Flamengo vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips - Supercopa Do Brasil
Brazil - Supercopa Do Brasil
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
The Estadio Nacional Mane Garrincha will host this year’s Supercopa Do Brasil final between Flamengo and Corinthians on Sunday afternoon. Mengao won the Brasileiro Serie A last season, while Timao lifted the Copa do Brasil trophy. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Flamengo returned to the summit of the Brasileiro for the first time since 2020 last season. They clinched their eighth title with 79 points, three clear of Palmeiras in second place.
Mengao have not started this season well, though, having lost their opening league match 2-1 to Sao Paulo, while winning only one of their five Campeonato Carioca games to date (D1 L3).
However, the league champions beat this opponent home and away in the top flight last term and are unbeaten in their last four encounters across all competitions (W3 D1).
Meanwhile, Flamengo relinquished their Copa do Brasil title last season, bowing out in the last 16. Corinthians rose to the challenge and claimed their fourth domestic cup title, beating Vasco da Gama 2-1 in the final.
However, Timao had an underwhelming league campaign, finishing 13th with 47 points. They also lost their first match of this season, going down 2-1 to Bahia at home in midweek.
On the positive, Corinthians are fourth in the Campeonato Paulista standings with eight points from five games (W2 D2 L1).
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Flamengo v Corinthians Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.68 | 3.4 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.7 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.22 | 4.92 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.4 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and Corinthians?
Our prediction for the Flamengo vs Corinthians match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Flamengo and Corinthians in Supercopa Do Brasil :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.36% for a win of Flamengo against Corinthians with odds of 1.85 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs Corinthians is 19.32% with odds of 3.7 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Corinthians vs Flamengo with odds of 5.75 at LSbet.
Flamengo - Corinthians Prediction and Best Odds:
| Flamengo Corinthians Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 53.36% | 1.85 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Flamengo | 23.95% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Flamengo vs Corinthians Form
Flamengo and Corinthians Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
21 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
17 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
14 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
11 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
11 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
13 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
17 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
14 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
10 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
22 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
18 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
15 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
11 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
11 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
17 Dec 2025 - Copa do Brasil
14 Dec 2025 - Copa do Brasil
7 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
22 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
15 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
21 Dec 2025 - Copa do Brasil
10 Dec 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo vs Corinthians Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Copa do Brasil
2 Oct 2024 - Copa do Brasil
1 Sept 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 May 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo vs Corinthians last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Andrew
DefenderVitao
Emerson
Danilo
A. Lucas
N. De La Cruz
Evertton
L. Paqueta
S. Lino
Everton
L. Araujo
B. Pinto
F. Longo
DefenderC. de Menezes Junior
P. Milans
Ramalho
Charles
Hugo
R. Garro
M. Pereira
P. Raul
G. Negao
Kaio Cesar
Vitinho
Flamengo - Corinthians Key Points
- Four of Flamengo’s six games in 2026 have ended with both teams scoring.
- Flamengo have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five games.
- Three of Corinthians’ last four games have ended with both teams scoring.
- These two sides played to a 1-1 draw in their last encounter.
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Our Flamengo vs Corinthians Prediction
Flamengo are understandably installed as the favourites in this match, but their record in the New Year is far from impressive. They’ve only won one of their six games and conceded two or more goals in four of those matches.
Corinthians are having a good Campeonato Paulista campaign, but conceded cheaply in their league opener against Bahia. Given that both sides are still working their way up to full fitness, we feel there will be a few goals in this match. Our Flamengo vs Corinthians prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Flamengo Corinthians
| Flamengo vs Corinthians | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 1.82 | 1.85 | +1.6% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.7 | +7.2% |
| Corinthians wins | 4.8 | 5.75 | +19.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Flamengo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.9% and is now 54.1% (-0.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
