International - Women's Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions
The iconic Wembley Stadium will host this Friday’s crucial UEFA Women's Nations League Group A3 matchup between England W and Portugal W. The Lionesses are second in the group standings, while A Selecao das Quinas are third heading into the final two matchdays of the competition. Check out our match prediction below!
England have managed seven points from their four games this season and trail group leaders Spain by two points. As it stands, they have to win this match - if England drop points here and La Roja win their match against Belgium, the latter will be guaranteed entry to the Nations League Finals. Portugal’s Finals hopes are hanging by a thread as they trail the group leaders by five points with two games to go.
The hosts are massive favourites in this fixture and are currently showing up as the second-shortest priced favourites headed into this matchday. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for England W v Portugal W Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 6 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 6 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.18 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.17 | 6 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between England W and Portugal W?
Our prediction for the England W vs Portugal W match is: England wins & BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/05/2025 between England W and Portugal W in Women's Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.68% for a win of England W against Portugal W with odds of 1.2 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England W vs Portugal W is 26.75% with odds of 7.1 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Portugal W vs England W with odds of 16 at Betwinner.
England W vs Portugal W Form
England W and Portugal W's standings in the Women's Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
|
3
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7 |
England W and Portugal W Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
26 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
3 Dec 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
30 Nov 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
26 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
3 Dec 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
30 Nov 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
29 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
25 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
16 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro
4 Jun 2024 - Women's Euro
9 Apr 2024 - Women's Euro
5 Dec 2023 - Women's Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
26 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
3 Dec 2024 - Women's Euro
29 Nov 2024 - Women's Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
29 Nov 2024 - Women's Euro
29 Oct 2024 - Women's Euro
16 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro
31 May 2024 - Women's Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
26 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
3 Dec 2024 - Women's Euro
25 Oct 2024 - Women's Euro
12 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro
4 Jun 2024 - Women's Euro
England W vs Portugal W Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
1 Jul 2023 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
27 Jul 2017 - Women's Euro
England W - Portugal W: Form Analysis
After failing to qualify for the Nations League Finals by a single goal difference in the last edition, England’s knockout stage hopes this season are now out of their hands. All they can do is win their final two games and hope that Spain fluff their lines.
The Lionesses got into this situation by suffering a shock 3-2 defeat to Belgium in their last match, when they conceded three goals in the space of 30 minutes and couldn’t close the deficit.
However, the hosts have been very good at home in this competition, having won both their games at Wembley, scoring six goals while maintaining clean sheets in both matches.
The last two matches between these sides across all competitions ended level!
Meanwhile, after making a very promising start to the competition, taking four points from their first two games, Belgium were brought crashing back to earth last month by Spain.
As Navegadoras lost 4-2 at home to La Roja on April 4 before shipping seven on the road four days later, with all of those goals from the second match being scored in the space of an hour. Their 7-1 loss on matchday four is the biggest defeat in Group A this season.
The visitors have won one and lost one of their two away games in this competition. Notably, Belgium have conceded 12 goals to date, which is the second-most in Group A.
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England W & Portugal W Squad Analysis
On Tuesday, Mary Earps announced her shock retirement from international football after losing her spot in goal to Chelsea shot-stopper Hannah Hampton.
The Lionesses are now likely to move Khiara Keating into the backup role for Hampton, while Ann Moorhouse is expected to be brought in as the team’s third-choice goalie.
England were also handed a major injury blow in the lead-up to the match, with defender Ella Morris sustaining an ACL injury during training, which will also see her miss the team’s title defence at Euro 2025.
Man City’s Laura Blindkilde has been called up as Morris’s replacement for this month’s matches.
Carole Costa is the only Portugal player to score more than once in this competition!
Francisco Neto has alternated between Patricia Morais and Ines Pereira in goal in this competition, though the latter is widely expected to get the nod between the sticks at Wembley.
Ana Borges and Dolores Silva have both been called up for this month’s Nations League games and will be hoping to make an impact in some capacity this week.
England W - Portugal W Key Points
- England have not conceded at home in this competition.
- England have kept clean sheets in each of their last four home matches across all competitions.
- England have only lost one of their last 50 competitive home matches.
- Portugal have never scored on four previous visits to face England.
- Portugal have only conceded one away goal in the Nations League this season.
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Our England W vs Portugal W Prediction
England’s shock defeat to Belgium last month has put them in a tough spot to qualify for the Nations League Finals, as all they can do now is win their last two games in the group and hope that Spain drops points.
While the reverse fixture between these sides ended 1-1, the Lionesses are a different beast on home soil, having not conceded at home in this competition, while only losing one of their last 50 competitive matches in England. Our England W vs Portugal W prediction is England wins & BTTS (NO).
England W vs Portugal W - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5
England have not conceded at home in their last four matches in all competitions, and three of those games ended with under 2.5 goals. Additionally, each of the last three matches between these sides have ended with fewer than three goals scored.
Use £/€50 free bets for the England W vs. Portugal W game!
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Try your luck on this year's Women's Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
England W vs Portugal W match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Women's Nations League match between England W and Portugal W will be played on May 30 at 19:45 GMT.
The UEFA Women's Nations League match between England W and Portugal W will take place at Wembley Stadium in London.
The UEFA Women's Nations League match between England W and Portugal W will be broadcast on ITV Sport in the UK.
However, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Women's Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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