Fiorentina vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Conference League Predictions
Fiorentina welcomes RKS Raków Częstochowa in the RO16 of the Conference League, and will be looking to decide the tie early on in this first leg. However, entering with a three-game winless streak against a Raków side that's on back-to-back victories, you just have to question Fiorentina’s real chance here. See the best bet in this match prediction.
Their latest draw to Parma has now seen I Viola (The Purples) go three games without a win in all competitions. That slump for Fiorentina began with a 4-2 home defeat to Jagiellonia in this very stadium in the playoff knockouts, which was followed by a 3-0 thrashing to Udinese. The entire season has been abysmal for The Purples, who are just one point off the relegation zone in Serie A.
Even Fiorentina’s Conference League form, featuring four defeats in all eight games played, presents an interesting case in their charge against Raków. Medaliki (Medallions), on the other hand, were the stars of this tournament, finishing in second place and just two points behind Strasbourg. The Medallions are also just one of two teams that are still unbeaten in the 2025/26 Conference League campaign.
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Fiorentina v RKS Rakow Czestochowa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.74 | 4.24 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.42 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.65 | 4.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and RKS Rakow Czestochowa?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa match is: RKS Rakow Czestochowa wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2026 between Fiorentina and RKS Rakow Czestochowa in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.21% for a win of Fiorentina against RKS Rakow Czestochowa with odds of 1.94 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa is 30.15% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.64% chance ⭐ for a win of RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
Fiorentina - RKS Rakow Czestochowa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina RKS Rakow Czestochowa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| RKS Rakow Czestochowa wins | 37.64% | 4.6 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.19% | 2.2 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: RKS Rakow Czestochowa | 15.52% | 9.25 at LSbet |
Fiorentina vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa Form
Fiorentina and RKS Rakow Czestochowa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
27 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
5 Mar 2026 - Polish Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
21 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
14 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
8 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
21 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
8 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - Polish Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
14 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
1 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
14 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
Fiorentina - RKS Rakow Czestochowa: Form Analysis
The contrast in form between these two couldn't be more stark, both at home and on the European stage.
While Fiorentina hovers just one point above the relegation zone, Raków currently occupies the 4th position in the league.
The Medallions also sit in the Conference League qualification spot and are just four points off the top.
In Europe, they've been even more impressive after winning four of their six Conference League games without defeat. The Medallions now enter this game with back-to-back victories and only three defeats in their last 14 games.
Fiorentina, meanwhile, are struggling to stay afloat in Italy and alive in this tournament. They barely scraped by in the league phase and had a major scare when Jagiellonia equalised on aggregate in just 49 minutes in the second leg of the playoff.
Fiorentina pulled two back in extra time, but that marked two of four home defeats in this tournament.
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Fiorentina against RKS Rakow Czestochowa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
P. Leonardelli
D. De Gea
DefenderE. Sadotti
L. Balbo
E. Kouadio
Dodo
P. Bonanno
N. Fagioli
J. Harrison
R. Braschi
A. Gudmundsson
D. Czeremski
K. Trelowski
DefenderA. Mosor
M. Ilenic
Z. Arsenic
M. Bulat
J. Napieraj
ForwardM. Diaby
A. Amorim Santos
B. Mircetic
L. Rocha
Missing players
L. Lezzerini
DefenderM. Pongracic
MidfielderM. Solomon
ForwardM. Kean
Fiorentina & RKS Rakow Czestochowa Squad Analysis
Partially responsible for Fiorentina’s downward spiral this season, and their potential demise at the hands of a travelling Raków, is the absence of several key players.
Their highest goalscorer in Serie A, Moise Kean, is out due to injury, leaving The Purples without their sharpest shooter.
Alongside Kean on the injury list is midfielder Manor Solomon, who has impressed for Fiorentina following his January transfer.
Roberto Piccoli will take over for Kean up front, but he enters with a four-game goal drought and can boast only two in 24 Serie A games this season.
But while I Viola enters short-staffed, Raków enters with the full might of their first team. Fiorentina’s sloppy defence might have to come up with answers to Jonatan Braut Brunes, who has netted in three straight games.
But the real problem might be sneaking a goal past the Medallions’ Oliwier Zych, who has prevented 3.00 goals (4th-most) and is making 4.0 saves per game (7th-most).
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
RKS Rakow Czestochowa
C. Ndour
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Goals)
M. Diaby
(3 Goals)
, 
J. Brunes
(3 Goals)
C. Ndour
(2 Assists)
M. Bulat
(1 Assists)
, 
K. Struski
(1 Assists)
,
T. Pienko
(1 Assists)
,
J. Brunes
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Amorim Santos
(1 Assists)
,
M. Ameyaw
(1 Assists)
,
P. Makuch
(1 Assists)
, 
Ivi
(1 Assists)
Fiorentina - RKS Rakow Czestochowa Key Points
- Raków are unbeaten in this tournament, winning four of their six games.
- Raków has only conceded one away goal in this tournament (the lowest) across three games.
- Fiorentina have lost five of their last ten games in all competitions.
- Raków has won nine of its last 14 competitive games outside friendlies.
- Raków has conceded the second-fewest goals in this tournament (2) and kept the joint second-most clean sheets (4).
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Our Fiorentina vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa Prediction
We believe this game may be heavily mispriced and over-favouring a severely out-of-form Fiorentina team. Much of that might have to do with The Purple’s FIFA rankings over Raków than it has to do with team strength. In their local league alone, Fiorentina has won just five of 28 games, going winless in the remaining 23.
For us, The Medallions, who remain unbeaten in this tournament with a 66.67% win ratio and arguably the second-best defence, should win this game. Hence, our Fiorentina vs RKS Raków Częstochowa prediction is that RKS Rakow Czestochowa wins.
Fiorentina vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa Alternative Predictions
Less than 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina RKS Rakow Czestochowa
| Fiorentina vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 1.66 | 1.94 | +16.9% |
| Draw | 3.84 | 3.85 | +0.3% |
| RKS Rakow Czestochowa wins | 5.2 | 4.6 | -11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- RKS Rakow Czestochowa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 19.2% and is now 21.7% (2.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Fiorentina vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
