Elche vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid have a soft landing as they return from the Copa del Rey to an away match against Elche in La Liga. Mentally, Atletico will be in turmoil, but facing a team battling for survival, the visitors should win this. We have a prediction for the match below.
Despite beating Valencia 1-0 in their last outing, Elche are still in the bottom three. This time, though, trailing 17th-placed Alaves by just a point.
With Alaves facing Real Madrid, Elche have a chance to leave the bottom three, but only if they can beat Atletico. That isn’t a feature they’ve enjoyed a lot, as in the last 10 meetings between the two, Elche managed just one win.
Atlético have had a mixed bag of fortunes in the past few weeks. Right after eliminating Barcelona from the Champions League, they suffered defeat in the Copa del Rey at the hands of Real Sociedad.
Atletico had to come from behind twice in a 2-2 draw before falling in the post-match penalties. With that outcome, Atletico are left with just one win in their last seven matches, five having ended in defeat.
Their away form will also do with some improvement, Atletico having lost their last two league games on the road.
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Elche v Atletico Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.41 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.58 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.7 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.65 | 2.68 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Elche and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Elche vs Atletico Madrid match is: BTTS
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/04/2026 between Elche and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.21% for a win of Elche against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.46 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Elche vs Atletico Madrid is 19.16% with odds of 3.72 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Elche with odds of 3.15 at 888Starz.
Elche - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Elche Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 48.21% | 2.46 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.79% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Elche | 21.98% | 6 at Bet365 |
Elche vs Atletico Madrid Form
Elche and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
15
|
43 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 |
Elche and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Elche vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 May 2023 - LaLiga
29 Dec 2022 - LaLiga
11 May 2022 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
Elche against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Iturbe
I. Pena
DefenderV. Chust
A. Pedrosa
P. Bigas
H. Fort
MidfielderF. Redondo
Y. de Santiago Alonso
J. Nwankwo Donald
ForwardA. Rodriguez
L. Cepeda
Josan
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
R. Belaid
M. Pubill
A. Puric
D. Martinez Moreno
MidfielderJ. Morcillo
P. Barrios
A. Griezmann
G. Simeone
M. Llorente
I. Luque Sierra
Missing players
A. Boayar Benaisa
J. Gimenez
M. Llorente
D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
MidfielderKoke
ForwardA. Sorloth
A. Lookman
J. Alvarez
Most goals and assists
Elche
Atletico Madrid
A. Silva
(10 Goals)
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
M. Neto
(5 Assists)
, 
A. Rodriguez
(5 Assists)
, 
G. Valera
(5 Assists)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
Elche - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Elche scored in nine of their last 10 home matches.
- Six times in Elche’s last 10 home games both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in four of Atletico’s last seven away games.
- There were two clean sheets only in Atletico’s last 10 outings.
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Our Elche vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
In a game Atletico Madrid are supposed to walk in as outright favorites, their recent performances dictate otherwise. Across all competitions, they’ve lost five of the last seven, and they’ve generally struggled in league matches away from home.
This season, out of 15 away league matches, Atletico have managed just four wins. Elche have had a better season but will feel the chance to bite a piece of Atleti. With both struggling to keep clean sheets, our prediction for Elche v Atletico Madrid is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Elche Atletico Madrid
| Elche vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 3.7 | 2.46 | -33.5% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.72 | +3.3% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.91 | 3.15 | +64.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Elche is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 33.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 40.7% (13.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
