Famalicao vs Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Expect another tense brawl between Famalicao and Casa Pia Lisbon in their second Liga Portugal meeting this season. While Famalicenses look to cement their position and avoid falling further, Os Gansos are dangerously close to the relegation zone and will be looking for all three points. Who wins, or is this another draw? Find out in this match prediction.
Famalicao’s road has been rocky as of late, with a loss to Sporting CP now marking six defeats in their last nine games. However, Famalicenses has taken three victories in their last five league games, only losing to reigning champions (1-0) and Gil Vicente (5-0), with all five goals coming after a red card.
For Famalicao, this is just the kind of game they should be winning, and that will be the game plan to avoid further slumps in the final stages of the season. But a resilient Casa Pia Lisbon will have other plans. Os Gansos are now undefeated in their last four games, drawing two games and winning two. Casa even handed Porto their one and only defeat of the season.
That short run has just been enough to place Casa Pia four points above the relegation playoffs and outright relegation zone. Although the rightful underdogs, the determination to avoid relegation is something Famalicao must fear in this game.
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Famalicao v Casa Pia Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.58 | 3.95 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.94 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.94 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.51 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.85 | 6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Famalicao and Casa Pia Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Famalicao vs Casa Pia Lisbon match is: BTTS - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/02/2026 between Famalicao and Casa Pia Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.88% for a win of Famalicao against Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.6 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Famalicao vs Casa Pia Lisbon is 15.35% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon vs Famalicao with odds of 6.5 at LSbet.
Famalicao - Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Famalicao Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Famalicao wins | 47.88% | 1.6 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.15% | 2.07 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Famalicao | 22.83% | 4.1 at LSbet |
Famalicao vs Casa Pia Lisbon Form
Famalicao and Casa Pia Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
56 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 |
|
16
|
30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 |
Famalicao and Casa Pia Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Famalicao vs Casa Pia Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
13 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
13 Mar 2023 - Liga Portugal
Famalicao against Casa Pia Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
I. Zlobin
DefenderL. Realpe
R. Soares
P. Costa Santos
A. Joujou
M. Pena
G. Pastor Sanchez
ForwardS. Elisor
R. Beney
I. Mandic
DefenderA. Geraldes
Rosas
K. Rocha
MidfielderI. Mohamed
S. Perez
T. Morais
D. Livramento
J. Marques
Missing players
G. Larrazabal
ForwardCassiano
Most goals and assists
Famalicao
Casa Pia Lisbon
J. De Haas
(5 Goals)
, 
Sorriso
(5 Goals)
Cassiano
(6 Goals)
, 
G. Larrazabal
(6 Goals)
G. Dias
(7 Assists)
J. Livolant
(7 Assists)
Famalicao - Casa Pia Lisbon Key Points
- In the last four meetings between Famalicao and Casa Pia, both teams scored in each game.
- Both teams have scored in three of Casa Pia’s last four meetings, and in three of the last five for Famalicao.
- Casa Pia has conceded the joint fourth-most goals (41), allowing 1.86 goals per match.
- Additionally, Casa has kept only four clean sheets this season (fourth-fewest), conceding in 18 of 21 games this season.
- Famalicao has scored in five straight home games, netting 13 goals in that span.
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Our Famalicao vs Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction
Casa isn't the best offensive team, but the dynamics of this game favour both teams scoring. Os Gansos need as many points as they can get, with relegation still highly possible. And they've proved that determination with eight goals in their last four league games, even beating league leaders Porto 2-1.
And for Famalicenses, even with less pressure to win, you can expect them to continue their strong home form, featuring 13 goals in the last five games. Hence, our Famalicao vs Casa Pia Lisbon prediction is BTTS - Yes.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Famalicao Casa Pia Lisbon
| Famalicao vs Casa Pia Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao wins | 1.64 | 1.6 | -2.4% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.1 | +2.5% |
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 5.6 | 6.5 | +16.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Famalicao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 62.5% (1.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
