Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
24/01/2026 12:00
Cagliari

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina can pull further clear of the Serie A relegation region this weekend when they host Cagliari. Both sides are coming from league wins that placed Fiorentina in 17th spot and Cagliari in 15th. Ahead of this match, we have a prediction.

Fiorentina have won more matches in the last six Serie A rounds than they did in the opening 15. They are coming off a 2-1 win away at Bologna, their third league win of the season.

That victory enabled La Viola to rise away from the bottom three. With 17 points, they have a superior goal difference and now eye another win to possibly move three points clear.

Cagliari’s season has been highlighted by inconsistency. After suffering a loss against Genoa, they rose to a 1-0 win over title contenders Juventus in the last round. That was only their fifth win of the league campaign.

Gli Isolani have more losses (9) than their wins, and the run is even slimmer on the road, with Cagliari posting just two wins in 11 away matches. They lost five away games in the league.

Beating Juventus moved Cagliari to 22 points, five ahead of Fiorentina, and going by these teams’ head-to-head records, Cagliari could suffer here. In the last 10 meetings with Fiorentina, they are winless, losing six.

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Fiorentina v Cagliari Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.85 3.65 4.7
Melbet
1.81 3.42 4.78
Betwinner
1.83 3.42 4.62
Bet365
1.8 3.6 4.5
Roobet
1.82 3.5 4.4
Check all Fiorentina vs Cagliari odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Cagliari?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Cagliari match is: Fiorentina wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Fiorentina and Cagliari in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.22% for a win of Fiorentina against Cagliari with odds of 1.9 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Cagliari is 26.32% with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Fiorentina with odds of 4.8 at 888Starz.

Fiorentina - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:

Fiorentina Cagliari Prediction Probability Odds
Fiorentina wins 51.22% 1.9 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 62.06% 1.98 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 70%
Half-time / Full-time : Fiorentina/Fiorentina 26.76% 2.88 at Bet365

Fiorentina vs Cagliari Form

Fiorentina and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14 Cagliari
43 38 11 10 17 -13
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9

Fiorentina and Cagliari Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W L W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Dynamo Kyiv

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
0 :  1
AEK Athens
L L L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Cagliari Last matches
D W L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Juventus

12 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
2 :  2
Cagliari

2 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
Cagliari

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  2
Pisa SC
L D W D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Juventus

2 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  2
Pisa SC

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Roma

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo
L D L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
2 :  2
Cagliari

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
Cagliari

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
1 :  1
Cagliari

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Cagliari

Fiorentina vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

67 %

Draw

33 %

Cagliari

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Fiorentina

23 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Fiorentina

8 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cagliari

23 May 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  3
Fiorentina

2 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Cagliari

23 Jan 2022 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

43
D. De Gea
2
Dodo
15
P. Comuzzo
5
M. Pongracic
21
R. Gosens
8
R. Mandragora
44
N. Fagioli
27
C. Ndour
19
M. Solomon
91
R. Piccoli
10
A. Gudmundsson
94
S. Esposito
9
S. Kilicsoy
33
A. Obert
4
L. Mazzitelli
10
G. Gaetano
8
M. Adopo
2
M. Palestra
5
S. Luperto
26
Y. Mina
32
Ze Pedro
1
E. Caprile

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Cagliari

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

L. Lezzerini

O. Christensen

Defender

E. Kospo

N. Fortini

M. Solomon 83'

E. Kouadio

L. Ranieri

L. Balbo

Midfielder

M. Brescianini

R. Gosens 60'

J. Fazzini

G. Fabbian

R. Mandragora 46'

J. Harrison

C. Ndour 60'

Forward

R. Braschi

H. Caviglia

Cagliari
Cagliari
Goalkeeper

G. Ciocci

A. Sherri

Defender

G. Zappa

M. Palestra 80'

J. Rodriguez

R. Idrissi

A. Obert 81'

A. Dossena

Midfielder

M. Prati

L. Mazzitelli 81'

N. Cavuoti

Sulemana

S. Esposito 64'

Forward

Y. Junior Trepy

Z. Luvumbo

G. Borrelli

S. Kilicsoy 71'

L. Pavoletti

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

F. Parisi

Midfielder

A. Sabiri

Cagliari
Cagliari
Midfielder

A. Deiola

M. Folorunsho

Forward

M. Felici

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Cagliari
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Esposito (7 Goals)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)
Best assists
Italy S. Esposito (5 Assists)

Fiorentina - Cagliari Key Points

  1. Cagliari are winless in the last six matches.
  2. Cagliari posted one win in their last 10 matches.
  3. Fiorentina are unbeaten in 10 matches against Cagliari.
  4. Fiorentina have won three times in their last six league games.
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Our Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction

Cagliari returned to winning ways in an unexpected fashion and will hope to build on that as they travel to Fiorentina. This, however, will not be a match they’d want to be playing at this moment in time.

They are facing a side they haven't beaten in 10 meetings, and in the last two seasons, they lost this fixture home and away. This time they drew in the first match and Cagliari will be hoping it finally tilts in their favor. Fiorentina don’t look likely to drop points here though. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Cagliari is that Fiorentina wins.

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Cagliari

Fiorentina vs Cagliari Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fiorentina wins 1.73 1.9 +9.8%
Draw 3.92 3.65 -6.9%
Cagliari wins 5.46 4.8 -12.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fiorentina is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 9.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 52.6% (-5.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction