Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Prediction published on 13/04/2024, 12:30  by Kennedy Kechula | Modified on 15/04/2024 at 04:30 in Serie A Prediction

Fiorentina’s late push for European football continues on Monday when they welcome Genoa at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A. At 43 points, Fiorentina are seven points below the Conference League slot while Genoa sit 12 points above the relegation region. Currently playing in the Conference League quarters, Fiorentina are fighting for European football on three fronts, including the Coppa Italia. Here the push is through the Serie A, after a 0-0 draw with Viktoria Plzen in the Conference League last Thursday. By their standards, it hasn’t been a great season for Fiorentina in Serie A. They have just 12 wins from the 30 matches played, and only Lazio have lost more than their 11 in the top-10. Their most recent league game carried their latest defeat, falling 1-0 at Juventus. That was their second consecutive loss and fourth straight winless league outing. While they haven't scored much this season, there is a consistent pattern in their scoring runs. They have averaged 1.4 goals a game, though conceding an average 1.2 goals. With these stats, close to half of their league games had both teams scoring. That includes their reverse fixture against Genoa, which ended 4-1.

Genoa will be keen on avenging their defeat to Fiorentina in the opening week of the season. That loss marked a sixth straight winless outing against Fiorentina, a run they are keen to stop. Genoa have actually lost the last three matches against Fiorentina. However, in their last five meetings, they failed to score in just one, a 6-0 thumping in January 2022. Genoa’s return to Serie A hasn’t had much fanfare but they’ll be glad to stay up. At the moment, that’s happening, but they still have to look over their shoulder. With 38 points in the bag, they still need about nine points to guarantee safety. As it stands, they are the best performing of the promoted trio. However, the major concern for them has to be in their defending, having conceded more than they scored. On average, they are conceding 1.22 goals per game, and both teams scoring has been recurring lately. That outcome was observed in the 2-1 win over Verona in their most recent outing. Genoa actually have only one clean sheet in the last five, and both teams scored in the other four games. To move closer to their season’s targets, Genoa have to improve on their recent form, which has them on one win in their last five matches. One loss only in the last eight away matches could be a good start here.