FC Astana vs FC Ordabasy Prediction & Betting Tips - Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazachstan - Kazakhstan Premier League
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
We’ve got Kazakhstan Premier League action this weekend as fifth-placed Astana host second-place FC Ordabasy in matchday 5. Will the Yellow and Blues bounce back with a victory or will the Blue and White continue their unbeaten start? Check out our match prediction below!
FC Astana have struggled in their first two away league trips of the season (D1, L1) and failed to get on the scoresheet in those two games.
At Astana Arena, however, they’ve been a much more formidable side. Last season’s runners-up have won both of their home matches, scoring six goals in the process and conceding just once.
Astana were able to get back to winning ways in their midweek cup match, beating second-division side FK Bks 2-1 away from home. Now back in the league, they’ll be seeking a positive response after a heavy 4-0 away defeat to defending champions Kairat in matchday 4.
2023 league champions Ordabasy are in the midst of a strong start to the season after suffering through a down year in the previous campaign.
They have yet to taste defeat, winning two and drawing two in the league, while also securing a 4-2 away win in their midweek cup fixture over Akademiya Ontustik. Ordabasy’s last league fixture saw them salvage a point at home with a penalty deep into stoppage time to draw 1-1 with Atyrau.
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FC Astana v FC Ordabasy Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.09 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.53 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.53 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.45 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between FC Astana and FC Ordabasy?
Our prediction for the FC Astana vs FC Ordabasy match is: Astana draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between FC Astana and FC Ordabasy in Kazakhstan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.21% for a win of FC Astana against FC Ordabasy with odds of 2.16 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Astana vs FC Ordabasy is 20.75% with odds of 3.53 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.04% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Ordabasy vs FC Astana with odds of 3.15 at Melbet.
FC Astana - FC Ordabasy Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Astana FC Ordabasy Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Astana wins | 56.21% | 2.16 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.08% | 1.88 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : FC Astana/FC Astana | 24.5% |
FC Astana vs FC Ordabasy Form
FC Astana and FC Ordabasy's standings in the Kazakhstan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | +13 |
|
5
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +4 |
FC Astana and FC Ordabasy Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Cup
5 Apr 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
19 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
14 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Cup
5 Apr 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
19 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
7 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
7 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
19 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Cup
16 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
24 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
FC Astana vs FC Ordabasy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
5 Apr 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
22 Sept 2024 - Kazakhstan Premier League
16 Jun 2024 - Kazakhstan Premier League
FC Astana - FC Ordabasy Key Points
- Astana finished with the league’s best home record in 2025 at 9-3-1.
- The hosts are already off to a strong start at this ground, winning their first two matches of the season.
- Ordabasy’s have a 4-4-6 record in their last 14 away league fixtures.
- Astana have won six of their last nine meetings with Ordabasy across all competitions.
- That includes a 2-1 victory in this fixture last season.
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Our FC Astana vs FC Ordabasy Prediction
With Astana suffering a heavy away defeat to Kairat in matchday 4, the home crowd will be demanding a positive response. The Astana Arena has been a fortress for the hosts in recent seasons and we’re expecting them to get a lift on Saturday.
With that being said, the visiting Ordabasy come into this match in good form. Astana are the more likely of the two teams to nick the win, but paying the premium for the draw protection could be worth it here. Our Astana vs FC Ordabasy prediction: Astana draw no bet.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Astana FC Ordabasy
| FC Astana vs FC Ordabasy | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Astana wins | 2.25 | 2.16 | -4.0% |
| Draw | 3.21 | 3.53 | +10.0% |
| FC Ordabasy wins | 3.24 | 3.15 | -2.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FC Astana is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 46.3% (1.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
