Esperance Sportive De Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction & Betting Tips - CAF Champions League
Africa - CAF Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in CAF Champions League Predictions
Esperance Tunis will face off against Mamelodi Sundowns in the first leg of the CAF Champions League semi-finals at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi on Sunday. The winner of this tie between Mkachkha and Masandawana will face either AS Far or RS Berkane in the final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Esperance Tunis got to the knockout stage of this season’s CAF Champions League by finishing second to Stade Malien in Group D with nine points from their six matches (W2 D3 L1).
The Blood and Gold then pulled off an against-the-odds 4-2 aggregate victory over Al Ahly in the quarter-final. They are now unbeaten in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
The hosts are on an eight-match win streak and have not lost a single home game this season. They’ve also kept clean sheets in each of their last six home games ahead of this one.
Meanwhile, Mamelodi Sundowns survived what was widely considered the group of death, finishing in second place behind Al-Hilal with nine points in their six group-stage games (W2 D3 L1).
Masandawana won the first leg of their quarter-final tie 3-0 against Stade Malian and progressed 3-2 on aggregate after losing the reverse fixture 2-0 in Bamako last month.
The visitors have not won an away game in the CAFCL this season. However, they have kept clean sheets in three of their last four on the road across all competitions.
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Esperance Sportive De Tunis v Mamelodi Sundowns Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.81 | 3.2 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.15 | 4.99 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.15 | 4.99 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.1 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.15 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Esperance Sportive De Tunis and Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our prediction for the Esperance Sportive De Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Esperance Sportive De Tunis and Mamelodi Sundowns in CAF Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.64% for a win of Esperance Sportive De Tunis against Mamelodi Sundowns with odds of 1.82 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Esperance Sportive De Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns is 10.11% with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Sportive De Tunis with odds of 4.99 at Melbet.
Esperance Sportive De Tunis - Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction and Best Odds:
| Esperance Sportive De Tunis Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Esperance Sportive De Tunis wins | 58.64% | 1.82 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 77.98% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 87.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Esperance Sportive De Tunis | 25.54% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Esperance Sportive De Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Form
Esperance Sportive De Tunis and Mamelodi Sundowns Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Mar 2026 - Tunisian Cup
21 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - CAF Champions League
27 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - CAF Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Mar 2026 - Tunisian Cup
21 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Premier Soccer League
3 Apr 2026 - Premier Soccer League
22 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
17 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
13 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
10 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Premier Soccer League
17 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
13 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
14 Feb 2026 - CAF Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Premier Soccer League
22 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
10 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
24 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
21 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
18 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
Esperance Sportive De Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Apr 2025 - CAF Champions League
1 Apr 2025 - CAF Champions League
26 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
20 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
Esperance Sportive De Tunis - Mamelodi Sundowns Key Points
- Six of ES Tunis’ eight games in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- ES Tunis have kept clean sheets in each of their last six home games.
- Three of Sundowns’ four away games in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Sundowns have kept clean sheets in three of their last four on the road in all competitions.
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Our Esperance Sportive De Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction
Esperance Tunis have been excellent at home all season. They have not lost a single match at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi this term and have kept clean sheets in each of their last six games at this venue.
Mamelodi Sundowns have more than enough class in their ranks to get a result here, but they have not been great on the road in this competition, having failed to win any of their four away games to date. We expect the visitors to try to prioritise a clean sheet in this one. Our Esperance Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Esperance Sportive De Tunis Mamelodi Sundowns
| Esperance Sportive De Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esperance Sportive De Tunis wins | 1.97 | 1.82 | -7.6% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.25 | +6.6% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns wins | 4.1 | 4.99 | +21.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Esperance Sportive De Tunis is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.8% and is now 54.9% (4.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
