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FC Lugano vs FC Thun Prediction & Betting Tips - Super League

Switzerland - Super League

FC Lugano
27/07/2025 09:00
FC Thun

Prediction :

 

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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 by Ian John in Football Predictions

Opening-day fixtures in the Swiss Super League continue on Sunday as FC Lugano hosts newly promoted FC Thun in what should be an exciting game between two attack-minded teams. The Cornaredo Stadium will host the game between the Bianconeri and the visiting Thun as both teams aim to secure a win to start the season. What will our match prediction for this game suggest is the best bet to back?

Last season saw FC Lugano finish in a respectable fourth-place in the Super League, behind only Champions Basel, Servette and Young Boys. They amassed 54 points and scored 55 goals, conceding 58 in their 38 games played. Thun topped the Challenge Division last season to earn direct promotion to the Super League. They took 72 points from 36 games to finish 11-points clear of Aarau. They netted 70 goals, conceding 39. 

Lugano were strong in pre-season securing a 2-1 win against Rapperswil, followed by a 4-2 victory over Paradiso and in their most recent game last weekend, earned a 2-0 win over Italian side Pro Vercelli. Their sole defeat came in a 3-2 home loss to Thun in their second game of pre-season.

Thun have that friendly win over Lugano to bolster their hopes of a win here. They did lose 4-3 to at home Kriens and drew 1-1 away to Sion ahead of that win over Lugano and then wrapped up pre-season with a 4-1 win over Aarau last weekend.

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The Best Betting Odds for FC Lugano v FC Thun Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.62 4.2 4.75
Betfred
1.62 3.75 4.5
William Hill
1.62 4 4.6
Betway
1.62 4 4.5
Unibet
1.6 4.25 4.75
Check all FC Lugano vs FC Thun odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Lugano and FC Thun?

Our prediction for the FC Lugano vs FC Thun match is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/07/2025 between FC Lugano and FC Thun in Super League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.08% for a win of FC Lugano against FC Thun with odds of 1.64 at Betobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Lugano vs FC Thun is 26.12% with odds of 4.28 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.8% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Thun vs FC Lugano with odds of 4.9 at 22bet.

FC Lugano vs FC Thun Form

FC Lugano and FC Thun's standings in the Super League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
FC Thun
FC Thun
0 0 0 0 0 0
2
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
0 0 0 0 0 0

FC Lugano and FC Thun Last Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano Last matches
D D W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

FC Lugano
0 :  0
CFR Cluj

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  0
Pro Vercelli 1892

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  4
FC Thun

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  1
FC Rapperswil-Jona

24 May 2025 - Super League

FC Lugano
1 :  1
BSC Young Boys

18 May 2025 - Super League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  1
FC Lugano
L D W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

FC Lugano
0 :  0
CFR Cluj

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  0
Pro Vercelli 1892

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  4
FC Thun

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  1
FC Rapperswil-Jona

24 May 2025 - Super League

FC Lugano
1 :  1
BSC Young Boys

10 May 2025 - Super League

FC Lugano
2 :  5
FC Basel 1893
W L L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 May 2025 - Super League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  1
FC Lugano

15 May 2025 - Super League

Servette Geneva
4 :  1
FC Lugano

4 May 2025 - Super League

FC Luzern
0 :  2
FC Lugano

21 Apr 2025 - Super League

Lausanne-Sport
2 :  0
FC Lugano

6 Apr 2025 - Super League

FC Basel 1893
2 :  0
FC Lugano

1 Apr 2025 - Super League

Yverdon-Sport
0 :  2
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Thun Last matches
W L W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Thun
4 :  1
FC Aarau

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  4
FC Thun

4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Sion
1 :  1
FC Thun

27 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

BSC Young Boys
1 :  2
FC Thun

21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Thun
3 :  4
SC Kriens

23 May 2025 - Challenge League

FC Thun
1 :  0
Etoile Carouge
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Thun
4 :  1
FC Aarau

21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Thun
3 :  4
SC Kriens

23 May 2025 - Challenge League

FC Thun
1 :  0
Etoile Carouge

2 May 2025 - Challenge League

FC Thun
2 :  1
FC Aarau

21 Apr 2025 - Challenge League

FC Thun
7 :  0
Wil 1900

4 Apr 2025 - Challenge League

FC Thun
3 :  0
FC Schaffhausen
W D L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  4
FC Thun

4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Sion
1 :  1
FC Thun

27 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

BSC Young Boys
1 :  2
FC Thun

16 May 2025 - Challenge League

AC Bellinzona
3 :  1
FC Thun

11 May 2025 - Challenge League

FC Vaduz
3 :  3
FC Thun

25 Apr 2025 - Challenge League

Neuchatel Xamax
0 :  2
FC Thun

FC Lugano vs FC Thun Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  4
FC Thun
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

FC Lugano - FC Thun Key Points

  1. 62% of the 21 matches between Lugano and Thun have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  2. 81% of the 21 matches between the two teams have seen both teams score.
  3. Six of Lugano's last seven games have seen both teams score.
  4. Four of Thun's last five games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our FC Lugano vs FC Thun Prediction

Our prediction for the FC Lugano vs. FC Thun Swiss Super League match is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.

Given that Thun were in the Challenge Division last season and earned promotion, a direct comparison of the league form of the two teams isn't useful. However, data for both teams suggests that both are likely to score goals and also concede. Historical records also strongly suggest a game with both teams finding the net, which is why the BTTS and Over 2.5 markets are our pick here.

Prediction :

 

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

FC Lugano vs FC Thun Prediction
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