five away league games at Flamengo.
- Sao Paulo haven't won any of their last six Serie A matches.
- Flamengo have won three of their last five home league games.
- Sao Paulo have lost five straight league games on the road.
- Flamengo are coming off back-to-back league wins.
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Our Flamengo vs SAO Paulo Prediction
Flamengo have posted back-to-back league wins ahead of this encounter. In their scoring form, they are likely to make it three, as they are also targeting revenge for their loss to Sao Paulo last time out. This should work perfectly for the hosts, as Sao Paulo have a history of struggling on the road in this fixture.
The visitors haven’t won at Flamengo in their last five visits, four ending in defeat. Our prediction for Flamengo v Sao Paulo is that Flamengo wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.