Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

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Europe - Conference League

Fiorentina
26/02/2026 12:45
Jagiellonia Bialystok

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Conference League Predictions

After an embarrassing defeat in the first leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League knockout playoff tie, Jagiellonia Bialystok have it all to do in the return leg against Fiorentina at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. Here's our match prediction. 

Fiorentina have turned over a new leaf after failing to win their last four games across all competitions. In the build-up to this game, they have won three consecutive matches, including a 1-0 home league victory against Pisa on Monday. 

La Viola are determined to maintain this upward trajectory by getting the job done against Jagiellonia in the return leg of the UEFA Europa League knockout playoff. 

The first match of this tie was a dominant display that saw them secure a resounding 3-0 victory in Poland. Success here could see them progress to the last 16, where they are set to face Rakow Czestochowa or Strasbourg. 

Jagiellonia's first meeting against Italian opposition in the UEFA Europa Conference League did not go as planned. The Polish side was outplayed in a 3-0 home defeat in the first match of the playoff tie.

It was unfortunate on their part, considering they had won seven of their last nine matches at home (L2). 

The Bialystok-based club comes into this match winless in their last three matches across all competitions. This includes a recent 1-1 home draw against Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa.

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Fiorentina v Jagiellonia Bialystok Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.52 4.6 6
Melbet
1.52 4.34 6.1
Betwinner
1.52 4.34 6.1
Bet365
1.5 4.5 5.75
Roobet
1.53 4.4 5.8
Check all Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/02/2026 between Fiorentina and Jagiellonia Bialystok in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.46% for a win of Fiorentina against Jagiellonia Bialystok with odds of 1.53 at Roobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok is 31.04% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Fiorentina with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.

Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction and Best Odds:

Fiorentina Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction Probability Odds
Fiorentina wins 47.46% 1.53 at Roobet
Over 2.5 goals 59.07% 1.87 at Stake
Both Team To Score 58.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina 28.12% 4.33 at Bet365

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Form

Fiorentina and Jagiellonia Bialystok Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Pisa SC

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
Fiorentina

7 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Torino FC

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

27 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907
W D L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Pisa SC

7 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Torino FC

27 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese
L D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
Fiorentina

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Jagiellonia Bialystok Last matches
D W W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 :  1
RKS Radomiak Radom

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

14 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa

MKS Cracovia Krakow
0 :  0
Jagiellonia Bialystok

7 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok
4 :  1
LKP Motor Lublin

31 Jan 2026 - Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz
1 :  3
Jagiellonia Bialystok

19 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 :  1
FC CSKA 1948
W L D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 :  1
RKS Radomiak Radom

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

7 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok
4 :  1
LKP Motor Lublin

19 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 :  1
FC CSKA 1948

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 :  0
KuPS
L D D L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa

MKS Cracovia Krakow
0 :  0
Jagiellonia Bialystok

31 Jan 2026 - Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz
1 :  3
Jagiellonia Bialystok

15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

LASK Linz
4 :  1
Jagiellonia Bialystok

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
0 :  0
Jagiellonia Bialystok

14 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa

LKP Motor Lublin
1 :  1
Jagiellonia Bialystok

7 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Nieciecza
2 :  1
Jagiellonia Bialystok

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

100 %

Draw

0 %

Jagiellonia Bialystok

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
0%
BTTS
3
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

Fiorentina against Jagiellonia Bialystok Lineups: Starting 11

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
L. Lezzerini
29
N. Fortini
15
P. Comuzzo
5
M. Pongracic
21
R. Gosens
80
G. Fabbian
8
R. Mandragora
27
C. Ndour
2
Dodo
91
R. Piccoli
22
J. Fazzini
11
J. Imaz
10
A. Pululu
72
K. Jozwiak
86
B. Mazurek
6
T. Romanczuk
7
Pozo
27
B. Wdowik
13
B. Vital
70
A. Pelmard
15
N. Wojtuszek
50
S. Abramowicz

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

P. Leonardelli

D. De Gea

L. Lezzerini 46'

Defender

F. Parisi

L. Balbo

L. Ranieri

E. Kouadio

Midfielder

P. Bonanno

N. Fagioli

R. Mandragora 62'

M. Solomon

J. Fazzini 62'

J. Harrison

N. Fortini 46'

Forward

A. Gudmundsson

M. Solomon 100'

M. Kean

R. Piccoli 89'

Jagiellonia Bialystok
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Goalkeeper

A. Damasiewicz

Defender

Y. Kobayashi

Pozo 117'

Midfielder

L. Flach

D. Drachal 89'

D. Drachal

K. Jozwiak 36'

E. Kozlowski

Forward

Y. Sylla

S. Bazdar

N. Wojtuszek 66'

D. Rallis

B. Mazurek 106'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Jagiellonia Bialystok
Top Goalscorer
Italy C. Ndour (4 Goals) , 
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. Imaz (3 Goals) ,  Poland B. Mazurek (3 Goals)
Best assists
Italy C. Ndour (2 Assists)
Best assists
Angola A. Pululu (2 Assists)

Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Bialystok Key Points

  1. Fiorentina have seen both teams score in eight of their last ten matches across all competitions.
  2. Jagiellonia Bialystok have scored three or more goals in three of their last six matches across all competitions.
  3. Fiorentina have kept a clean sheet in just one of their last five UEFA Europa Conference League games.
  4. Three of Jagiellonia Bialystok's last four away UEFA Europa Conference League games have ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction

Fiorentina are in pole position to reach the UECL last 16. They come into this match with a 3-0 goal lead gained from the first leg of the playoff against Jagiellonia. They racked up an impressive 2.41 expected goals (xG) in that game and could be a threat once more in the final third.

Jagiellonia's porous defense has conceded five goals in three UECL games. However, getting on the scoreboard should be a walk in the park for a side that has scored in five of their last six away matches in this competition. Our Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok prediction: BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Jagiellonia Bialystok

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fiorentina wins 1.51 1.53 +1.3%
Draw 4.4 4.6 +4.5%
Jagiellonia Bialystok wins 6 6.2 +3.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fiorentina is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 66.2% and is now 65.4% (-0.9%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction