Everton vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Premier League tosses us a Toffees versus Toon tussle on Matchday 13, with Everton looking to maintain momentum against a Newcastle United side wrestling with a wobbly start. The Blues are in 11th place in the top-flight standings, while the Magpies are 14th after 12 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Everton return to Merseyside this week off the back of a David Moyes masterclass on Monday night in Manchester, when the Scot navigated his 10-man side to a victory over his former employers. That result also marked the first time this week’s hosts won back-to-back league games since August.
Newcastle’s troubles on their travels were on display again in midweek when former Gunner Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang spearheaded Marseille to a victory over the Geordies in the UCL. The visitors are marginal favourites here, but it has now been over a month since they won on the road - let’s take a look at some more key stats!
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Everton v Newcastle Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.35 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.28 | 2.67 |
|
|
2.69 | 3.22 | 2.69 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.2 | 2.58 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Newcastle match is: Harvey Barnes over 0.5 shots on target.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Everton and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.59% for a win of Everton against Newcastle with odds of 2.88 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Newcastle is 26.5% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Everton with odds of 2.7 at Stake.
Everton - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 47.59% | 2.88 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.2% | 1.93 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.33% | |
| Half-time: Newcastle / Full-time: Everton | 18.2% | 29 at Bet365 |
Everton vs Newcastle Form
Everton and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
|
13
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
Everton and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
29 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 May 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2023 - Premier League
27 Apr 2023 - Premier League
19 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Everton - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Everton enter MD13 in the bottom half of the league standings. However, with the top-flight table being as tightly compact as it is, they could end this weekend as high as the top six with a bit of luck.
The Blues’ victory over Man United extended their unbeaten run to three (W2 D1), but perhaps more importantly, it was the first time they kept back-to-back league clean sheets this season.
The hosts have only suffered one league defeat at their new home ground this season (W2 D3) and have lost just one of their last four Prem home games against their upcoming opponents.
Everton have kept four clean sheets in seven home games this season (all competitions)!
Meanwhile, the last week has been a rollercoaster of emotions for Newcastle fans, with their side pulling off an excellent 2-1 victory over Man City last weekend before losing to Marseille in midweek.
Maintaining consistency has been a major issue for the Magpies so far this season, which is further illustrated by their recent league record of three wins and three losses in their last six.
As touched on earlier, the visitors’ away form is dismal. They are currently on a four-match losing streak and have only won one of their eight away games across all competitions this season (W1 D3 L4).
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Everton against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
T. King
M. Travers
DefenderR. Welch
A. Aznou
E. Campbell
MidfielderD. McNeil
C. Alcaraz
Beto
T. Dibling
J. Ruddy
DefenderA. Murphy
F. Schar
J. Ramsey
S. Tonali
J. Willock
J. Murphy
ForwardA. Gordon
S. Neave
Missing players
S. Coleman
MidfielderI. Gueye
J. Branthwaite
E. Krafth
ForwardW. Osula
Everton & Newcastle Squad Analysis
The flashpoint of Everton’s victory on Monday night was the red card shown to Idrissa Gueye, who was given his marching orders for violent conduct against his own teammate, Michael Keane.
Just three minutes before that, Seamus Coleman was forced off with a hamstring strain, adding to the Toffees’ absentee list, which also includes Jarrad Branthwaite, Merlin Rohl and Nathan Patterson.
While Thierno Barry was unable to find the net against United, he was applauded for his work rate with his side down to 10 men. He set a new season record for the most aerial balls won in a match (14) and will likely get the nod here.
Harvey Barnes has scored four goals in his last three matches!
The 27-year-old winger is enjoying a purple patch, having netted his fourth Champions League goal in the defeat to Marseille and bagged a brace to secure the victory over City last weekend.
Eddie Howe was criticised for deploying Anthony Gordon as the number nine in midweek after the English international’s performance proved to be one of the most disappointing on the night.
As a result, Nick Woltemade will almost certainly start here, while mega-money signing Yoanne Wissa remains sidelined, along with William Osula and Kieran Trippier.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Newcastle
Beto
(9 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
J. Garner
(7 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
Everton - Newcastle Key Points
- Harvey Barnes has scored four goals in his last three matches in all competitions.
- Harvey Barnes has the sixth-best non-penalty xG per 90 in the league this season (0.44).
- Harvey Barnes is averaging 2.61 attempts on goal per 90 this season.
- Harvey Barnes is averaging 0.98 shots on target per 90 this season.
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Our Everton vs Newcastle Prediction
While Newcastle are showing up as the favourites in this contest, their away form this season makes it tough to back them with any confidence. Add to that Everton’s recent upturn in form, and the 1x2 market looks like a no-go for us.
As our primary wager, we’re going with Harvey Barnes to record at least one shot on target. The Englishman has netted four goals in his last three matches and now has the highest non-penalty xG per 90 in the league among midfielders. Our Everton vs Newcastle prediction is Harvey Barnes over 0.5 shots on target.
Everton vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5
Two of Everton’s last three home games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while three or more goals were scored in each of Newcastle’s last five away matches in all competitions.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Newcastle
| Everton vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 3.15 | 2.88 | -8.6% |
| Draw | 3.41 | 3.4 | -0.3% |
| Newcastle wins | 2.47 | 2.7 | +9.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Everton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 34.7% (3.0%)
Everton vs Newcastle - FAQs
The Premier League match between Everton and Newcastle will take place on November 29 at 17:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Everton and Newcastle will be played at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool.
The Premier League match between Everton and Newcastle will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
