Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Survival is almost assured for 16th-placed Fiorentina, who host Genoa with both sides looking to return to winning ways in this match. Genoa has secured another season in Serie A, having hit 40 points, three more than La Viola, who need one more point. With the visitors going winless in 13 of 17 away league games, our prediction will lean towards a home win.
Fiorentina have failed to score in their last two matches and only secured two points from their last three league outings. They are fresh off a 4-0 defeat at Roma, significantly slowing their push for survival.
At home, though, they are unbeaten in six matches in all competitions.
Genoa, like Fiorentina, started the season poorly. They managed to pick up earlier, and they will go into the final matches of the campaign with safety assured.
Il Grifone secured their Serie A place after a 0-0 draw with Atalanta. The visitors have avoided defeat in four matches against teams currently below them.
However, they will be looking to beat Fiorentina for only the second time in 17 meetings. Five of Genoa’s last seven matches ended in defeat, and the last time they beat Fiorentina away from home was in 1977.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Fiorentina v Genoa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.03 | 3.4 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.34 | 4.22 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.34 | 4.18 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.35 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Genoa match is: Fiorentina wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Fiorentina and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.05% for a win of Fiorentina against Genoa with odds of 2.03 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Genoa is 36.36% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Fiorentina with odds of 4.34 at 888Starz.
Fiorentina - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 44.05% | 2.03 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 64.24% | 1.96 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina | 24.01% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Fiorentina vs Genoa Form
Fiorentina and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
|
16
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 |
Fiorentina and Genoa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2026 - Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2026 - Serie A
20 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
15 Apr 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2023 - Serie A
17 Jan 2022 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
O. Christensen
L. Lezzerini
DefenderP. Comuzzo
E. Kospo
L. Balbo
D. Rugani
N. Fortini
E. Kouadio
MidfielderG. Fabbian
J. Harrison
J. Fazzini
M. Brescianini
R. Piccoli
A. Gudmundsson
D. Sommariva
N. Leali
DefenderW. Ouedraogo
J. Vasquez
S. Sabelli
M. Doucoure
R. Malinovskyi
P. Masini
J. Onana
J. Grossi
ForwardC. Ekuban
Missing players
M. Kean
E. Lysionok
DefenderB. Norton Cuffy
ForwardJ. Messias
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Genoa
M. Kean
(8 Goals)
L. Colombo
(7 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Assists)
A. Martin
(4 Assists)
Fiorentina - Genoa Key Points
- Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last 10 meetings with Genoa.
- Genoa have managed just one win in 16 meetings with Fiorentina.
- Fiorentina are unbeaten in six competitive home games, winning three.
- Genoa are winless in eight of their last 10 away league games, losing four.
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Our Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction
Even at their worst state, as Fiorentina have been this season, they remain unbeaten against Genoa. La Viola has actually avoided defeat in this fixture in 15 of the last 16 encounters. With their place in the league not yet secure, Fiorentina will want to give one more push for that.
Genoa haven’t had the best of runs away from home, and with little motivation for a win here, it looks like a game they’ll struggle in. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Genoa is that Fiorentina wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Genoa
| Fiorentina vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 2.05 | 2.03 | -1.0% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.5 | +4.5% |
| Genoa wins | 3.9 | 4.34 | +11.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 49.3% (0.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
