FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
30/07/2026 13:00
Besiktas Istanbul

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Europa League Predictions

We head to MCH Arena on Thursday evening for the second leg of the Europa League qualifying tie between Midtjylland and Besiktas. The Black Eagles lead the tie 1-0, and we are leaning toward another low-scoring affair here as our match prediction.

Midtjylland had an excellent League Phase in this competition last season, finishing in third place before bowing out to Nottingham Forest on penalties in a thrilling Round of 16 tie. 

Ulvene played almost the entire first leg last week a man down after Friday Etim was shown red in the opening 15 minutes of the match, which massively altered the momentum of the encounter. 

Back on their home patch this week, the hosts will have confidence of getting back in this tie, having won their three pre-season games at this venue fairly comfortably. 

Meanwhile, after Etim’s sending off, Besiktas took the lead in the tie thanks to an Orkun Kokcu goal in the 26th minute. 

However, they will likely be disappointed to have only managed one goal in that match, having dominated 74% possession, fired 28 shots at goal, and recorded 3.04 xG across the 90. 

As a result, the Black Eagles now have to defend a slender advantage, and have not been great on the road of late, having failed to win any of their four pre-season away games.

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FC Midtjylland v Besiktas Istanbul Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.84 3.6 3.75
1xbet
1.88 3.7 3.77
Melbet
1.88 3.7 3.77
Betwinner
1.9 3.7 3.69
22bet
1.88 3.7 3.77
Check all FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Midtjylland and Besiktas Istanbul?

Our prediction for the FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul match is: less than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/07/2026 between FC Midtjylland and Besiktas Istanbul in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.74% for a win of FC Midtjylland against Besiktas Istanbul with odds of 1.9 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul is 25.07% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Midtjylland with odds of 4.15 at Betsson.

FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Form

FC Midtjylland and Besiktas Istanbul Last Matches

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland Last matches
D W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2026 - Superliga

Sonderjyske
2 :  3
FC Midtjylland

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
1 :  0
FC Midtjylland

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
4 :  1
Odense Boldklub

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cardiff
0 :  6
FC Midtjylland

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
4 :  2
Silkeborg IF

26 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Malmo
2 :  2
FC Midtjylland
W D L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
4 :  1
Odense Boldklub

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
4 :  2
Silkeborg IF

20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
1 :  0
Lillestrøm

17 May 2026 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
2 :  3
Brondby IF

4 May 2026 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
3 :  3
Viborg FF

20 Apr 2026 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
2 :  1
AGF Aarhus
D W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2026 - Superliga

Sonderjyske
2 :  3
FC Midtjylland

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
1 :  0
FC Midtjylland

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cardiff
0 :  6
FC Midtjylland

26 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Malmo
2 :  2
FC Midtjylland

14 May 2026 - DBU Pokalen

FC Copenhagen
0 :  1
FC Midtjylland

10 May 2026 - Superliga

FC Nordsjaelland
0 :  0
FC Midtjylland
Besiktas Istanbul
Besiktas Istanbul Last matches
D W L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
1 :  0
FC Midtjylland

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Spartak Trnava
3 :  2
Besiktas Istanbul

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

OFK Dynamo Malzenice
1 :  1
Besiktas Istanbul

10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Widzew Lodz
2 :  0
Besiktas Istanbul

10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mattersburger Sportverein 2020
0 :  1
Besiktas Istanbul

5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mosonmagyarovari TE
0 :  0
Besiktas Istanbul
W W D L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
1 :  0
FC Midtjylland

9 May 2026 - Super Lig

Besiktas Istanbul
1 :  2
Trabzonspor

5 May 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Besiktas Istanbul
0 :  1
Konyaspor

27 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Besiktas Istanbul
0 :  0
Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

23 Apr 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Besiktas Istanbul
3 :  0
Alanyaspor

10 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Besiktas Istanbul
4 :  2
Antalyaspor
D D W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Spartak Trnava
3 :  2
Besiktas Istanbul

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

OFK Dynamo Malzenice
1 :  1
Besiktas Istanbul

10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Widzew Lodz
2 :  0
Besiktas Istanbul

10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mattersburger Sportverein 2020
0 :  1
Besiktas Istanbul

5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mosonmagyarovari TE
0 :  0
Besiktas Istanbul

15 May 2026 - Super Lig

Caykur Rizespor
2 :  2
Besiktas Istanbul

FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

FC Midtjylland

0 %

Draw

0 %

Besiktas Istanbul

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
1 :  0
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Prediction

Players list

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Goalkeeper

E. Olafsson

Defender

R. Kristensen

M. Erlic

M. Bech Sorensen

V. Jensen

Midfielder

P. Billing

P. Bravo

V. Andreasen

Forward

D. Osorio

Franculino

C. Gue-sung

Besiktas Istanbul
Besiktas Istanbul
Goalkeeper

A. Nuebel

Defender

R. Yilmaz

E. Topcu

T. Djalo

A. Murillo

Midfielder

J. Olaitan

I. Fakili

O. Kokcu

V. Cerny

S. Ozcan

Forward

O. Hyeon-gyu

Substitutes

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Goalkeeper

N. Bakker

Defender

B. Junior

A. Gabriel

Midfielder

S. Johannesen

K. Watjen

D. Castillo

Forward

J. Emefile

Etim

S. Iheanacho

Besiktas Istanbul
Besiktas Istanbul
Goalkeeper

D. Alemdar

Defender

C. Gursel

E. Agbadou

T. Bulut

K. Ouattara

Midfielder

K. Yilmaz

D. Sahin

M. Rashica

A. Hadziahmetovic

Forward

S. Kilicsoy

A. Bircan

M. Hekimoglu

FC Midtjylland and Besiktas Istanbul Stats in Europa League

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Besiktas Istanbul
Besiktas Istanbul
0%
Wins
100%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
1
Average goals per match
1
0
Goals scored per match
1
1
Goals conceded per match
0
100%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
100%
0%
BTTS
0%

FC Midtjylland - Besiktas Istanbul Key Points

  1. Midtjylland only conceded one goal in the first leg despite going down to 10 men.
  2. Midtjylland recorded 0.67 xG in the first leg of this tie.
  3. Seven of Midtjylland’s last 10 competitive games ended with under 3.5 goals.
  4. Eight of Besiktas’ last 10 competitive games ended with under 3.5 goals.
  5. Besiktas failed to score in two of their four pre-season away games.
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Our FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Prediction

Despite going down to 10 men inside the first 15 minutes in Istanbul, Midtjylland managed to hold firm in defence and only conceded once, which would have given them loads of confidence coming into this match. 

Besiktas would certainly have wanted more than just a one-goal advantage here. They are now up against it, on the road against the Wolves, who will be back to full strength. We feel the visitors will try to prioritise a clean sheet in this one. Our Midtjylland vs Besiktas prediction is less than 3.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.