Europe - Champions League
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by Ian John in Champions League Predictions
Jose Mourinho's Fenerbahce holds a 4-3 first-leg lead over FC Lugano in the second qualifying round of the Champions League. Will this week's second-leg match between the Yellow Canaries and the Bianconeri be as exciting as that dramatic first leg? Based on the data, our prediction is that it could be equally as enthralling!
A 22-minute hat-trick from Edin Dzeko was the foundation for Fenerbahce's 4-3 first-leg win in Switzerland. The second leg would be more comfortable had Milton Valenzuela's 94th-minute added-time third for the Swiss not reduced FC Lugano's deficit to a single goal.
Since losing 1-0 in a friendly to Hajduk Split, Fenerbahce has been in great form. Their two friendlies since have produced big wins: 4-0 away at Strasbourg and 5-1 at home to Hull City. They then followed that up with their win in Switzerland in the first leg of this tie. They begin their domestic season on the 10th of August.
FC Lugano's league campaign in the Swiss Super League is already underway, and last season's runners-up in both the league and domestic cup have started well. Mattia Croci-Torti's team has won both its opening matches, defeating Grasshoppers 2-1 at home and FC Basel away, also by a 2-1 scoreline. Those games came on either side of the narrow first-leg defeat to the Yellow Canaries.
After a pulsating first leg in Switzerland, there's still plenty to play for in this tie, especially considering Lugano's incredible goalscoring exploits away from home, where domestically, they failed to score in just three of their away games last season.
The victors in this tie will go forward to face Lille in the Third Qualifying Round in August.
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Fenerbahce Istanbul vs FC Lugano Form
Fenerbahce Istanbul and FC Lugano Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Super Lig
12 May 2024 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Super Lig
6 May 2024 - Super Lig
22 Apr 2024 - Super Lig
14 Apr 2024 - Super Lig
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Super League
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
20 Jul 2024 - Super League
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
20 Jul 2024 - Super League
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Super League
2 Jun 2024 - Schweizer Cup
20 May 2024 - Super League
11 May 2024 - Super League
27 Apr 2024 - Schweizer Cup
13 Apr 2024 - Super League
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs FC Lugano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
Players list
D. Livakovic
DefenderC. Soyuncu
J. Oosterwolde
A. Djiku
I. Kahveci
MidfielderS. Szymanski
M. Muldur
I. Yuksek
M. Yandas
ForwardE. Dzeko
D. Tadic
A. Saipi
DefenderM. Zanotti
A. El Wafi
M. Valenzuela
Y. Cimignani
A. Papadopoulos
MidfielderD. Dos Santos
O. Doumbia
A. Grgic
ForwardH. Mahou
K. Przybylko
Substitutes
I. Egribayat
E. Cetin
DefenderR. Becao
M. Muldur
B. Elmaz
I. Yuksek
M. Yandas
I. Kahveci
O. Aydin
A. Saint-Maximin
C. Tosun
R. Kent
D. Mina
S. Osigwe
DefenderL. Mai
Z. Brault-Guillard
M. Marques
MidfielderY. Cimignani
Y. Ryter
D. Dos Santos
R. Macek
A. Grgic
K. Przybylko
H. Mahou
Most goals and assists
Fenerbahce Istanbul
FC Lugano
Y. En-Nesyri
(26 Goals)
A. Grgic
(9 Goals)
D. Tadic
(12 Assists)
R. Steffen
(8 Assists)
Fenerbahce Istanbul - FC Lugano Key Points
- Fenerbahce have scored 13 goals in their last three games, conceding four.
- Both teams have scored in four of Fenerbahce’s last six games.
- In five of FC Lugano’s last six games, both teams scored.
- FC Lugano have scored in 25 of their last 28 away games, excluding the Swiss Cup Final.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs FC Lugano Prediction
Our Fenerbahce vs. FC Lugano prediction is for: Fenerbahce to win and both teams to score.
After an explosive first leg that saw seven goals, Jose Mourinho's team will be confident of securing passage into the Third Qualifying round. Both teams have been scoring and conceding goals of late and the data suggests that this game will see both score again. However, when you compare the quality of the squads, and factor in that Fenebrahce have home advantage, the home team should prevail.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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