Europe - Conference League
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by Thobelani Moyo in Conference League Predictions
FC Lugano play host to Celje at the Stockhorn Arena in the first leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round. Lugano have made it to the main draw of the UEFA Europa Conference League just once, and this was in 2024. Can they do it again, this time, through the preliminary rounds? Here's our match prediction.
FC Lugano have experienced a dreadful start to the 2025-26 Swiss Super League season. Two consecutive defeats currently see them anchored at the bottom of the table.
In their most recent, they were thrashed 4-0 on the road by newly-promoted Sion.
The Black and White was recently playing in the UEFA Europa League qualifiers. However, a 1-0 aggregate defeat at the hands of CFR Cluj in the second qualifying round saw them being demoted to Europe's third-tier competition, where they aim to redeem themselves.
In contrast, Celje are at the top of the Slovenian PrvaLiga table after winning all of their first three games.
Just like their opponents, they too were demoted to the UEFA Europa Conference League qualifiers. They were playing in the UEFA Europa League, but their journey was short-lived, losing 3-2 on aggregate.
The Counts were pitted against Cypriot club AEK Larnaca FC in the second qualifying round. In the first leg, they played to a 1-1 draw at home and ultimately lost 2-1 away from home in the return leg.
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The Best Betting Odds for FC Lugano v NK Celje Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.57 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
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1.57 | 4 | 5 |
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1.57 | 4 | 5 |
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1.57 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
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1.57 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Lugano and NK Celje?
Our prediction for the FC Lugano vs NK Celje match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/08/2025 between FC Lugano and NK Celje in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.01% for a win of FC Lugano against NK Celje with odds of 1.6 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Lugano vs NK Celje is 19.26% with odds of 4.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.73% chance ⭐ for a win of NK Celje vs FC Lugano with odds of 5.36 at 22bet.
FC Lugano vs NK Celje Form
FC Lugano and NK Celje Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Super League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Super League
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - Super League
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Super League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Super League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
18 May 2025 - Super League
15 May 2025 - Super League
4 May 2025 - Super League
21 Apr 2025 - Super League

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
20 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Prva Liga
10 May 2025 - Prva Liga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
20 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
18 May 2025 - Prva Liga
14 May 2025 - Slovenia Cup
FC Lugano vs NK Celje Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
Most goals and assists







FC Lugano - NK Celje Key Points
- FC Lugano have seen three of their last four matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League end with over 2.5 goals.
- Celje have seen each of their last three matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League end with over 2.5 goals.
- FC Lugano have conceded six goals in their last two hoe matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Four of FC Lugano's six matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League produce over 2.5 goals.
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Our FC Lugano vs NK Celje Prediction
Confidence is undeniably low in the Lugano camp after the 4-0 league thrashing at the hands of Sion. Their performance this season has not been impressive, and they are a high risk in the full-time market despite being favorites.
Celje, on the other hand, have been the better-performing side. In European competitions this season, they have suffered just one of their last four matches (W2, D1). Three of those outings ended with over 2.5 goals. They have also been firing on all cylinders on the road, scoring 11 goals in their last four matches. Our FC Lugano vs Celje prediction: over 2.5.
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Try your luck on this year's Conference League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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