Everton vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Everton will take on Sunderland in their final home game of the 2025-26 Premier League season on Sunday afternoon. With both the Toffees (10th) and the Black Cats (12th) conceding with regularity of late, we are leaning toward the goals market in this match as our main prediction.
The Blues’ hopes of securing European football are no longer in their control following back-to-back draws against Man City and Crystal Palace in the last two weeks. However, David Moyes’ side are still mathematically in contention to finish in the top seven, and a victory here will give them a much-needed lift before facing Spurs on the final day.
With five points separating them from Brighton (7th), Sunderland are also still in the running for Europe. However, with just two games left and Chelsea to come, it’s going to take a miracle for Regis Le Bris’ men to secure continental football next term. Still, the visitors have already tasted victory at the Hill Dickinson Stadium this season - can they do it again this weekend?
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Everton v Sunderland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.75 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.66 | 4.26 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.74 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.55 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Sunderland match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Everton and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.05% for a win of Everton against Sunderland with odds of 1.92 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Sunderland is 29.18% with odds of 3.84 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Everton with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
Everton - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Sunderland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 38.05% | 1.92 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.91% | 2 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Everton/Everton | 17.31% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
Everton vs Sunderland Form
Everton and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
|
13
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
Everton and Sunderland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
4 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
24 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
24 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Everton vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2017 - Carabao Cup
25 Feb 2017 - Premier League
12 Sept 2016 - Premier League
Everton - Sunderland: Form Analysis
For a second Premier League gameweek in a row, Everton made a solid start but were unable to hold on to their lead and had to settle for a 2-2 draw on the road against Crystal Palace last Sunday.
The Toffees are now winless in their last five games (D3 L2) and conceded two or more goals in each, a significant drop-off after winning three of their four league matches before this winless run.
This week’s hosts have earned 23 points from their 18 home games this season (W6 D5 L7). They won three in a row at home against this opponent before losing to them here in the FA Cup in January.
Everton’s current five-match winless run is their longest stretch without a league victory this season!
Meanwhile, after sharing the spoils with Wolves on MD35, Sunderland played to a frustrating goalless draw at home against a changed-up Manchester United last weekend.
The Black Cats are now without victory in their last four league matches (D2 L2) and conceded 10 goals in this period, while failing to find the back of the net themselves in two of their last three games.
Only 18 of the visitors' 48 points this season have come in away games (W4 D6 L8). They have only scored 14 goals on the road to date, but six of those (42.8%) came in their last three matches.
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Everton against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Travers
DefenderS. Coleman
N. Patterson
MidfielderD. McNeil
C. Alcaraz
T. George
H. Armstrong
ForwardT. Barry
T. Dibling
M. Ellborg
DefenderD. Cirkin
MidfielderJ. Bi
H. Diarra
C. Talbi
C. Rigg
L. O'Nien
E. Mayenda
W. Isidor
Missing players
J. Branthwaite
D. Ballard
MidfielderR. Mundle
Everton & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Beto took his league tally to nine goals in the draw at Selhurst Park last week. He has now scored five goals in his last five matches, one more than he managed in his first 30 top-flight appearances this season.
James Tarkowski netted the opener last week before turning provider for the team’s second goal. His two goal involvements in that match is as many as he managed in 93 previous games in the top flight.
This week’s hosts have no new injury issues to contend with, meaning only Idrissa Gueye, Jarrad Branthwaite and Jack Grealish will miss the Toffees' final home game of the season.
Enzo Le Fee has recorded goal contributions in both matches against Everton this season!
Le Fee was Sunderland’s best player from an attacking perspective against Man United last week, recording a team-high three shots at goal, along with four key passes - as many as Bruno Fernandes.
Dan Ballard’s season is officially over after the FA upheld his suspension for violent conduct against Wolves. As a result, Nordi Mukiele will likely partner Omar Alderete in central defence, with Lutsharel Geertruida stepping into the fullback role.
The visitors have two confirmed absentees for this trip to Merseyside in Bertrand Traore and Ryan Mundle, while Moroccan international Chemsdine Talbi is listed as a minor doubt.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Sunderland
Beto
(9 Goals)
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
J. Garner
(7 Assists)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
Everton - Sunderland Key Points
- Each of Everton’s last five league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Everton have only failed to score in one of their last nine home league matches.
- Everton and Sunderland are averaging 1.52 and 1.46 xGA per 90 in the league this season, respectively.
- Four of Sunderland’s last five away league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams scored in the two previous encounters between these sides this season.
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Our Everton vs Sunderland Prediction
Everton have had an impressive second half of the season under David Moyes, but they have been poor in defence in recent weeks, having now conceded two or more goals in each of their last five league matches ahead of this one.
It has been no secret that Sunderland have been a much better side at home this term, but they have scored six goals in their last three away matches, and netted in both games against this opponent this season. Our Everton vs Sunderland prediction is BTTS.
Everton vs Sunderland Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Each of Everton’s last six league matches have ended with over 2.5 goals, while Sunderland’s last three EPL away games have averaged four goals scored.
Draw
Both these sides have drawn their last two league games ahead of this one. Additionally, both matches between these teams this season ended level in regulation time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Sunderland
| Everton vs Sunderland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 1.93 | 1.92 | -0.5% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.84 | +1.1% |
| Sunderland wins | 4.27 | 4.4 | +3.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Everton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.8% and is now 52.1% (0.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Everton vs. Sunderland game
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Everton vs Sunderland - FAQs
The Premier League match between Everton and Sunderland will take place on May 17 at 15:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Everton and Sunderland will be played at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool.
The Premier League match between Everton and Sunderland Palace will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
