Fiorentina vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
13/04/2026 14:45
Lazio

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina’s push to avoid the drop has been very positive lately, and they’ll push on with it when they meet Lazio next. Hosting this game, Fiorentina sit 16th five points above the relegation zone, and Lazio are ninth, 13 points off the top six. Read on to find our prediction for the match.

Fiorentina are coming off a 3-0 defeat at Crystal Palace in the Conference League. While they will be plotting for a win in the return leg, much of their attention will now shift fully to survival in Serie A.

A 1-0 win against Verona last time was a much-needed break, and with a game in hand, they will be looking to open up an eight-point gap.

Just as La Viola are desperate for the points in their push for survival, Lazio will be eyeing the same as they continue pushing for a place in Europe. Lazio’s three-match winning streak was brought to an abrupt end in the last round as they drew 1-1 with Parma.

Facing a second straight opponent from below them looks like the chance to right some wrongs. However, Lazio have only picked up recently, after a largely disappointing season.

It should worry their fans too, that Le Aquile are winless in the last four meetings with Fiorentina.

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Fiorentina v Lazio Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.33 3.15 3.4
Melbet
2.35 3.12 3.24
Betwinner
2.3 3.14 3.34
Bet365
2.38 3.1 3.25
Roobet
2.36 3.05 3.25
Check all Fiorentina vs Lazio odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Lazio?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Lazio match is: Fiorentina wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2026 between Fiorentina and Lazio in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.58% for a win of Fiorentina against Lazio with odds of 2.44 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Lazio is 44.76% with odds of 3.25 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Fiorentina with odds of 3.5 at 888Starz.

Fiorentina - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:

Fiorentina Lazio Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 44.76% 3.25 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 57.71% 1.98 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 53.75%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 19.28% 4.75 at Bet365

Fiorentina vs Lazio Form

Fiorentina and Lazio's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 +1
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9

Fiorentina and Lazio Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W W W D W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Fiorentina

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Fiorentina

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan

19 Mar 2026 - Conference League

RKS Rakow Czestochowa
1 :  2
Fiorentina

16 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  4
Fiorentina

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
RKS Rakow Czestochowa
D W L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
RKS Rakow Czestochowa

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

26 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  4
Jagiellonia Bialystok

23 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Pisa SC

7 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Torino FC
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Fiorentina

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Fiorentina

19 Mar 2026 - Conference League

RKS Rakow Czestochowa
1 :  2
Fiorentina

16 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  4
Fiorentina

2 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  0
Fiorentina

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina
Lazio
Lazio Last matches
L D W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Parma

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Lazio

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  0
Lazio
W L D W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Parma

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa
D D D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Lazio

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  0
Lazio

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Lazio

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

Fiorentina vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

50 %

Draw

33 %

Lazio

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Fiorentina

22 Sept 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Lazio

26 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Lazio

30 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Fiorentina

29 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

43
D. De Gea
2
Dodo
3
D. Rugani
6
L. Ranieri
21
R. Gosens
80
G. Fabbian
8
R. Mandragora
27
C. Ndour
17
J. Harrison
91
R. Piccoli
22
J. Fazzini
10
M. Zaccagni
19
B. Dia
22
M. Cancellieri
24
K. Taylor
4
Patric
26
T. Basic
17
N. Tavares
13
A. Romagnoli
25
O. Provstgaard
29
M. Lazzari
40
E. Motta

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lazio

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

O. Christensen

L. Lezzerini

Defender

E. Kospo

P. Comuzzo

M. Pongracic

D. Rugani 71'

L. Balbo

R. Gosens 80'

E. Kouadio

Midfielder

M. Solomon

J. Fazzini 84'

S. Cianciulli

L. Deli

Forward

G. Puzzoli

R. Braschi

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

A. Furlanetto

G. Giacomone

Defender

L. Pellegrini

E. Hysaj

Midfielder

F. Dele-Bashiru

T. Basic 46'

A. Przyborek

R. Belahyane

D. Cataldi

Forward

Pedro

B. Dia 67'

G. Isaksen

M. Cancellieri 67'

T. Noslin

M. Zaccagni 46'

P. Ratkov

K. Taylor 79'

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

F. Parisi

Midfielder

A. Sabiri

Forward

A. Gudmundsson

M. Kean

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

I. Provedel

Defender

S. Gigot

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Lazio
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark G. Isaksen (5 Goals) ,  Spain Pedro (5 Goals)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists) , 
Croatia T. Basic (3 Assists)

Fiorentina - Lazio Key Points

  1. Fiorentina have won four of their last six games.
  2. Lazio lost three of their last five away matches at Fiorentina.
  3. Fiorentina are unbeaten in four home league matches.
  4. Fiorentina have beaten Lazio in three of the last four meetings.
  5. Lazio have only managed four wins in 15 away league matches.
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Our Fiorentina vs Lazio Prediction

Lazio aren’t carrying into this game a very clean record even though they’ve had a better season than Fiorentina. The fact that they’ve managed just four wins in their 15 away league matches should be a pointer. That, and having struggled in their previous away matches against Fiorentina, elevates the hosts here.

Fiorentina are unbeaten in the last four matches against Lazio, winning three. At home, La Viola have three wins in the last five meetings with Lazio. With such numbers, our prediction for Fiorentina v Lazio is that Fiorentina wins.

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Lazio

Fiorentina vs Lazio Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fiorentina wins 2.11 2.44 +15.6%
Draw 3.2 3.25 +1.6%
Lazio wins 3.5 3.5 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 30.8% (-0.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Lazio Prediction