Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Matchday five of the Primeira Liga serves up a fascinating clash as champions Sporting Lisbon travel to Famalicao. The hosts are so far the surprise package, unbeaten in four matches and sitting second, a point ahead of Sporting. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Famalicao are not only unbeaten, but they also haven't conceded a goal so far. They only dropped points in their 0-0 draw with Gil Vicente and will be looking to keep this run going.
In this match, though, they will meet top opposition for the first time. The hits could rise to the top with a win or loss and drop as far back as sixth. Before the international break they claimed a 1-0 win away at AFS.
Sporting, on their part, have had a shaky start to the season but will be confident of bouncing back here. They are coming off a first loss in the league, beaten by leaders Porto, and Famalicao took advantage to leap above them.
Sporting also lost earlier against Benfica in the Super Cup, and away fans will start getting worried at the team’s ability to compete. The champions lost a number of players in the summer as a factor of their success last year.
In their five matches this season, Sporting managed two clean sheets but only failed to score once.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Famalicao v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 | 4.5 | 1.46 |
|
|
7 | 4.33 | 1.4 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.5 | 1.48 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.4 | 1.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Famalicao and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon match is: both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Famalicao and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.07% for a win of Famalicao against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 7 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon is 19.07% with odds of 4.54 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao with odds of 1.5 at Unibet.
Famalicao - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Famalicao Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 49.87% | 1.5 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.15% | 1.65 at Ladbrokes |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 20.07% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Famalicao and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
|
5
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Famalicao and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
30 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
13 Nov 2022 - Liga Portugal
Famalicao against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
L. Realpe
R. Soares
ForwardO. Aranda
R. Silva
DefenderO. Diomande
MidfielderD. Braganca
ForwardN. Santos
Most goals and assists
Famalicao
Sporting Lisbon
J. De Haas
(2 Goals)
, 
G. Sa
(2 Goals)
L. Suarez
(8 Goals)
G. Dias
(3 Assists)
P. Goncalves
(4 Assists)
,
G. Quenda
(4 Assists)
Famalicao - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Famalicao failed to score in only one match this season.
- 17 goals were scored in Sporting’s five matches this season.
- Six of the last 10 meetings between these teams had both scores.
- Three of the last five meetings between these two had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Famalicao are the surprise package so far in the Primeira Liga. After four rounds of matches they are second, but how long can they hold on? Sporting will be out to rise above them, and looking at their head-to-head records, it is hard to argue against Sporting taking this.
However, the catch is on the goals market. While Sporting have been considerably weak defensively, Famalicão have only failed to score once in four matches. We still feel Sporting will breach their hosts’ defence though. Our prediction for Famalicao v Sporting Lisbon is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Famalicao Sporting Lisbon
| Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao wins | 6.5 | 5.75 | -11.5% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.5 | -5.3% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.36 | 1.46 | +7.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 68.5% (-5.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Famalicao vs. Sporting Lisbon game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Famalicao and Sporting Lisbon when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Liga Portugal!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
