Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tips - DFB Pokal
Germany - DFB Pokal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in DFB Pokal Predictions
Fourth division side Aue could look to keep Bundesliga side Hoffenheim quiet when the sides meet in the first round of the 2026-27 DFB Pokal on Saturday. This match at Erzgebirgsstadion between the ‘Violets’ and the ‘Kraichgauers’ is likely to be low on the scoring count, and our match prediction is for under 3.5 goals to be netted.
Aue lost in the first round in seven of their last eight appearances in the DFB Pokal, including four in a row. Hoffenheim have made it past the first round in their last ten appearances in this competition.
Aue were relegated from the third division last year and are coming off a 3-1 away defeat in the league last weekend. That was their first defeat, though, in five competitive games this campaign (W3, D1). Barring that loss, the ‘Violets’ scored at least two goals in that sequence, but facing a top-flight club could be a tough challenge.
Hoffenheim are yet to play a competitive match this season and are coming off a draw and loss to Tottenham in their final two friendlies. These were preceded by three consecutive wins in pre-season games, so the visitors look settled with their preparations. They have consistently gone past this round but didn’t post comprehensive wins, which opens the door for a low-scoring game.
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Erzgebirge Aue v Hoffenheim Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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20 | 8.8 | 1.07 |
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23 | 11 | 1.07 |
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23 | 11 | 1.07 |
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23 | 11 | 1.07 |
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23 | 11 | 1.07 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Erzgebirge Aue and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim match is: under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2026 between Erzgebirge Aue and Hoffenheim in DFB Pokal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.16% for a win of Erzgebirge Aue against Hoffenheim with odds of 26 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim is 18.54% with odds of 13 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs Erzgebirge Aue with odds of 1.1 at Tonybet.
Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim Form
Erzgebirge Aue and Hoffenheim Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
9 Aug 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
6 Aug 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
31 Jul 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
25 Jul 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
6 Aug 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
25 Jul 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 May 2026 - 3. Liga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
31 Jul 2026 - Regionalliga Northeast
16 May 2026 - 3. Liga
3 May 2026 - 3. Liga
19 Apr 2026 - 3. Liga
7 Apr 2026 - 3. Liga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
Erzgebirge Aue - Hoffenheim Key Points
- Three of Aue’s last four DFB Pokal losses have seen under 3.5 goals.
- Five of Hoffenheim’s last seven matches saw only one side score goals.
- This is Hoffenheim’s first competitive match of the season.
- Five of Hoffenheim’s last six matches in this competition saw fewer than four goals.
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Our Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim Prediction
Aue were relegated from the third division last season and started their life in the Regionalliga Nordost with three wins out of five. That is no barometer of their chances against Bundesliga side Hoffenheim, who are yet to play a competitive match this season. The gulf in quality between these clubs is vast, ruling out an upset home win.
The hosts can take comfort from their better preparations and could perhaps keep the visitors quiet in terms of goals. That’s why our Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim prediction is under 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
