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by Daniel Ngulu in World Cup Predictions
Finland talisman Teemu Pukki will play his final competitive game for the nation when they host Malta in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. This Group G match finds Finland third and Malta at the bottom of the five-team pool. We have a prediction below.
The Finns have a very slim window for a first-ever World Cup appearance. They have to win comfortably here and hope that against all odds, Malta beats Poland on Monday.
Finland have so far garnered 10 points, three behind second-placed Poland, who have a game in hand. Finland’s 1-0 win over Malta in their first meeting here ended their run of six straight defeats.
They come here once again seeking to bounce back after a 4-0 defeat to the Netherlands.
In Malta’s last visit to Finland, back in 2018, they suffered a 5-0 defeat. They will be looking to avoid such a huge loss as they seek a first win in this group.
The visitors have so far been the whipping boys here, losing four of their six matches so far. In their six matches, they’ve only managed one goal, while conceding a massive 16.
Malta have only managed one win in their last nine matches, against San Marino. They will be looking to recover from conceding eight goals in their last two matches, most recently a 4-1 defeat to Bosnia & Herzegovina.
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The Best Betting Odds for Finland v Malta Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 6.25 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 6 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.4 | 14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Finland and Malta?
Our prediction for the Finland vs Malta match is: Finland to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2025 between Finland and Malta in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.27% for a win of Finland against Malta with odds of 1.23 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Finland vs Malta is 7.9% with odds of 6.5 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Malta vs Finland with odds of 15 at Betfred.
Finland vs Malta Form
Finland and Malta's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -5 |
|
5
|
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -15 |
Finland and Malta Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Finland vs Malta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies
Most goals and assists
Finland
Malta
B. Kallman
(3 Goals)
A. Satariano
(1 Goals)
Finland - Malta Key Points
- Malta lost eight of their last 10 away games.
- 15 goals were scored in Finland’s last five matches.
- Finland won 5-0 in their last home match against Malta.
- Malta conceded 13 goals in their last five away matches.
- Finland won their last two home games, each yielding over 2.5 goals.
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Our Finland vs Malta Prediction
Finland are unbeaten in their last eight matches against Malta, winning six of them. This run is bound to continue, seeing that this is a special game for the Finns. Finland’s iconic forward Teemu Pukki will play his last competitive match for the team here.
There’s also the slim chance they could secure a playoff spot, so back Finland to win this. Malta have been doing poorly and conceding a lot; they will struggle against Finland. Our prediction for Finland v Malta is for Finland to win and over 2.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Finland vs. Malta game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
