Flamengo vs CA Lanus Prediction & Betting Tips - Recopa Sudamericana
South America - Recopa Sudamericana
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
Flamengo will welcome CA Lanus to the Maracana Stadium for the second and deciding leg of this season’s Recopa Sudamericana on Wednesday night. Mengao won the Copa Libertadores for the fourth time last season, while Granate were crowned Copa Sudamericana champions for a second time. Check out our match prediction below!
Brasileiro champions Flamengo have a tough task on their hands this week, needing to overturn a 1-0 deficit in this competition after suffering a shock defeat in Buenos Aires in the first leg. Despite dominating possession, Fla only recorded a single shot on target last week, but back on their home patch, they are red-hot favourites in this clash.
Lanus got the job done in front of a packed house in the opening leg and will need their lead coming to Maracana this week. That victory marked the first time they beat this opponent in a competitive match - can they now defend their lead to claim their first-ever Recopa Sudamericana? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Flamengo v CA Lanus Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.31 | 4.7 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.33 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.4 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 4.75 | 12 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.4 | 11 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and CA Lanus?
Our prediction for the Flamengo vs CA Lanus match is: BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/02/2026 between Flamengo and CA Lanus in Recopa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.29% for a win of Flamengo against CA Lanus with odds of 1.35 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs CA Lanus is 31.01% with odds of 5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.7% chance ⭐ for a win of CA Lanus vs Flamengo with odds of 12.5 at Shangrila.
Flamengo - CA Lanus Prediction and Best Odds:
| Flamengo CA Lanus Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 42.29% | 1.35 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.69% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Flamengo | 18.3% | 3.75 at LSbet |
Flamengo vs CA Lanus Form
Flamengo and CA Lanus Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
19 Feb 2026 - Recopa Sudamericana
15 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
10 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
4 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
7 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
4 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Supercopa Do Brasil
21 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
11 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Recopa Sudamericana
15 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
10 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
17 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Recopa Sudamericana
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3 Feb 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Jan 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Recopa Sudamericana
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Jan 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
18 Jan 2026 - Copa Argentina
26 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
22 Nov 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3 Feb 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
Flamengo vs CA Lanus Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Feb 2026 - Recopa Sudamericana
Flamengo - CA Lanus: Form Analysis
After an incredible 2025 season, which included winning the Brasileiro and Copa Libertadores, Flamengo have made a mixed start to the current campaign and now have it all to do in this match.
Mengao took a 3-0 lead in the first leg of their Carioca Serie A semi-final tie against Madureira at the weekend, but are 11th in the top flight with four points after the first three games of the campaign (W1 D1 L1).
However, the hosts will be confident in their chances of overturning this deficit, as they are unbeaten in their last 15 home games across all competitions dating back to last August against Atletico-MG.
Flamengo have averaged three goals per 90 across their last four home games in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Lanus have made an underwhelming start to their domestic season, currently in 10th place with eight points (W2 D2 L1) after the first five matches of the 2026 Liga Profesional campaign.
Notably, though, Granate’s last competitive match was the first leg of this tie, meaning they will be well-rested, while their opponents have had fewer than three days to prepare for this clash.
The visitors will need every advantage as well, as their away record of late is far from impressive, with just two wins recorded in their last 10 matches on the road across all competitions (D5 L3).
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Flamengo against CA Lanus Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
Andrew
DefenderEmerson
Vitao
L. Ortiz
A. Sandro
MidfielderN. De La Cruz
L. Paqueta
Jorginho
Pedro
L. Araujo
Everton
B. Pinto
F. Petroli
DefenderN. Morgantini
G. Perez
R. De Jesus
MidfielderM. Sepulveda
F. Pena Biafore
F. Watson
ForwardT. de Martis
L. Besozzi
D. Aquino
B. Cabrera
W. Bou
Flamengo & CA Lanus Squad Analysis
Pedro was cleared fit to feature in the first leg but only made the bench. He played the full 90 in the victory over Madureira, possibly suggesting that Giorgian de Arrascaeta will retain his place in the starting lineup.
Former West Ham United midfielder Lucas Pacqueta has featured in every match since joining Mengao in the winter transfer window, and should start here after only getting 33 minutes at the weekend.
The hosts are expected to be missing at least three players through injury for this match, including Bruno Henrique, Wallace Yan, Saul Niguez and former Arsenal man Jorginho.
Can Rodrigo Castillo deliver another masterclass at Maracana?
The 26-year-old forward had two goals disallowed in the first leg before firing a lethal header beyond Augusin Rossi in the 77th minute. Castillo now has six goal contributions in his last six matches in all competitions.
Tomas Guidara, Carlos Izquierdoz, Jose Dominguez, and Sasha Marcich did impeccably well to suffocate Fla’s attackers in the first leg and should make up the defensive quartet again this week.
The only known absentee for the visitors for this one is Raul Loaiza, though he is believed to now be only a few weeks away from making a return to the squad.
Most goals and assists
Flamengo
CA Lanus
Jorginho
(1 Goals)
, 
G. De Arrascaeta
(1 Goals)
R. Castillo
(2 Goals)
S. Marcich
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Sepulveda
(1 Assists)
Flamengo - CA Lanus Key Points
- Only one goal was scored in the first leg of this tie.
- Flamengo’s last two matches have ended with only one team scoring.
- Flamengo have kept five clean sheets in their last eight home games.
- Flamengo only registered a single shot on target in the first leg.
- Only one team scored in two of the three matches between these sides.
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Our Flamengo vs CA Lanus Prediction
At home and with a star-studded roster at their disposal, Flamengo are massive favourites in this match, but they will know that they cannot afford to concede first - a lesson that they learned in the first leg.
Lanus’ Plan A will likely be to maintain a clean sheet at all costs, which will be enough to secure them the title. Given how the first leg panned out and the current standing, the first goal could prove decisive in this match as well. Our Flamengo vs CA Lanus prediction is BTTS (NO).
Flamengo vs CA Lanus Alternative Predictions
Less than 2.5 goals
Flamengo have kept five clean sheets in their last eight home games, while each of Lanus’ last three matches have ended with fewer than three goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Flamengo CA Lanus
| Flamengo vs CA Lanus | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 1.45 | 1.35 | -6.9% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 5 | +33.7% |
| CA Lanus wins | 9 | 12.5 | +38.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Flamengo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 74.1% (5.1%)
Flamengo vs CA Lanus - FAQs
The Recopa Sudamericana match between Flamengo and CA Lanus will take place on February 27 at 00:30 GMT.
The Recopa Sudamericana match between Flamengo and CA Lanus will be broadcast beIN Sports.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Recopa Sudamericana livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
