Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
Empoli would be hoping to improve their chances of saving their Serie A season when they host another struggling side, Parma, in a Matchday 36 fixture on Saturday. This match at Stadio Carlo Castellani between the 19th-placed Azzurri and the 16th-placed Crusaders comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
With 25 points ahead of this round, Empoli started in the relegation zone and two points adrift of safety. Parma’s 32 points put them six points above the bottom three and still in with an outside threat of relegation.
Empoli lost 1-0 at home to Lazio, a side fighting for European qualification. That made it three defeats in a row in all competitions. More importantly, they are winless in 20 Serie A matches (D6, L14).
They are still in with a chance to avoid relegation but need to quickly improve their recent form. Empoli are winless in 11 home league games but drew two of their last three here.
Parma are still in danger of getting relegated, but a win here could confirm safety. A 1-0 home loss to Como last time out extended their wait for that confirmation.
It was their first win in eight league games (W1, D6, L1) though, which means Parma will hope to put it across their struggling hosts.
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The Best Betting Odds for Empoli v Parma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.2 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.25 | 3 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Empoli and Parma?
Our prediction for the Empoli vs Parma match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2025 between Empoli and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.16% for a win of Empoli against Parma with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Empoli vs Parma is 41.66% with odds of 3.15 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Empoli with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
Empoli - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Empoli Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.66% | 3.15 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 53.01% | 2.13 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.75% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 17.76% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Empoli vs Parma Form
Empoli and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
33 | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -15 |
|
18
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -25 |
Empoli and Parma Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
Empoli vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
40 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2 Mar 2019 - Serie A
30 Sep 2018 - Serie A
17 Feb 2018 - Serie B
19 Sep 2017 - Serie B
Empoli against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
S. Sazonov
MidfielderN. Haas
Y. Maleh
S. Zurkowski
ForwardP. Pellegri
C. Kouame
L. Colombo
Y. Osorio
A. Vogliacco
MidfielderA. Bernabe
N. Estevez
ForwardM. Kowalski
G. Charpentier
V. Mihaila
M. Cancellieri
Most goals and assists
Empoli
Parma
S. Esposito
(8 Goals)
A. Bonny
(6 Goals)
L. Henderson
(5 Assists)
E. Valeri
(6 Assists)
Empoli - Parma Key Points
- Empoli average 0.77 goals per fixture this league campaign, and only two clubs average fewer strikes per game.
- Empoli failed to score in six of their last seven matches played at home in all competitions.
- Eight of Parma’s last 11 league fixtures returned under 2.5 goals.
- In four of Parma’s last five away league games, there have been fewer than three goals.
- The reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw.
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Our Empoli vs Parma Prediction
With no wins in their last 20 Serie A matches, Empoli are struggling to get that elusive win which would have put them in the safety zone. They are still two points adrift of safety, but that’s easily bridgeable, which presents a great chance to escape relegation. It would need them to defeat Parma, though, another side that’s been struggling for momentum in recent weeks. That’s evident on their recent trips, which means this is likely to be a low-scoring encounter. Our Empoli vs Parma prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Empoli Parma
| Empoli vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli wins | 2.5 | 2.35 | -6.0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3 | -7.7% |
| Parma wins | 2.88 | 3.4 | +18.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 33.3% (2.6%)
Use the Empoli vs. Parma game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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