Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Lig

Turkey - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
08/03/2026 13:00
Samsunspor

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Super Lig Predictions

Following their exit from the Europa League playoffs, Fenerbahce can focus fully on the Turkish Super League. The Yellow Canaries' next agenda will be cutting Galatasaray’s four-point lead at the top when they host Samsunspor on Matchday 25. But can Fenerbahce end The Red Lightning’s five-game winning streak? Find out in our match prediction.

Fenerbahce remain the only undefeated team all season after 24 games. The only reason they sit in second and four points off is the sheer number of draws they've accumulated this season. Fenerbahce have drawn nine of 24 games (the joint second-most), and drew their last two league games.

If they hope to usurp Gala at the top, The Yellow Canaries must stop settling for one point as we approach the final chapter of the season. But Samsunspor, who are unbeaten in five straight games across all competitions, might have other ideas. Perhaps the most important trend here is the away side’s defensive solidity over the past few games.

In those five games, The Red Lightning went unbeaten; they kept five straight clean sheets, with three resulting in a victory. They seem to have switched up the tactics responsible for their single victory in 12 straight games. What's certain is that this Samsunspor side is different from the one that lost 2-0 to Fenerbahce earlier this season.

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Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Form

Fenerbahce Istanbul and Samsunspor's standings in the Super Lig

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Fenerbahce Istanbul
74 34 21 11 2 +40
7 Samsunspor
51 34 13 12 9 +1

Fenerbahce Istanbul and Samsunspor Last Matches

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul Last matches
W L D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Gaziantep FK
0 :  4
Fenerbahce Istanbul

1 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Antalyaspor
2 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

23 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Kasimpasa Istanbul

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

14 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Trabzonspor
2 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul
L D W W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Kasimpasa Istanbul

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

9 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Genclerbirligi SK

5 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Erzurumspor FK

25 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Goztepe Izmir

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  1
Aston Villa
D W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Gaziantep FK
0 :  4
Fenerbahce Istanbul

1 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Antalyaspor
2 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

14 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Trabzonspor
2 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul

2 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

FCSB
1 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Samsunspor
Samsunspor Last matches
L W D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Antalyaspor
0 :  2
Samsunspor

1 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Samsunspor
0 :  0
Gaziantep FK

26 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Samsunspor
4 :  0
Shkendija

22 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul
0 :  0
Samsunspor

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Shkendija
0 :  1
Samsunspor

13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Antalyaspor
3 :  1
Samsunspor
W D W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Samsunspor
0 :  0
Gaziantep FK

26 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Samsunspor
4 :  0
Shkendija

7 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Samsunspor
0 :  3
Trabzonspor

3 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Samsunspor
2 :  0
Bodrum FK

24 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Samsunspor
0 :  0
Kocaelispor

24 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi

Samsunspor
2 :  1
Eyupspor
D W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Antalyaspor
0 :  2
Samsunspor

22 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul
0 :  0
Samsunspor

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Shkendija
0 :  1
Samsunspor

13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Antalyaspor
3 :  1
Samsunspor

30 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  1
Samsunspor

18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Genclerbirligi SK
1 :  1
Samsunspor

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fenerbahce Istanbul

33 %

Draw

67 %

Samsunspor

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

6 Jan 2026 - Super Cup

Fenerbahce Istanbul
2 :  0
Samsunspor

5 Oct 2025 - Super Lig

Samsunspor
0 :  0
Fenerbahce Istanbul

16 Mar 2025 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  0
Samsunspor

20 Oct 2024 - Super Lig

Samsunspor
2 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

21 Jan 2024 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Samsunspor

21 Aug 2023 - Super Lig

Samsunspor
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

Fenerbahce Istanbul against Samsunspor Lineups: Starting 11

Fenerbahce Istanbul

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

31
Ederson
18
M. Muldur
24
J. Oosterwolde
3
A. Brown
20
A. Musaba
17
N. Kante
6
M. Guendouzi
22
L. Mercan
21
M. Asensio
26
S. Cherif
9
K. Akturkoglu
9
M. Mouandilmadji
10
O. Ntcham
21
C. Holse
17
L. Tomasson
29
A. Makoumbou
5
C. Yuksel
2
J. Mendes
4
R. Van Drongelen
55
Y. Cift
37
L. Satka
1
O. Kocuk

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Samsunspor

Substitutes

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Goalkeeper

T. Cetin

M. Gunok

Defender

Y. Demir

M. Muldur 61'

K. Uregen

M. Skriniar

Midfielder

I. Yuksek

A. Musaba 61'

Fred

N. Kante 75'

Forward

A. Ekici

O. Aydin

M. Asensio 90'

N. Dorgeles

K. Akturkoglu 75'

Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Goalkeeper

E. Berat Toruz

I. Egribayat

Defender

A. Diabate

C. Yuksel 89'

E. Albak

T. Borevkovic

Y. Cift 46'

S. Gonul

Midfielder

Y. Kayan

O. Ntcham 84'

T. Coulibaly

Forward

C. Ndiaye

M. Mouandilmadji 79'

E. Tavsan

J. Mendes 46'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fenerbahce Istanbul
CD Huachipato Samsunspor
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Talisca (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Chad M. Mouandilmadji (10 Goals)
Best assists
Spain M. Asensio (11 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey E. Kilinc (4 Assists)
Turkey Y. Kayan (4 Assists)
Iceland L. Tomasson (4 Assists)
Chad M. Mouandilmadji (4 Assists)

Fenerbahce Istanbul - Samsunspor Key Points

  1. The last three meetings, and five of the last six, between Fenerbahce and Samsunspor ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Samsunspor has kept a clean sheet in its last five games, with four of those five games featuring under 2.5 goals.
  3. Fenerbahce and Samsunspor have conceded the third-fewest (23) and fifth-fewest (27) goals this season.
  4. Samsunspor has also scored the fifth-fewest goals this season (25).
  5. Fenerbahce and Samsunspor have kept the joint third-most clean sheets this season (8).
  6. Fenerbahce has conceded the third-fewest goals at home.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Prediction

At 2.05 odds for under 2.5 goals, we consider this a very sharp bet considering the numbers both teams are posting. With The Red Lightning now keeping five clean sheets in a row, they enter this game against The Yellow Canaries with the best defensive performance all season.

Coupled with their tendency to score few goals, this is just a recipe for another relatively low-scoring game, just as five of their last six have been. Hence, our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Prediction