FC Seoul vs Incheon United Prediction & Betting Tips - K-League
South Korea - K-League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
FC Seoul will welcome Incheon to the Seoul World Cup Stadium on matchday 16 of the K League 1. The home team has dominated this fixture, winning each of their last three meetings, hence our prediction leans towards an FC Seoul win.
FC Seoul are six points clear at the top with 32 points accumulated from 15 games and are chasing their first K League 1 championship since 2016.
It has been a story of resurgence for the Dark Red Warriors, who return to domestic league action boasting two consecutive wins. Their last match saw them beat Daejeon 2-1 on the road thanks to goals from Anderson Oliveira and Seung-Mo Lee.
Despite registering 10 points from a possible 18 at the Seoul World Cup Stadium this season, their recent performance has left much to be desired, with the team winning just one of their last four matches (D1, L2).
Hopefully, for Incheon, who sit sixth in the table with 21 points, FC Seoul's recent inconsistency on home soil offers them a glimmer of hope as they look to halt the league leaders' momentum.
The Cranes head into this clash having suffered just one defeat in their last four league games. Their last match was a 4-0 home thrashing of ceiling dwellers Gwangju, marking their second win in three games.
Away from home, they've gone six games without defeat (W3, D3).
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FC Seoul v Incheon United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 8.75 | 90 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 301 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.42 | 4.18 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.44 | 4.09 |
|
|
1.05 | 11 | 251 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Seoul and Incheon United?
Our prediction for the FC Seoul vs Incheon United match is: FC Seoul wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/07/2026 between FC Seoul and Incheon United in K-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.98% for a win of FC Seoul against Incheon United with odds of 1.95 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Seoul vs Incheon United is 28.09% with odds of 13 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Incheon United vs FC Seoul with odds of 301 at 1xbet.
FC Seoul - Incheon United Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Seoul Incheon United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul wins | 38.98% | 1.95 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.31% | 1.77 at BC Game |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: FC Seoul | 18.7% | 5.2 at Roobet |
FC Seoul vs Incheon United Form
FC Seoul and Incheon United's standings in the K-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
59 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | +31 |
|
7
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 |
FC Seoul and Incheon United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
25 Apr 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
21 Apr 2026 - K-League
18 Apr 2026 - K-League
11 Apr 2026 - K-League
22 Mar 2026 - K-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
25 Apr 2026 - K-League
15 Apr 2026 - K-League
5 Apr 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
25 Apr 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
25 Apr 2026 - K-League
11 Apr 2026 - K-League
5 Apr 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
21 Apr 2026 - K-League
18 Apr 2026 - K-League
22 Mar 2026 - K-League
15 Mar 2026 - K-League
FC Seoul vs Incheon United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Feb 2026 - K-League
27 Jul 2024 - K-League
11 May 2024 - K-League
10 Mar 2024 - K-League
FC Seoul against Incheon United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
K. Hyeon-mu
DefenderP. Su-il
L. Han-do
P. Seong-hun
MidfielderH. Do-yoon
P. Han-gyeol
L. Seung-mo
M. Seon-min
S. Min-kyu
L. Tae Hui
DefenderK. Seong-min
L. Sang-ki
P. Kyung-sub
MidfielderI. Undabarrena
C. Seung-gu
J. Chi-In
P. Seung-ho
S. Mugosa
Most goals and assists
FC Seoul
Incheon United
P. Klimala
(10 Goals)
S. Mugosa
(11 Goals)
A. Oliveira
(5 Assists)
, 
M. Seon-min
(5 Assists)
,
J. Seung-won
(5 Assists)
L. Ju-yong
(4 Assists)
FC Seoul - Incheon United Key Points
- FC Seoul are currently on a two-match winning streak.
- Incheon United have won just one of their last five away league encounters against FC Seoul.
- FC Seoul have won their last three league encounters against Incheon United.
- Incheon United have not won a league meeting against FC Seoul since July 2023.
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Our FC Seoul vs Incheon United Prediction
FC Seoul have alternated between dominant displays and inconsistent performances in the league. However, their recent resurgence, recording back-to-back wins and dominance in this fixture, makes them favourites to come out on top in front of their home crowd.
Incheon United have been a difficult side to beat on the road, but the issue starts with their underwhelming record against FC Seoul. They've lost 20 of their last 47 league meetings against this opponent and are currently on a three-match losing streak. That said, a home win is undoubtedly on the cards. Our FC Seoul vs Incheon United prediction: FC Seoul wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Seoul Incheon United
| FC Seoul vs Incheon United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul wins | 1.9 | 1.95 | +2.6% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 13 | +271.4% |
| Incheon United wins | 4.25 | 301 | +6,982.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FC Seoul is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 51.3% (-1.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
