Everton vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Two teams with contrasting Premier League ambitions collide on Tuesday night, when Everton play host to Burnley at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Matchday 29. The Toffees are in eighth place in the league standings, while the Clarets are 19th after 28 games. Check out our match prediction below!
David Moyes is working his magic on Merseyside again. Since the Scotsman left the Blues at the start of 2013-14, they only qualified for Europe once (Europa League 2017-18), but after a stunning victory at St. James’ Park at the weekend, the People’s Club now trail the top six by just five points heading into the final stretch of the season.
Burnley, on the other hand, are still among the favourites to suffer the drop this season, but they have shown in recent weeks that they will not go down without a fight. Scott Parker’s side took a point from the reverse fixture in December, but can they avoid leaving the blue half of Merseyside empty-handed? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Everton v Burnley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 3.95 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.72 | 5.85 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.84 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.8 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.8 | 5.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Burnley match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/03/2026 between Everton and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.61% for a win of Everton against Burnley with odds of 1.67 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Burnley is 38.43% with odds of 4 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Everton with odds of 6.04 at 888Starz.
Everton - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.43% | 4 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 59.36% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 69.17% | |
| Half-time : Everton / Full-time : Burnley | 19.89% | 16 at LSbet |
Everton vs Burnley Form
Everton and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Everton and Burnley Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
23 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Everton vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
6 Apr 2022 - Premier League
13 Sept 2021 - Premier League
Everton - Burnley: Form Analysis
Everton will enter MD29 of the Premier League in high spirits after an excellent performance, securing a massive three points by beating Newcastle United 3-2 on the road on Saturday afternoon.
That was a much-needed win for the Toffees following back-to-back defeats to Bournemouth and Manchester United, and it was the first time they scored three goals in a match since early December.
However, the hosts now need to replicate that form at home, where they were eliminated from the FA Cup by Sunderland last month, and are winless in their last six top-flight matches (D2 L4).
Everton have won their last three home games against this opponent in all competitions!
Meanwhile, despite a spirited comeback from three goals down, a late concession against Brentford at the weekend saw Burnley suffer a 4-3 loss and was the latest blow to their EPL survival hopes.
The Clarets had held Chelsea to a 1-1 draw and pulled off an against-the-odds victory over Crystal Palace before that, but they are still eight points behind Forest - the first side above the dotted line.
The visitors have the second-worst away record in the division with just nine points earned from 14 outings. However, it is worth noting that five of those points have come in their last four games on the road (W1 D2 L1).
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Everton against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
M. Travers
DefenderN. Patterson
M. Keane
M. Rohl
T. Iroegbunam
T. George
H. Armstrong
ForwardT. Barry
T. Dibling
M. Weiss
DefenderQ. Hartman
H. Ekdal
MidfielderK. McMahon-Brown
J. Laurent
J. Ward-Prowse
A. Barnes
L. Tchaouna
J. Bruun Larsen
Missing players
C. Alcaraz
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
A. Broja
Z. Amdouni
Everton & Burnley Squad Analysis
After only scoring once in his first 18 EPL appearances for Everton, Thierno Barry has now netted in five of his last 10 league games, including getting the winner over Newcastle at the weekend.
With Jack Grealish expected to miss the remainder of the season, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall will have a massive role to play for the Toffees. He picked up an assist against the Magpies and now has three goal contributions in his last four league matches.
This week’s hosts came away from St. James’ Park with no new injury concerns, meaning that only Grealish and summer signing Carlos Alcaraz are expected to be sidelined for this fixture.
Six of Zian Flemming’s seven goals this season have come in away games!
Liam Rosenior dubbed the former PEC Zwolle attacker as Burnley’s best header of the ball on MD27. The 27-year-old showed his aerial prowess again on Saturday by nodding home his team’s third goal against Brentford.
Hannibal Mjebri was the Clarets’ best player against the Bees over the weekend, picking up two assists in the match. The Tunisian international has now recorded three goal contributions in his last three EPL games.
The visitors have a lengthy list of injury absentees for this trip to Merseyside, featuring Armando Broja, Axel Tuanzebe, Mike Tresor, Josh Cullen, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, and Zeki Amdouni.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Burnley
Beto
(9 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
J. Garner
(7 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
Everton - Burnley Key Points
- Five of Everton’s last six league games ended with both teams scoring.
- Everton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six home league matches.
- Six of Burnley’s last eight league games ended with both teams scoring.
- Burnley have not kept a clean sheet in any of their 14 away league matches this season.
- Everton and Burnley are averaging 1.47 and 1.96 xGA per 90 this season.
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Our Everton vs Burnley Prediction
Everton will have their tails up coming into this match after that stunning victory over Newcastle at the weekend, but they have been leaky in defence of late, having only kept one clean sheet in 2026.
Burnley are still one of the favourites to be relegated this season, but they have shown tremendous fighting spirit lately and were bitterly unlucky to come away empty-handed against Brentford on Saturday. Based on these sides’ recent records, we fancy both to get on the scoresheet in this match. Our Everton vs Burnley prediction is BTTS.
Everton vs Burnley Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Everton and Burnley are averaging 1.47 and 1.96 xGA per 90 this season. Additionally, three of both these sides’ last four games across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
Draw or Burnley
Burnley have only lost one of their last four away league games, which included holding Chelsea and Liverpool to draws and coming back from two goals down to beat Crystal Palace 3-2. Everton are winless in their last seven hoem games across all competitions.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Burnley
| Everton vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 1.75 | 1.67 | -4.6% |
| Draw | 3.88 | 4 | +3.1% |
| Burnley wins | 5.38 | 6.04 | +12.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.8% and is now 25.0% (-0.8%)
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Everton vs Burnley - FAQs
The Premier League match between Everton and Burnley will take place on March 3 at 19:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Everton and Burnley will be played at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool.
The Premier League match between Everton and Burnley will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
