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by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions
Eighth seed Alex de Minaur takes on 25th seed Felix Auger-Aliassime, hoping to win his first-ever US Open quarter-final. This is the two’s sixth career meeting and the first at a major. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime will contest a quarter-final tie at Flushing Meadows for only the second time. The last time he was here, he punched his ticket to the semi-finals. This was four years ago, and that achievement remains his biggest at a major.
The Canadian has been in terrific form in New York, winning three of his four ties without losing a set. His performance has catapulted him right back into the ATP’s top 20 at number 18 in the live ranking.
Auger-Aliassime, who has defeated de Minaur three times previously, defeated 15th seed Andrey Rublev in the last round.
Alex de Minaur has never progressed past the quarter-finals at a Grand Slam tournament. The Australian has lost five times in the last eight, twice at Flushing Meadows.
De Minaur, who also has lost just one set in his run to this round, defeated the qualifier Leandro Riedi in round four. The victory saw the world number eight improve to 41 wins for the season and equal last season’s finish here.
De Minaur won the most recent duel in this series with Auger-Aliassime at last year’s Italian Open.
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The Best Betting Odds for Felix Auger Aliassime v Alex De Minaur Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.2 | 1.61 |
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2.28 | 1.63 |
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Who will win the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex De Minaur match is: over 3.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex De Minaur game on 03/09/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 36.63% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 2.31.
- Alex De Minaur has a 63.37% probability of winning facing Felix Auger Aliassime ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at Betway.
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Felix Auger Aliassime has a 36.63 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Felix Auger Aliassime | 36.63 % |
Alex De Minaur | 63.37 % |
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex De Minaur Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
14 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
13 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open
Felix Auger Aliassime - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- In his career, de Minaur has won over 190 duels on hard courts.
- Auger-Aliassime has won at least one set in 12 of his last 14 outings.
- De Minaur and Auger-Aliassime have each won at least twice in this fixture.
- Auger-Aliassime has claimed almost 130 victories on hard courts in his career.
- De Minaur has only twice in his previous 18 matches failed to win at least one set.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Our prediction for Felix Auger-Aliassime v Alex de Minaur is for over 3.5 sets. This is the first time that Auger-Aliassime and de Minaur are facing off at a major. It is, however, not their first encounter, as they have faced off five times previously. With each player claiming at least two wins in this series, we are likely to witness a high-octane showdown.
One that has the potential to go the full distance. Auger-Aliassime and de Minaur have been in fine form at the US Open and throughout the season and are highly favoured to make the semi-finals. It is also worth noting that both players are exceptional performers on hard courts.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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