Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
20/09/2026 06:30
Napoli

Prediction :

 

Napoli to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina host Napoli in the Serie A on Sunday, with both teams looking to build on their recent wins. Fiorentina, 16th in the standings, trail 10th-placed Napoli by just three points. The last seven meetings between these sides saw at least three goals scored, and our prediction backs the same.

Fiorentina have seen a shift in fortunes since Paolo Vanoli’s return as manager. They’ve claimed two straight wins for the first time since April; first beating Venezia 4-2 in the league and then most recently seeing off Pisa 3-0 in the Coppa Italia.

They will be banking on such form to see them break Napoli’s dominance in this fixture.

Napoli are unbeaten in the last five matches against Fiorentina. They have also lost just once in their last 17 away matches to Fiorentina, winning nine. By their standards, Napoli have had a shaky run to start them off in the season.

Massimiliano Allegri’s men started off the campaign with a 2-0 win over Genoa, but lost track after falling in their next two league games and then suffering a third defeat to Arsenal in Europe.

A 1-0 home win over Bologna restored the smiles at the team and this is the chance to broaden them even more going into the international break.

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Fiorentina v Napoli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.15 3.4 2.23
1xbet
3.38 3.52 2.3
Melbet
3.22 3.4 2.22
Betwinner
3.28 3.42 2.2
22bet
3.22 3.4 2.22
Check all Fiorentina vs Napoli odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Napoli?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Napoli match is: Napoli to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2026 between Fiorentina and Napoli in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.82% for a win of Fiorentina against Napoli with odds of 3.38 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Napoli is 24.24% with odds of 3.52 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.3 at 1xbet.

Fiorentina vs Napoli Form

Fiorentina and Napoli's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Napoli
6 4 2 0 2 +1
16 Fiorentina
3 4 1 0 3 -6

Fiorentina and Napoli Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Pisa SC

11 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
2 :  4
Fiorentina

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Torino FC

29 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Frosinone

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
4 :  1
Benevento Calcio
W D W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Pisa SC

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Torino FC

29 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Frosinone

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
4 :  1
Benevento Calcio

6 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fiorentina
1 :  1
La Coruna

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fiorentina
1 :  0
AS Gubbio
W L W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
2 :  4
Fiorentina

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
0 :  1
Fiorentina

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

QPR
3 :  2
Fiorentina

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  2
Fiorentina
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Bologna

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  1
Arsenal

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Napoli

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  2
Como 1907

22 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Napoli

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
6 :  2
Aris Thessaloniki
W D W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Bologna

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  1
Arsenal

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  2
Como 1907

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
6 :  2
Aris Thessaloniki

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
2 :  1
Osasuna
W D D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Napoli

22 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Napoli

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  3
Napoli

2 May 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Napoli

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Napoli

20 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Napoli

Fiorentina vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

0 %

Draw

17 %

Napoli

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

9 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Napoli

17 May 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Napoli

18 Jan 2024 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
3 :  0
Fiorentina
Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction

Fiorentina vs Napoli last Lineups

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

43
D. De Gea
17
J. Mario
3
R. Dragusin
5
M. Pongracic
21
V. Valdepenas
27
C. Ndour
42
C. Oulai
4
M. Brescianini
30
F. Mastantuono
32
M. Pellegrino
29
G. Wilfried
26
A. Vergara
19
R. Hojlund
21
M. Politano
11
K. De Bruyne
68
S. Lobotka
6
B. Gilmour
37
L. Spinazzola
16
R. Marin
13
A. Rrahmani
22
G. Di Lorenzo
32
V. Milinkovic-Savic

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Napoli

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

L. Lezzerini

O. Christensen

Defender

L. Ranieri

A. Jimenez

Viery

Dodo

Midfielder

P. Goncalves

N. Fagioli

Forward

Beto

A. Njie

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

C. Pugliese

N. Contini

Defender

B. Badiashile

S. Beukema

M. Olivera

Midfielder

C. Favasuli

Forward

N. Lang

L. Lucca

D. Neres

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

F. Parisi

Forward

R. Sottil

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

A. Meret

Defender

A. Buongiorno

L. Marianucci

Midfielder

F. Anguissa

S. Mctominay

Forward

A. Santos

Giovane

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
Argentina F. Mastantuono (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark R. Hojlund (2 Goals)
Best assists
Romania R. Dragusin (1 Assists)
Italy N. Fagioli (1 Assists)
Guinea-Bissau Beto (1 Assists)
Spain A. Jimenez (1 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium K. De Bruyne (1 Assists)
Italy A. Vergara (1 Assists)
Kosovo A. Rrahmani (1 Assists)
Italy G. Di Lorenzo (1 Assists)
Italy C. Favasuli (1 Assists)

Fiorentina and Napoli Stats in Serie A

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Napoli
Napoli
25%
Wins
50%
75%
Losses
50%
0%
Draws
0%
4
Average goals per match
2.75
1.25
Goals scored per match
1.5
2.75
Goals conceded per match
1.25
0%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

Fiorentina - Napoli Key Points

  1. Each of Fiorentina’s six matches this season had over 2.5 goals.
  2. Fiorentina’s four league matches saw 11 goals scored.
  3. Napoli have won five of their last six meetings with Fiorentina.
  4. Napoli are unbeaten in 16 of their last 17 visits to Fiorentina.
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Our Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction

Fiorentina may have found a ‘new manager’s bounce’ revival under Vanoli but face a real test of character when Napoli come to town on Sunday. The hosts have shipped in 11 goals in four matches this season, while multiple goals have also been scored in their last six matches in all competitions.

This points to a potentially high-scoring match. Napoli have won five of their last six meetings with Fiorentina and are unbeaten in 16 of their last 17 visits to La Viola. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Napoli is for Napoli to win and over 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Napoli to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.