FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Europa League Predictions
We head to MCH Arena on Thursday evening for the second leg of the Europa League qualifying tie between Midtjylland and Besiktas. The Black Eagles lead the tie 1-0, and we are leaning toward another low-scoring affair here as our match prediction.
Midtjylland had an excellent League Phase in this competition last season, finishing in third place before bowing out to Nottingham Forest on penalties in a thrilling Round of 16 tie.
Ulvene played almost the entire first leg last week a man down after Friday Etim was shown red in the opening 15 minutes of the match, which massively altered the momentum of the encounter.
Back on their home patch this week, the hosts will have confidence of getting back in this tie, having won their three pre-season games at this venue fairly comfortably.
Meanwhile, after Etim’s sending off, Besiktas took the lead in the tie thanks to an Orkun Kokcu goal in the 26th minute.
However, they will likely be disappointed to have only managed one goal in that match, having dominated 74% possession, fired 28 shots at goal, and recorded 3.04 xG across the 90.
As a result, the Black Eagles now have to defend a slender advantage, and have not been great on the road of late, having failed to win any of their four pre-season away games.
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FC Midtjylland v Besiktas Istanbul Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.03 | 3.55 | 3.3 |
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2.11 | 3.53 | 3.39 |
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|
2.11 | 3.52 | 3.38 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.76 | 3.4 |
|
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2.11 | 3.52 | 3.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Midtjylland and Besiktas Istanbul?
Our prediction for the FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/07/2026 between FC Midtjylland and Besiktas Istanbul in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.33% for a win of FC Midtjylland against Besiktas Istanbul with odds of 2.11 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul is 25.14% with odds of 3.81 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Midtjylland with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
FC Midtjylland - Besiktas Istanbul Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Midtjylland Besiktas Istanbul Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland wins | 46.33% | 2.11 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.87% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : FC Midtjylland/FC Midtjylland | 18.17% | 3.5 at Betsson |
FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Form
FC Midtjylland and Besiktas Istanbul Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Superliga
23 Jul 2026 - Europa League
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Superliga
4 May 2026 - Superliga
20 Apr 2026 - Superliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Superliga
23 Jul 2026 - Europa League
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2026 - DBU Pokalen
10 May 2026 - Superliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2026 - Europa League
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2026 - Europa League
9 May 2026 - Super Lig
5 May 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
27 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
23 Apr 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
10 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 May 2026 - Super Lig
FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Jul 2026 - Europa League
FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
L. Selin
N. Bakker
DefenderB. Junior
L. Han-beom
A. Gabriel
MidfielderK. Watjen
S. Johannesen
E. Chilufya
ForwardN. Abdou Aziz
J. Emefile
S. Iheanacho
M. Uhre
D. Alemdar
DefenderC. Gursel
E. Agbadou
K. Ouattara
Y. Ozcan
T. Bulut
A. Hadziahmetovic
M. Rashica
K. Yilmaz
ForwardS. Kilicsoy
A. Bircan
M. Hekimoglu
FC Midtjylland - Besiktas Istanbul Key Points
- Midtjylland only conceded one goal in the first leg despite going down to 10 men.
- Midtjylland recorded 0.67 xG in the first leg of this tie.
- Seven of Midtjylland’s last 10 competitive games ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Eight of Besiktas’ last 10 competitive games ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Besiktas failed to score in two of their four pre-season away games.
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Our FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul Prediction
Despite going down to 10 men inside the first 15 minutes in Istanbul, Midtjylland managed to hold firm in defence and only conceded once, which would have given them loads of confidence coming into this match.
Besiktas would certainly have wanted more than just a one-goal advantage here. They are now up against it, on the road against the Wolves, who will be back to full strength. We feel the visitors will try to prioritise a clean sheet in this one. Our Midtjylland vs Besiktas prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Midtjylland Besiktas Istanbul
| FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas Istanbul | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland wins | 1.83 | 2.11 | +15.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.81 | +5.8% |
| Besiktas Istanbul wins | 4 | 3.5 | -12.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FC Midtjylland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 47.4% (-7.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
