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FC Lugano vs NK Celje Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

FC Lugano
07/08/2025 14:30
NK Celje

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo in Conference League Predictions

FC Lugano play host to Celje at the Stockhorn Arena in the first leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round. Lugano have made it to the main draw of the UEFA Europa Conference League just once, and this was in 2024. Can they do it again, this time, through the preliminary rounds? Here's our match prediction.

FC Lugano have experienced a dreadful start to the 2025-26 Swiss Super League season. Two consecutive defeats currently see them anchored at the bottom of the table.

In their most recent, they were thrashed 4-0 on the road by newly-promoted Sion.

The Black and White was recently playing in the UEFA Europa League qualifiers. However, a 1-0 aggregate defeat at the hands of CFR Cluj in the second qualifying round saw them being demoted to Europe's third-tier competition, where they aim to redeem themselves.

In contrast, Celje are at the top of the Slovenian PrvaLiga table after winning all of their first three games.

Just like their opponents, they too were demoted to the UEFA Europa Conference League qualifiers. They were playing in the UEFA Europa League, but their journey was short-lived, losing 3-2 on aggregate.

The Counts were pitted against Cypriot club AEK Larnaca FC in the second qualifying round. In the first leg, they played to a 1-1 draw at home and ultimately lost 2-1 away from home in the return leg.

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The Best Betting Odds for FC Lugano v NK Celje Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.57 4.2 4.75
Betfred
1.57 4 5
William Hill
1.57 4 5
Betway
1.57 4.2 4.75
Unibet
1.57 4.5 4.7
Check all FC Lugano vs NK Celje odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Lugano and NK Celje?

Our prediction for the FC Lugano vs NK Celje match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/08/2025 between FC Lugano and NK Celje in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.01% for a win of FC Lugano against NK Celje with odds of 1.6 at BC Game.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Lugano vs NK Celje is 19.26% with odds of 4.5 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 48.73% chance ⭐ for a win of NK Celje vs FC Lugano with odds of 5.36 at 22bet.

FC Lugano vs NK Celje Form

FC Lugano and NK Celje Last Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano Last matches
L W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2025 - Super League

FC Sion
4 :  0
FC Lugano

31 Jul 2025 - Europa League

CFR Cluj
1 :  0
FC Lugano

27 Jul 2025 - Super League

FC Lugano
1 :  2
FC Thun

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

FC Lugano
0 :  0
CFR Cluj

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  0
Pro Vercelli 1892

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  4
FC Thun
D W L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Jul 2025 - Super League

FC Lugano
1 :  2
FC Thun

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

FC Lugano
0 :  0
CFR Cluj

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  0
Pro Vercelli 1892

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  4
FC Thun

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Lugano
2 :  1
FC Rapperswil-Jona

24 May 2025 - Super League

FC Lugano
1 :  1
BSC Young Boys
L W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2025 - Super League

FC Sion
4 :  0
FC Lugano

31 Jul 2025 - Europa League

CFR Cluj
1 :  0
FC Lugano

18 May 2025 - Super League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  1
FC Lugano

15 May 2025 - Super League

Servette Geneva
4 :  1
FC Lugano

4 May 2025 - Super League

FC Luzern
0 :  2
FC Lugano

21 Apr 2025 - Super League

Lausanne-Sport
2 :  0
FC Lugano
NK Celje
NK Celje Last matches
D W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga

Ljubljana
0 :  5
NK Celje

31 Jul 2025 - Europa League

AEK Larnaca
2 :  1
NK Celje

27 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga

NK Celje
2 :  0
Radomlje

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

NK Celje
1 :  1
AEK Larnaca

20 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga

NK Maribor
1 :  2
NK Celje

17 Jul 2025 - Europa League

NK Celje
3 :  3
Sabah FK
L D L D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga

NK Celje
2 :  0
Radomlje

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

NK Celje
1 :  1
AEK Larnaca

17 Jul 2025 - Europa League

NK Celje
3 :  3
Sabah FK

2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

NK Celje
1 :  2
FK Cukaricki

25 May 2025 - Prva Liga

NK Celje
1 :  1
Domzale

10 May 2025 - Prva Liga

NK Celje
2 :  3
FC Koper
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga

Ljubljana
0 :  5
NK Celje

31 Jul 2025 - Europa League

AEK Larnaca
2 :  1
NK Celje

20 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga

NK Maribor
1 :  2
NK Celje

10 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Sabah FK
2 :  3
NK Celje

18 May 2025 - Prva Liga

Nafta 1903 Lendava
1 :  6
NK Celje

14 May 2025 - Slovenia Cup

FC Koper
0 :  4
NK Celje

FC Lugano vs NK Celje Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

FC Lugano

50 %

Draw

0 %

NK Celje

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

13 Mar 2025 - Conference League

FC Lugano
5 :  4
NK Celje

6 Mar 2025 - Conference League

NK Celje
1 :  0
FC Lugano
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato FC Lugano
CD Huachipato NK Celje
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast O. Doumbia (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Bosnia and Herzegovina M. Kvesic (2 Goals) Slovenia D. Sturm (2 Goals) Croatia F. Kovacevic (2 Goals)
Best assists
Switzerland A. Grgic (1 Assists)
Best assists

FC Lugano - NK Celje Key Points

  1. FC Lugano have seen three of their last four matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League end with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Celje have seen each of their last three matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League end with over 2.5 goals.
  3. FC Lugano have conceded six goals in their last two hoe matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
  4. Four of FC Lugano's six matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League produce over 2.5 goals.
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Our FC Lugano vs NK Celje Prediction

Confidence is undeniably low in the Lugano camp after the 4-0 league thrashing at the hands of Sion. Their performance this season has not been impressive, and they are a high risk in the full-time market despite being favorites.

Celje, on the other hand, have been the better-performing side. In European competitions this season, they have suffered just one of their last four matches (W2, D1). Three of those outings ended with over 2.5 goals. They have also been firing on all cylinders on the road, scoring 11 goals in their last four matches. Our FC Lugano vs Celje prediction: over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

FC Lugano vs NK Celje Prediction
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