Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Conference League Predictions
Stadio Artemio Franchi will light up on Thursday night, when Fiorentina face Crystal Palace in the second leg of their Conference League quarter-final clash. The winner of this tie between La Viola and the Eagles will face either AZ Alkmaar or Shakhtar Donetsk in the semi-finals. Check out our match prediction below!
Fiorentina have experienced a notable improvement under the guidance of Paolo Vanoli, but their hopes of reaching a fourth consecutive UECL semi-final are hanging by a thread after their 3-0 defeat in South London last week. However, all hope is not lost just yet, as two of I Gigliati’s six wins in this season’s competition came by three clear goals.
After winning their first major piece of silverware in the FA Cup last term, Palace are now 90 minutes away from booking their spot in their first major European semi-final, thanks to their excellent performance at Selhurst Park. Having only lost one of their five away games in this competition, the Premier League outfit are massive favourites to progress - but can they do so with a victory in Florence? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Fiorentina v Crystal Palace Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.15 | 3.35 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.42 | 2.21 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.36 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.35 | 2.26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2026 between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.37% for a win of Fiorentina against Crystal Palace with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace is 28.34% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.36 at Stake.
Fiorentina - Crystal Palace Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Crystal Palace Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 41.29% | 2.36 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.45% | 2.08 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Crystal Palace/Crystal Palace | 20.51% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Form
Fiorentina and Crystal Palace Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
Fiorentina - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
Fiorentina finished 15th in the League Phase of the Conference League before booking their spot in the quarter-finals with a 4-2 aggregate victory over Rakow Czestochowa in the Playoffs.
La Viola have endured a poor season domestically, but they have experienced an improvement of late, now unbeaten in their last five league games (W3 D2), following their 1-0 victory over Lazio on Monday.
This week’s hosts have won four and lost two of their six UECL home games this season, but they are unbeaten in their last four at Stadio Artemio Franchi across all competitions (W2 D2).
Seven of Fiorentina’s last 10 home games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring!
Meanwhile, Crystal Palace ended the League Phase in 10th place with 10 points before a dramatic 2-1 victory over AEK Larnaca in extra-time in the Knockout Playoffs in Cyprus last month.
After their commanding victory at Selhurst Park in the first leg of this tie, the Eagles defeated Newcastle 2-1 last weekend in the EPL and are now unbeaten in their last six games in all competitions.
However, outside of this competition, their away form has been unimpressive, as they’ve lost five of their last 10 games on the road (W3 D2) and conceded two or more goals in each of those defeats.
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Fiorentina against Crystal Palace Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
O. Christensen
P. Leonardelli
DefenderE. Kospo
L. Balbo
E. Kouadio
L. Deli
J. Fazzini
C. Ndour
G. Fabbian
G. Puzzoli
R. Braschi
W. Benitez
R. Matthews
DefenderC. Riad
N. Clyne
B. Sosa
MidfielderJ. Devenny
K. Rodney
J. Lerma
W. Hughes
B. Johnson
R. Cardines
J. Strand Larsen
Missing players
Dodo
F. Parisi
N. Fortini
MidfielderM. Brescianini
ForwardM. Kean
C. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
Fiorentina & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
Albert Gudmundsson was ineligible to feature for La Viola against Lazio on Monday due to suspension, but he is likely to return to the attack for this match. The Icelandic international is the team’s joint-leading scorer in the competition with three goals.
One to watch for this week’s hosts is Cher Ndour. The 21-year-old has directly contributed to five goals in the UECL this season and scored in both games for Italy under-21s during the March international break.
The visitors will have to make do without right-back Dodo due to an accumulation of yellow cards, while Moise Kean, Tariq Lamptey, Niccolo Fortini and Fabiano Parisi are out injured.
Is there more heroics to come from Jean-Philippe Mateta in Florence?
The Frenchman scored his first goal in over three months in the first leg of this tie last week, and followed up by coming off the bench to bag a brace, leading his team to victory over the Magpies at the weekend.
However, while Mateta is rediscovering his form, Palace’s danger man in this competition has been Ismaila Sarr, who also got on the scoresheet last week and is now the second-highest-scoring player in the UECL with six goals.
The visitors will make a late call on Evann Guessand, who picked up a knock in the first leg, while Eddie Nketiah (thigh) and Cheick Doucoure (knee) are ruled out through injury.
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
C. Ndour
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Goals)
I. Sarr
(9 Goals)
C. Ndour
(2 Assists)
D. Kamada
(4 Assists)
Fiorentina - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Fiorentina have only failed to score in one of their last five games in this competition.
- Seven of Fiorentina’s last 10 home games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Crystal Palace have scored two or more goals in three of their last four games in this competition.
- Eight of Crystal Palace’s last 10 away games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction
While Fiorentina were thoroughly outplayed at Selhurst Park in the first leg last week, they have been on an upward trajectory in recent times, and bookmakers have installed them as the favourites at home, where they are unbeaten since late February.
Palace have a solid advantage to protect in this match, but Oliver Glasner will know that his side needs at least a goal - preferably an early one - to completely put the tie to bed. Therefore, our Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace prediction is BTTS.
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Alternative Predictions
Fiorentina wins
Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last four home games and have only lost one of their last seven, while Crystal Palace have only recorded three wins in their last 10 away matches. We fancy the hosts to win this one, but still expect the visitors to progress.
Over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Crystal Palace
| Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 3 | 3.3 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.5 | +7.7% |
| Crystal Palace wins | 2.33 | 2.36 | +1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Crystal Palace is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.9% and is now 42.4% (-0.5%)
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Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace - FAQs
The Conference League quarter-final second leg between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace will take place on April 16 at 19:00 UTC.
The Conference League quarter-final second leg between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace will be played at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence.
The Conference League quarter-final second leg between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace will be broadcast on Sky in Italy and HBO Max in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Conference League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
