Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
Only goal difference separates Elche and Athletic Bilbao ahead of their matchday nine showdown in the 2025-26 La Liga competition, as action resumes after the international break. This match on Sunday in Elche between the seventh-placed Los Franjiverdes and the eighth-placed Lions comes with our prediction of a home win.
Both teams have 13 points and are only two points behind the top four teams. Elche’s run included just one defeat (W3, D4, L1), while Athletic’s season has just one draw (W4, D1, L3).
Elche lost 3-1 away at Deportivo Alaves last matchday, marking their first defeat of the season. Regardless of that result, they still have been impressive with three wins in six matches, drawing two.
The record is much more formidable at home, where Elche remain unbeaten this league season (W3, D1), including three wins in a row.
Athletic defeated Mallorca 2-1 at home before the international break to signal an end to their winless run. They were without a win in six competitive fixtures, losing five and drawing one.
The challenge is to post back-to-back wins, but the visitors will be concerned about their away record. They were beaten in three consecutive trips in all competitions and failed to score in both defeats in the league in that run.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Elche v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.3 | 2 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.3 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.3 | 2 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
4 | 3.25 | 1.97 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Elche and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Elche vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Elche wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2025 between Elche and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.88% for a win of Elche against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Elche vs Athletic Bilbao is 17.87% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Elche with odds of 2.15 at Betobet.
Elche - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Elche Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 60.88% | 4.2 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.59% | 1.92 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 46.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Elche | 31.38% | 9 at Betfair |
Elche vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Elche and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -6 |
|
11
|
16 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
Elche and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Elche vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 May 2023 - LaLiga
11 Sept 2022 - LaLiga
3 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
22 May 2021 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2021 - LaLiga
Elche against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Affengruber
MidfielderG. Diangana
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
Most goals and assists
Elche
Athletic Bilbao
A. Silva
(4 Goals)
, 
R. Mir
(4 Goals)
R. Navarro
(4 Goals)
,
G. Guruzeta
(4 Goals)
M. Neto
(3 Assists)
A. Berenguer
(3 Assists)
Elche - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Elche won three of their last six matches, drawing two, and losing once.
- At home, Elche won their last three league fixtures.
- Athletic lost five of their last seven competitive matches, winning only once.
- On the road, Athletic were beaten in their last three competitive trips.
- Elche won the reverse fixture 1-0.
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Our Elche vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Elche’s unbeaten start to the season ended last matchday, but they are still in a good space. They start this round level on points with their visitors but above them on goal difference. Their record becomes even better at home, where Elche have won three in a row. Athletic have halted their winless run last matchday with a win, but their concerns remain. The possible unavailability of Inaki Williams is further likely to puncture their hopes.
Athletic’s poor away run could continue, and our Elche vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is Elche wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Elche Athletic Bilbao
| Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 2.75 | 4 | +45.5% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.3 | +6.5% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.75 | 2 | -27.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Elche is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 45.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 25.0% (-11.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Elche vs. Athletic Bilbao game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Elche and Athletic Bilbao when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on LaLiga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
